The drop is too steep to post in time, temporarily sharing a recent analysis from DeepSeek, which is not optimistic:

1. Key Indicators

Price Break: BTC broke below 86,000 USDT (psychological level + technical support), touching a low of 85,626 USDT, with short-term bears dominating.

MACD widening, red bars increasing, bearish momentum strengthening.

RSI at a freezing point: RSI(6) = 11.02 (historically oversold), but no bottom divergence formed (price and RSI synchronously at new lows), rebound requires volume support.

2. Three Response Strategies

Strategy One: Stop-Loss Defense (High Risk Aversion)

Applicable Audience: Short-term traders, leveraged position holders

Operational Logic:

✅ If the price closes below 85,500 for 1 hour, stop-loss exit to avoid further losses.

✅ If holding leveraged positions, the forced liquidation line is suggested to be set at 84,000-85,000 (weekly support zone).

Advantage: Avoids the risk of liquidation in extreme market conditions.

Strategy Two: Oversold Rebound Testing (High Risk Speculation)

Trigger Conditions:

✅ Price stabilizes above 85,500 + 1-hour RSI(6) > 15

✅ Trading volume exceeds 50,000 BTC/day (currently 48,211)

Operation:

Light position (≤3%) for long, entry point 85,700-86,000, stop-loss at 84,900 (-1.5%).

Target 88,000-89,500 (BOLL lower band recovery area), gradually reduce positions on a 5%-7% rebound.

Strategy Three: Hedge Protection (Balancing Risk)

Hedging Tool:

✅ Spot holders open short contracts above 86,500 (ratio 1:0.5), go short if it breaks below 85,000.

Advantage: Reduces the impact of volatility on spot holdings, preserves rebound profit rights.

3. Market Variables and Risk Control Points

On-chain Alert: Monitor miners' net outflow exceeding 3,000 BTC per day (currently about 2,500 BTC), if met, target lowered to 82,000-84,000.

US Stock Correlation: If the Nasdaq falls sharply, BTC may drop 3%-5% (target 83,000-84,000).

Conclusion and Action Guide

Short-term Traders:

Strict stop-loss at 85,500, exit on break;

If betting on a rebound, position ≤3%, stop-loss at 84,900, target 88,000.

Long-term Holders:

If holding cost < 80,000 USDT, can hold temporarily, but need to reserve additional funds for buying below 80,000-82,000.

All operational iron rules:

Leverage ≤2 times, avoid overnight heavy positions;

Pay attention to the liquidity low point from 2-4 AM Beijing time, avoid spike risks.

(Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency volatility exceeds 8%/day, strategies may fail in extreme market conditions, decisions require independent judgment.)