$BTC #BTC
Based on information available as of today, February 22, 2025, and based on general market trends and historical acquisition behavior. What is Bitcoin Dominance? Bitcoin Dominance (BTC Dominance) is the percentage of Bitcoin’s market cap compared to the overall market cap of the cryptocurrency market. When dominance is rising, it means that Bitcoin is attracting more capital compared to altcoins, and vice versa when it is falling. Current Status (as of February 22, 2025)

  • Total cryptocurrency market cap: around $3.17 trillion (based on recent market estimates).

  • Bitcoin Upside: Currently hovering around 60.48% (with major support levels at 61.83% and 60.87% recently broken).

  • Altcoins: Seeing a strong rebound after a pullback, reaching levels like 8.71% for major altcoins.

The stock is currently moving within a short-term downtrend channel, with signs of exhaustion of the previous bullish momentum.

Analysis and forecasts

1. Short term (days to weeks)

  • Current Trend: Bitcoin’s takeover is showing weakness after breaking key support levels (61.83% and 60.87%), with a recent negative weekly close. This suggests that the downward pressure may continue in the short term.

  • Expected movement: The takeover is likely to decline to levels between 58% and 60% in the coming days or weeks. This decline may be accompanied by a rise in altcoin prices as capital moves into them.

  • Influencing factors:

    • If the market continues to be in a consolidation phase (as some believe), the take may remain relatively stable around 60% before any decisive move.

    • Any major positive news (such as new institutional approval or whale moves) could push the takeover to a temporary bounce towards 61-62%.

2. Medium term (weeks to months)

  • Expected Trend: Based on history, Bitcoin acquisition often sees a gradual decline during bull runs as altcoins start to attract investors. Acquisition could drop to 52-55% levels in the next two to three months.

  • Expected movement:

    • If the takeover breaks the descending channel downwards (below 58%), this could be a strong signal for the start of the altseason.

    • Conversely, if the takeover rebounds and breaks 62%, it could mean continued Bitcoin dominance and a deeper correction for altcoins.

  • Influencing factors:

    • The price of Bitcoin itself is fluctuating (currently around $96,000-98,000).

    • Capital flows from individual and institutional investors into altcoins.

3. Long term (months to a year)

  • Expected trend: In the long term, Bitcoin acquisition is expected to reach a new peak (possibly 70-75%) during the first half of 2025, then start a sharp decline as the market enters the peak of the Bull Run, possibly to less than 40% by the end of 2025.

  • Expected movement:

    • Strong Bitcoin rally in H1 2025 (possible $110,000 or more), increasing takeover.

    • Later, as interest in altcoins rises, the acquisition will drop significantly, paving the way for an explosion in altcoin prices.

  • Influencing factors:

    • Regulatory developments (such as the Trump administration’s pro-cryptocurrency policies).

    • Previous halving events and their ongoing impact on supply.

    • Behavior of whales and institutions in the market.

Possible scenarios

  1. Bitcoin bullish scenario:

    • The takeover is set to rise to 62-65% in the short to medium term, with Bitcoin's dominance continuing and the price exceeding $100,000.

    • Altcoins are experiencing a temporary correction before starting to recover later.

  2. Bearish takeover scenario:

    • The takeover drops to 55% or lower in the medium term, indicating an early start to the altcoin season.

    • Bitcoin may stabilize or correct slightly, while altcoins rise strongly.

Tips for investors

  • Short-term: Watch the 58% and 62% takeover levels as crucial trend indicators.

  • Medium term: Prepare for a potential shift in capital towards altcoins if take-up drops below 58%.

  • Long-term: If you believe in a bull market, holding Bitcoin until mid-2025 and then partially switching to altcoins could be an effective strategy.

Conclusion

  • Short-term: Possible pullback to 58-60% with a slight rebound in altcoins.

  • Medium term: Down to 52-55% as altcoins start to rise.

  • Long-term: rise to 70-75% then sharp decline to less than 40% by the end of 2025.

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