🧵: If 5 out of 9 confirm, dump your bags and go get a 9–5

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No matter how well you know the market, timing the cycle's peak is often nearly impossible

However, you can definitely recognize when things are approaching the top

These indicators will help you understand where we are in the cycle based on data, let's start

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

Historically, when RSI crosses 90, the market enters its final stage, hitting a peak within 4-7 weeks

This is often paired with a divergence (RSI drops while the asset keeps climbing)

NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)

Reflects market sentiment

When the indicator enters the Euphoria/Greed zone (>75%), the market is likely nearing its peak

Pi Cycle Top Indicator

Uses two moving averages to predict Bitcoin market tops

Signaling when the price has likely accelerated too quickly and is approaching a peak

Mayer Multiple

Сompares the current price to the 200-day moving average

Based on historical data, when reaches 2.4, the market is at the peak of the cycle

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

Tracking the relationship between short-term and long-term moving averages, helping identify trend shifts

The Altcoin Season Index > 85

Shows when altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin, signaling the start of altseason

Composite Business Cycle Indicator

Aggregates key economic data to forecast cycle phases, helping predict trends like expansion or contraction

Before the market peak, it rises above 50

MFI (Money Flow Index)

Momentum indicator that combines price and volume to measure the buying and selling pressure in the market

Similar to the RSI, but it also tracks trading volumes

MVRV Z-Score

Identify extreme overvaluation or undervaluation based on historical trends

When the MVRV Z-Score crosses 6, it's time to pay closer attention to the market, the peak is likely near

That's all for now

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