比特币价格走势分析

#比特币价格走势分析 imminent collapse

Today Binance sent an email. I can't understand it. But it seems to be a good thing. Can the experts take a look at #比特币价格走势分析 $BTC

The pancake continues to move sideways, with a weak rebound. #比特币价格走势分析

#比特币价格走势分析

When the market picks up, you must choose the leader of altcoins, Eth. Only when the big bitcoin falls and the second bitcoin does not fall, can the vast majority of altcoins truly usher in the altcoin season. I choose to invest in eth and btc on Binance. eth stands at the application layer, while btc stands at the value layer. They are both in a state of having their own merits. I chose to hold eth firmly at 3,000 before, and now I have to work harder at 3,500.

What is a correct stop loss?
Stop losses can be categorized as correct or incorrect. Only the trading system can measure their correctness.
When the trading system issues a stop loss signal, it is based on a comprehensive assessment from the initial, mid, and final stages of establishing the trading system, optimization, strategies, etc. Executing a stop loss, even if it results in a loss, is correct; failing to execute a stop loss, even if it later leads to profit, is incorrect.
This is not to say that a correct stop loss should be. During periods of small capital, a trading system should not include stop losses; rather, a certain strategy should be employed to temporarily remove stop losses from the trading system. When capital increases, stop losses can be reintroduced. This is because small capital is inherently small; if it doesn't continuously rise—buying today and selling tomorrow—solving the capital issue can take a very long time, during which the losses may exceed the gains, ultimately leading to elimination from the market. Therefore, while stop losses are important, within the framework of a trading system, there should not be excessive stop losses; losses should be managed through capital management.

Another scenario is trading outside the framework of a trading system, where stop losses must be strictly executed; they will only slow down capital loss and will not help in gaining profits. The excessive occurrence of stop losses indicates a fact—insufficient profit capability. At this time, it is not a period for continued trading; rather, one should leave the market to establish and try other trading methods and system approaches. Additionally, frequent stop losses followed by immediate price rises indicate inaccurate analysis of market conditions, where buying is actually a selling opportunity, and buying at stop loss moments is an opportunity to sell. All of these should be addressed within the trading system, which primarily solves various possibilities of rising peaks, falling troughs, rising phases, and falling phases, thus minimizing market risks and uncertainties.
Therefore, stop losses are not that important in the market, especially for strict executors of the trading system. Frequent stop losses also send a signal to us—stop trading.

#比特币价格走势分析
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The large pie at dawn also directly broke down to around 89200. Our bearish outlook from yesterday has come to fruition, with a decline providing a profit space of nearly 5000 points. Subsequently, it stabilized at the bottom and is currently rising to around 94200. This wave of ups and downs has approached a space of nearly 10000 points. The long positions we set up in the early morning have also captured a space of nearly 3000 points, with the current price now around 94400.

From the current market situation, the bullish momentum is still relatively strong, with the coin price continuously pulling up and the price at a high point being refreshed. The strong structure is already very obvious, so it is essential to follow the trend at this time. Currently, a V-shaped reversal has formed on the 4-hour chart, but the rebound has not completely regained lost ground. Therefore, it can only be viewed as a correction after the decline. In terms of operations, continue to maintain a low long strategy!

Large Pie Strategy: Long around 93800-93500, target 95500
Ethereum Strategy: Long around 3100-3120, target 3200

Is there still new money coming into this market?

The chart below shows the weekly statistics of capital flows in cryptocurrency assets (in millions of dollars). The horizontal axis represents the weeks of 2024/2025, while the vertical axis displays the amount of capital flow, ranging from -10 million to 50 million dollars.
 
Last week, the crypto market experienced a net inflow of 48 million dollars, but the actual situation was more tumultuous than the numbers suggest. At the beginning of the week, capital inflows surged, but in the latter half of the week, due to macroeconomic data (mainly non-farm payrolls) exceeding expectations, market sentiment changed abruptly, leading to a significant outflow of funds.

Among them, Bitcoin (BTC), as always, performed exceptionally, attracting up to 214 million dollars in capital inflow, which fully reflects investor confidence. However, Ethereum (ETH) faced challenges, experiencing an outflow of 256 million dollars, possibly due to a change in market sentiment or holders taking profits; in any case, ETH has been underperforming in recent years.

Do you think there will still be new money coming into this market? What will be the next trigger point for net capital inflows?

#比特币价格走势分析 #市场反弹预测

#比特币价格走势分析 $BTC btc A major market trend will appear in 8 days. Rising is its only choice. Let us witness the miracle together.

This week is over again. Let's review this week's market. The highest point this week reached 102762, and the lowest point fell to 91055. Starting from Monday, the daily positive column was full and upward. Although it was in a volatile trend throughout the day, it also climbed all the way to the highest line of the day, 102700, which was this week, giving enough upward momentum. From Tuesday, the big negative column was strong and fell to around 96300. On Wednesday, it continued the momentum of Tuesday and continued to decline. It even fell to the lowest point of this week, 91050, on Thursday. After that, it began to stabilize and rebound upward in the early morning of Friday, rising to around 95800. This week, there were two big rises and three big falls. We have gained a lot this week. Have friends got their own piece of cake in this great market? From last week, the momentum of the big cake continuing to rise at the beginning of the week was like a flash in the pan. It did not continue to stand above the 100,000 mark. It began to fall continuously on Tuesday, and three consecutive negatives went down to the bottom. However, when time came to Friday, the small positive cut off the weak market, and the price ratio gave a certain rebound again. From the slight fluctuations at the weekend, it is not difficult to judge that the general trend of this week is still to explore the bottom as a whole. The lowest bottom line is expected to break last week's record. A small rebound will appear in the middle two days of next week, so we still maintain a bearish mindset in the future. The weekend is still slightly volatile. There has been no significant improvement for two consecutive days, and even from Sunday morning to noon, it is tepid, but this is also a sign of the arrival of a big market. From the 4-hour line, today's trend is flat and volatile. From the hourly line, the overall trend is still downward. We maintain a bearish mindset tonight.
　　Big cake is shorted near 94500-94800, with a target near 93000; Ethereum is shorted near 3290-3320, with a target near 3180#比特币价格走势分析 $BTC

1.14 Morning Thoughts
Yesterday saw another round of market fluctuations. Bitcoin rose to around 96,000, then dropped to around 91,000 with a 2,000 point decline before continuing to rise, currently around 94,400.

From the one-hour chart perspective, the K-line is under pressure from the Bollinger Bands, with the MA5 and MA10 moving averages forming a golden cross, and the momentum indicator showing an increase in volume.

Morning Operations:
Bitcoin pullback around 93,800—93,000
Target around 95,000—96,000

Ethereum pullback around 3,100—3,070
Target around 3,170—3,220

For entertainment purposes only, not intended as advice

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ #比特币价格走势分析 #还有山寨季？

$ZEN

Congratulations to the brothers who got on the train with Old Te yesterday at the lowest point of 21.26. It has now taken off, achieving a 20-point increase! It has reached the target position, and those with large positions can take profits in batches. Old Te chooses to continue with the strategy! #还有山寨季？ #比特币价格走势分析

The altcoins have been falling almost all day, but the price of Bitcoin remains steadily above 90,000. It seems that the altcoins have turned from a bull market, while Bitcoin is still swaying at a high level. This kind of market differentiation has been rare in the past, indicating that making money in the crypto space is becoming increasingly difficult. Those newly launched altcoins have seen old holders fleeing, leaving us, the ones who pick up the pieces, truly in a difficult situation. In the future, we need to be cautious when bottom-fishing for altcoins and not buy too much.
When the market is plunging sharply, there was news that the U.S. government could sell the 69,000 Bitcoins seized from Silk Road, worth about 6.5 billion dollars. But it seems this news had been around before; I remember when the German government sold coins, if they really wanted to sell, they would quietly seek big buyers, not loudly announce it for everyone to know.

The expectation of interest rate cut has been wiped out, at least in the short term, it is too difficult!

$BTC #比特币价格走势分析

There's not much to say this weekend; BTC continues to oscillate within the range of 92k-96k. Yesterday, it also oscillated around 94k, so today will likely be the same unless something unexpected happens. Currently, the market is waiting for direction, which will depend on the sentiment from the U.S. stock market opening.

Let's enjoy the weekend. New emotional stimuli will need to wait for the return of liquidity in the U.S., especially with the CPI data coming next week, close to Trump's inauguration, which shouldn't extend for too long.

Currently, 92k has become a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. The upper range is 96k~97.5k; falling below 92k indicates a strong bearish sentiment, while staying above 96k indicates a strong bullish sentiment.

Overall, right-side trading remains the main theme! Next week will be the trading days leading up to Trump's inauguration, so let's patiently wait for trading signals to appear!

Looking forward to the favorable phase for crypto that Trump will announce starting next week!

#比特币价格走势分析 #还有山寨季？