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Neighbors neighbor
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Close it. All market will go down soon.
zilly
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I stucked in long position what should I do ?
hold or close...
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Yesterday I wrote that the market has a large number of open shorts on #BTC , especially in the 96,000–97,500 USD range. The market typically seeks to clear this liquidity — meaning triggering the stop-losses of short sellers. We saw a fakeout to the downside yesterday, which invited more short positions — many traders were expecting a correction ahead of the upcoming FED decision. Today’s move upward is, in my view, not a sign of strength but a calculated short squeeze. Once that excess short pressure is removed, I expect a sharp drop toward the 90,000–92,000 USD zone, where #Bitcoin will likely consolidate until May 7, when the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. Only after that event do I anticipate a bullish breakout and continuation of the upward trend, especially if the Fed’s tone is dovish or neutral. Why this scenario makes sense: • Coinglass heatmaps show large short liquidation clusters above — a clear target before any drop. • Positive funding and rising open interest suggest the price is being pushed up artificially before a correction. • Market psychology: many traders shorted too early — this leads to a squeeze, followed by a strong drop that also takes out late longs entering out of FOMO. • Historically, before key FOMC events, markets tend to consolidate lower due to uncertainty. ⸻ Summary: This rally looks more like a short squeeze than real strength. I expect BTC to drop toward 90–92k and stay there until May 7. The real upside move may come only after the Fed decision. ⸻ Follow my profile to stay updated with my real-time observations, analyses, and market insights on #Bitcoin and more. If you found this post helpful, feel free to like or comment — it motivates me to keep sharing live updates. #BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #FedWatch #tradingstrategy
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The Fed interest rate decision is approaching on May 7. Historically, prices tend to drop before the announcement due to market uncertainty. However, looking at the heatmap from Coinglass, we can see large liquidation zones just above current price levels (especially around $96,000 – $97,600). Price may attempt to sweep those areas before reversing downward. After the decision itself, I expect a bullish move, potentially towards the $98,000–99,000 region, especially if the Fed signals dovish or neutral tone. Watch for price reaction in that zone – it could become a strong resistance or a breakout trigger. My take: Be cautious with premature shorts. This is the kind of setup where the market fakes one direction to hunt liquidity, then reverses hard. #BTC
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Klin zwyżkujący, który statystycznie częściej kończy się wybiciem dołem, co przemawia na korzyść shorta. 🐻 #BTC prawdopodobnie potrzebuje korekty, by „wyrzucić” słabe ręce z rynku, zanim ruszy dalej w górę. Co z tego wynika: • Cena dotyka już dolnej krawędzi klina, co może być momentem wybicia. Przebicie poziomu ok. 94 400 będzie potwierdzeniem sygnału spadkowego. • SL na 95 500 — rozsądny poziom, umieszczony powyżej ostatniego szczytu i górnej linii klina. Chroni przed typowymi fakeoutami. Jeśli cena powróci powyżej tego poziomu, scenariusz shorta przestaje być aktualny. • TP na 92 100 — logiczne, ponieważ to dolna strefa wsparcia, w której widoczne są duże skupiska likwidacji (według heatmapy). Moim zdaniem, cena powinna tam dotrzeć, by “wyczyścić” graczy FOMO, którzy weszli wczoraj i dziś z nadzieją na dalszy, nieprzerwany wzrost.
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The current move is just a complex correction, not the start of a bear market.
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Unfortunately, it looks like this decline will be even deeper.$BTC 📉 If you look at the 5-year BTC price chart, you can find a similarity in 2021 when the price fell from its highest point by about 50%. A drop from $63,949 to $31,861. Bitcoin then remained in a hole looking for a bottom for the entire month.📆 Transferring this similarity to the situation we have today, we can expect a drop from $110,000 to $55,000. This would also mean that the entire month of March BTC will remain low, fluctuating in price by a few percent up and down.⬆️⬇️⬆️⬇️ Going further, we should expect a breakout and a return of the price to $110,000 or higher only in April.🚀🚀🚀 Share your opinion with me in the comments. Do you think this scenario will come true?
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