#美国非农数据即将公布 In the current complex landscape of the financial market, three key events are drawing attention: the release of the non-farm payroll data, Donald Trump's inauguration, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision. These events will have far-reaching effects on market trends, and investors need to be cautious in their strategies. Tonight at 21:15, the non-farm payroll data will be released, followed by the initial jobless claims at 21:30. The market generally expects that these two pieces of data will show a slowdown in job growth. Based on past experience, weak employment data is often seen as a strong signal for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The non-farm payroll data to be released on Friday, if it aligns with expectations and shows a slowdown in job growth, will undoubtedly further strengthen the market's expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, significantly increasing the likelihood of such a move. Although cryptocurrency is not a core issue for Trump, his policy direction will still have a long-term impact on the crypto space, particularly in terms of regulatory policy and market openness. Based on Trump’s previous economic philosophy and style, the market expects that he may promote a series of policies favorable to the crypto market. However, it should be clear that the implementation of these policies is a gradual process and is unlikely to trigger a short-term surge in the cryptocurrency market. In the early hours of the 30th, the Federal Reserve will make a decision on interest rate cuts, which will largely depend on the overall economic data for this month. If economic data, especially employment and inflation data, shows support for an interest rate cut, the probability of a 25 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve is extremely high. Once the rate cut is implemented, market liquidity will significantly improve, providing strong support for the rise in asset prices. It is worth noting that even if various data shows favorable conditions, the market may not necessarily exhibit a linear upward trend. For example, last night, the market experienced a rapid decline and a large-scale washout of altcoins. This seemingly abnormal market fluctuation may actually have underlying reasons. It is possible that market leaders are using this opportunity to create space for the implementation of policies after the new government takes office while completing the turnover of principal funds, laying the foundation for a more dramatic market trend in the future. For investors, facing such a complex and ever-changing market environment, it is necessary to comprehensively consider various factors when making investment decisions. Closely monitor the actual release of the non-farm payroll data, deeply analyze the specific direction of Trump's policies after taking office, and precisely grasp the subtle changes in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decisions, in order to make wise and reasonable investment decisions to achieve steady asset growth amid market fluctuations.
