Market trend forecast for the first half of 2025
I. Main time nodes and market trends
End of January: Ethereum staking ETF approved (may bring upward opportunities)
The market is expected to have a wave of upward movement, lasting about 2-3 weeks.
Altcoins may catch up in price, and some popular concepts may be speculated on, so pay attention to the hotspots.
Late January to February: Short-term fluctuations brought by Trump's inauguration
A brief small peak may occur around the time of Trump's inauguration (near January 20).
Be cautious of market sentiment, but at the same time, Trump may introduce favorable policies or news to further stimulate the market, especially in the first and second quarters.
March-June: Consolidation phase
Bitcoin may fluctuate around $100,000, leading to a situation of both bullish and bearish outcomes.
Every time Bitcoin drops, altcoins often lead the decline.
The overall market may choose a direction again in May-June.
II. Important influencing factors
Interest rate cut expectations:
Current market probability forecast for the Federal Reserve interest rate cut:
March interest rate cut: 30%.
May interest rate cut: 55%.
June interest rate cut: 94%.
If an interest rate cut is confirmed, it will benefit market trends, and the specific announcement time should be closely monitored.
Japan's interest rate hike (January 24):
If interest rate hikes are confirmed, it may have a short-term negative impact on the market.
III. Key operational advice
Around the 20th (±4 days from January 20):
If major cryptocurrencies rise to resistance levels, consider gradually reducing positions to lock in profits.
Hot speculation phase:
Pay special attention to Ethereum-related trends and popular concepts in the market at that time to seize short-term opportunities.
Today's article ends here, feel free to come to the homepage and play together~
Investment involves risks, and the above content is personal sharing, not investment advice!