Weekly Line (Current Level):
Currently in the upward segment extension of the weekly line (starting from the low point of 38500), ultimate target remains unchanged at 150,000+.
Daily Line (Sub-Level):
Starting from the high point of 97500, it begins a downward adjustment of the daily line; effective breakthrough of 98000 is needed to confirm the end of this segment.
[BTC 1-hour Trend Decomposition]
Current Trend Structure
1. Start from the low point of 81500:
1-hour upward segment has been completed (corresponding to the 1-hour trend type in Chan Theory), current high is 92810, entering the terminal divergence segment.
Key Verification: If it falls below 89000 (segment destruction point), it confirms the end of this segment and enters the reverse 1-hour downward segment.
2. Central Structure Construction Deduction:
Assuming the 1-hour downward segment is established:
Expected to construct a 1-hour central in the range of 86000-84000 (at least 3 overlapping structures), after the central is completed, it will launch a new segment attack of 95000+.
Defense Observation Point:
Bullish Defense Line: Lower Central Edge 84000 (Daily Pattern Support)
Bearish Defense Line: Upper Central Edge 89000 (Segment Boundary Point)
3. Time Window on the 10th:
Bullish Scenario: If it breaks 98000 before the 10th (daily top pattern destruction), the weekly line will continue upwards, and 78258 is likely to become the daily adjustment endpoint.
Bearish Scenario: If blocked at 98000, one needs to be wary of this level expanding into daily central oscillation, with a second bottom testing the range of 78000-76000.
[BTC 15-minute Recursive Verification]
Current State:
In the process of running the 15-minute downward segment (receding from 92810), if it falls below 89000, it will upgrade to a 1-hour downward segment.
Two Types of Evolution Paths:
1. Weak Structure:
15-minute downward segment directly breaks through 89000 → triggers 1-hour downward segment → target 86000-84000 central area.
2. Strong Structure:
15-minute line forms a second buy above 89000 → extends the last charge to around 93500 → then opens a 1-hour adjustment.
[ETH Linked Structure]
4-hour level positioning
Main Trend: Starts from the low point of 1993 to the upward segment of the 4-hour line (corresponding to the 4-hour trend type in Chan Theory), ultimate target 2500-2700.
Current Decomposition:
1. First Segment of 1-hour Upward Segment: Has reached 2350 (not confirmed end)
2. Expected Evolution:
If the 15-minute downward line breaks 2221 → triggers 1-hour downward segment → retraces to 2100-2150 (constructing 4-hour central)
If it holds above 2221 → extends the 15-minute upward segment to challenge 2300+ → then opens 1-hour adjustment
Operational Anchor Point
Bullish Defense: 2100 (4-hour central ZG)
Bearish Signal: 1-hour segment breaks below 2000 (Central ZD Damage)
[Chan Theory Practical Strategy]
BTC Attack and Defense Rhythm
Three Types of Buy/Sell Points Capture:
1. Second Buy Opportunity: 1-hour downward segment retraces to the upper edge of 86000-84000 central (combined with bottom pattern confirmation)
2. Second Buy Node: Re-attack after the 15-minute line retraces and does not break 89000
3. Three Sell Risks: If it falls below 78258 and rebounds do not exceed 80000, it triggers weekly level expansion.
ETH Central Warfare
Central Oscillation Arbitrage: Gradually high sell and low buy in the 2100-2350 range (combined with 15-minute divergence)
Trend Breakout Follow-up: After 4-hour segment breaks 2500 and retraces without breaking, follow up on the long (confirmation of the third buy).
[Chan Theory Mindset]
Trend Completion: The current 1-hour segment, whether it extends or not, will ultimately complete the central construction.
Level Joint: The 15-minute line destruction triggers the 1-hour segment to turn, but the direction of the weekly line must provide support.
Unexpected Measurement: Strictly maintain the defense line at 84000/2100, if broken, downgrade operations and refuse fantasies.