DeepSeek expresses cautious optimism towards Ethereum:
Recent trend analysis based on the latest ETH daily chart (data as of 9:56)
1. Key Indicator Signals
Confirmed oversold rebound: Current price 2,489 USDT rebounded 7.6% from the low of 2,313 24 hours ago, daily RSI(6) has recovered from the extreme oversold zone to the neutral range, short-term bearish momentum is weakening.
Volume verification: 24-hour trading volume 1.2 million ETH (decreased from the previous day), beware of volume-price divergence during the rebound.
2. Key Boundary Lines for Bulls and Bears
Support levels:
✅ 2,400 USDT (psychological barrier)
✅ 2,313 USDT (previous low, breaking this would return to a bearish trend)
Resistance levels:
✅ 2,533 USDT (high from 24 hours ago)
✅ 2,600 USDT (MA30 moving average resistance, approximately the current downtrend line)
3. Operating Strategies and Risk Control
Bullish Counterattack Logic
Long entry conditions: Price stabilizes above 2,450 + 1-hour trading volume > 300,000 ETH.
Targets and stop-loss:
Target 1: 2,533 (breakthrough previous high) → +3.3%
Target 2: 2,600 (trend line resistance) → +6.6%
Stop-loss: 2,380 (exit if broken)
Bearish Defense Strategy
Adding position signal: Rebound to 2,530-2,550 meets resistance + MACD histogram expands again.
Targets and stop-loss:
Target: 2,300-2,350 (previous low area)
Stop-loss: 2,580 (stop loss if breaking previous high)
Response for holders:
Heavy holders: Reduce position by 30% near 2,530 during rebound, remaining position stop-loss at 2,400.
Light holders: After breaking 2,500, can add to position if retesting does not break.
4. External Variable Alerts
BTC correlation: If Bitcoin fails to stabilize above 90,000 USDT, ETH may follow down to 2,300-2,400.
On-chain data: Monitor whale addresses (>100,000 ETH) for unusual movements, net daily inflow > 50,000 ETH may indicate selling pressure.
5. Multiple Scenario Simulations
Continuation of rebound (40% probability): After stabilizing above 2,500, target 2,600, continuous increase in trading volume is needed.
Correction risk (60% probability): If 2,500 pressure is effective, retest support at 2,380; breaking this would look towards 2,313.
Conclusion: Currently in a game between oversold rebound and trend reversal, it is recommended to use 2,400-2,500 as the oscillation center, selling high and buying low.
Core Strategy:
Short-term trading in the 2,450-2,530 range, stop-loss at 2,380;
Medium to long-term wait for volume breakout above 2,600 or accumulate in batches below 2,300.
(Note: ETH volatility remains above 10%, contract leverage suggested ≤3 times, strict stop-loss.)
