GM2025227【Migo Chinese Community】Market Trend Insights!

Yesterday I saw Bitcoin surge to 82,000 and although I wanted to enter the market, I ultimately held back. If I miss this opportunity, I can accept it. After all, I still haven't seen the kind of significant upward movement or strong bullish candles from major players entering the market. Each price fluctuation is very slow, whether it's a drop or a rise, it seems to lack strength, which makes me a bit hesitant. I would rather miss out than enter at a high position.

The current market is indeed hard to navigate, the fear index has dropped to 10, which I believe is the lowest point I remember. If we look at this fear index, theoretically, it indicates that we are at the bottom of the crypto market. However, not many people have exited during this downturn; many are holding strong at low positions. While I don't want to delve into conspiracy theories, I can't shake the feeling that something feels off.

The ETF has seen net outflows for three consecutive days, with yesterday's single-day net outflow hitting a historical high. Whether there will be continued outflows today is unpredictable. If this rebound can produce a strong bullish candle, I would feel more at ease. But without that, I remain uncertain.

As for altcoins, the so-called "market support" and "strength"—is it the real market trend, or is it an attempt to distribute chips to retail investors during Bitcoin's weakness? No one can say for sure. In the current price range, the cost-effectiveness of shorting is low, and I fear entering a long position incorrectly, feeling as though I'm halfway up the mountain.

This reminds me of the market from June to early July 2024, first a volatile rebound, then a deep drop, followed by a rise, with the entire process dragging on for almost a month, ultimately ending with a significant drop. I find it hard to believe the market would be that simple, with everyone successfully bottom-fishing and then experiencing a direct surge. After all, if everyone is buying at the bottom, who will be on the opposite side of the trade? So I've decided to wait a bit longer, until March 1, to see the unlocking situation of Sol. If there are no obvious sell-offs by then, I will wait until next Monday to look for an opportunity to enter. If I miss it, then I can only accept it. #比特币价格走势分析 #美联储降息预期 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH