Breaking Down Today’s Market Signals
✔️ People’s income is dropping.
✔️ House purchases are declining.
So… where is the U.S. getting its money from?
But wait, —Jobless Claims actually dropped. That makes sense after the mass deportations.
Immigrants who took local jobs are gone. Now, locals are filling those positions, which lowered unemployment. So maybe job openings will increase next week.
But think about it—GDP is falling, which means liquidity is drying up. To push GDP back up, liquidity has to be injected.
If the government doesn’t want to explain where the money will come from, Bitcoin can. Proof? Gold is pumping.
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PCE Index Report – The Key Indicator
Today’s PCE Index is coming—leaks at the picture
✔️ If PCE rises → DXY rises → The data makes sense.
✔️ If PCE is up, inflation rises. But if the economy is stable, the Fed will hold rates.
PCE is the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
Now, here’s the trick:
✔️ If DXY rises because the economy is improving (e.g., lower unemployment) → Bitcoin corrects.
✔️ If DXY rises because U.S. debt is growing → Bitcoin stays strong.
Rising PCE means more U.S. debt—but the debt ceiling hasn’t been raised yet.
So… how screwed are they? 😂
conclusions : inflation raise => $BTC also raises 😂
source: @hoteliercrypto