It’s been a while since I last tweeted out my market thoughts.

Many people seem to believe that the current bull run will continue for another one to two years. Here are my thoughts on the matter with 3 possible scenarios:

1. Scenario of Continuous Growth - AKA SUPERCYCLE:

- We might see an unprecedented scenario where the market only experiences minor pullbacks, no more than 30-40%, and continues to climb. This would be a rare event, similar to what happened after the Gold ETF was approved, leading to a steady upward trend. In this case, I believe many - NOT ALL - altcoins would die. People would come to accept that "there's no second best" in this market, a point I've made repeatedly.

2. End of the Bull Run:

- Alternatively, we might already be at the tail end of the bull market, ushering in the beginning of a bear market. I believe there's likely just one more significant upward movement, possibly two, but I lean towards one more push where Ethereum could lead, pulling along other altcoins. However, altcoins that have already seen substantial growth (like $SOL) might not rally as much as those that have been less dynamic. Yes, SOLETH cycle top is in imo.

- I'm inclined towards this second scenario because assuming the first would imply that "this time is different," a dangerous notion in markets. Market cycles are consistent; it's only the participants that change. The cycle of fear turning into greed, and greed back into fear, repeats endlessly. This cycle ensures that opportunities will always re-emerge. High prices push you to chase gains, while low prices force you to cut losses before it's too late.

3. Ethereum's Role:

- I’m finally wrong and Ethereum doesn’t lead for the rest of this cycle. Since Q4 2024, I have started to prepare for the end of bull market. That's why I'm only risking 20% of my crypto net worth in trading. But fwiw, I believe $eth gets to $4-6k again before the cycle ends. (Current price $3.3k)

One thing is certain: prices will eventually drop so low that everyone will question whether Bitcoin will ever recover.