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in bull run never short anything. wait to retest and long only

Amjad Pendu

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$BTC increase But I Am Don't Happy

Please BTC Help Me 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭
#BTCNewATH #BTC500K #Btctopcrypto

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🚨 Has Bitcoin Topped? A Closer Look at the 2025 Bull Run Peak

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$BTC 🔍 Key Highlights from the Chart 🟢 Bull Market Peaks 10 Nov 2021: Previous cycle top around ~$69,000. 14 Jul 2025 (Projected): Potential new bull market top (approx. $120K–$125K zone based on red trend line projection). 🔴 Bear Market Drops 2021–2022 Crash: Drop of -78.75% from the 2021 top. Lasted 52 bars (364 days). Next Projected Bear Market: Projected from July 2025 to May 2026. Expected drawdown: -74.35%, possibly taking BTC down to the $30K–$40K range (orange box support zone). 📉 Correction Zones Mid-cycle corrections like the one from Apr 2024, showing smaller drops (~20%). 📈 Trend Channel Red diagonal lines form an ascending channel for bull market tops. Current price (~$117,872) is nearing upper resistance of this long-term trend channel. 📊 Support/Resistance Levels $120K & $125K: Horizontal resistance zones. $57,959: Major historical support (former resistance). $30K–$40K: Bear market bottom zone based on history and trendline confluence. ⏳ Cycle Timing Historical cycles span about 4 years: Peak → bottom → new peak = ~1,300–1,400 days. This cycle’s timing aligns almost perfectly: Nov 2021 → Jul 2025 = 1,300+ days (same as past cycles). Suggests potential top is in or near. 📌 Summary & Outlook Phase Estimate Current Price ~$117,872 Projected Top ~$120K–$125K (likely topped 14 Jul 2025) Next Major Drop -70% to -75% (target: $30K–$40K) Next Cycle Low Mid 2026 (May–July 2026) Strong Support Zone $30K–$40K (orange box) 🧭 Strategic Notes If this chart pattern holds, major profit-taking should already be done or initiated. Watch for weekly close rejections at trend channel top for confirmation of top formation. Reentry in mid-2026 would historically offer a high reward/risk zone.

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$BTC $ETH USDT Dominance ( Biggest Market crash is very Near ) Key Observations: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: Support at ~2.03% and 3.73% (Black & Blue Horizontal Lines). Resistance at ~6.51% and 8.87%. The price is currently hovering around 4.19%, testing a confluence of support zones (blue horizontal and rising trendline). 2. Chart Patterns: Descending Broadening Wedge: The blue downward-sloping lines form a broadening wedge, typically a bullish reversal pattern. Long-Term Uptrend Line Broken: The red ascending line (broken) shows a long-term trend that has been violated — now resistance. Horizontal Zone at ~4.21%: Critical zone tested multiple times (marked with green arrows as support and red arrows as resistance). 3. MACD Histogram (Bottom Indicator): Shows momentum shifts. It appears currently neutral to slightly bearish, as the red bars are decreasing but not yet turning green. Implications: Current Zone (4.19% - 4.21%) is Critical: A bounce here could mean a potential short-term risk-off environment (USDT dominance rises). A breakdown below 3.73% might signal strong bullish momentum in crypto (money flowing out of stablecoins into coins/tokens). Upside Resistance Levels: If dominance rises, next resistance is around 6.51%, then 8.87%. Downside Risk: Breakdown could bring USDT dominance towards the 2.03% support, marking a major altseason if sustained. Conclusion: This is a make-or-break area for USDT dominance. Traders might watch closely how price behaves around the 4.21% zone. A hold and bounce = caution in altcoins; a breakdown = likely crypto rally.

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🔍 Key Observations: Current USDT Dominance: ~4.39% Major Support Level: Around 3.76% (marked by the blue line), which has acted as a strong bottom multiple times since 2022. Trend: USDT dominance has been forming lower highs, indicating a long-term downtrend, but with frequent bounces from the 3.75% area. --- 📈 Interpretation: When USDT dominance drops, it usually means money is flowing out of stablecoins into crypto assets like BTC, ETH, and altcoins — typically bullish for the market. When USDT dominance rises, capital is moving into USDT — a bearish or risk-off signal (traders exiting into safety). The chart currently shows rejection from the 5% area and moving down toward the 3.76% support. --- 📊 What to Expect Next: If USDT.D breaks below 3.76%: It could trigger a strong altcoin and BTC rally, as it would indicate capital rotation into riskier crypto assets. If it bounces from 3.76% again: Market might consolidate or see a pullback in crypto prices. --- 🧠 Trading Insight: Watch this level closely: Below 3.76% = bullish breakout (favorable for risk-on crypto trades). Rebound at 3.76% = caution, potential crypto cooling or correction.

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📊 Table Columns Explanation $BTC 1. Year – The calendar year. 2. Year Start – Bitcoin price at the start of the year. 3. Year End – Bitcoin price at the end of the year. 4. % Change – The annual percentage gain/loss. --- 🔍 Key Observations 🚀 Biggest Gains 2010: +9900% (early adoption phase, from $0.003 to $0.30) 2013: +5507% 2017: +1331% 2020: +301% (beginning of the post-halving bull run) 2023: +156% (recovery after 2022 bear market) 📉 Biggest Losses 2014: -58% (after 2013 bull run) 2018: -73% (post-2017 bull cycle crash) 2022: -65% (macroeconomic tightening, FTX collapse) ✅ 2025 YTD (Up to now): Start: $93,300 Current: $116,000 Change: +24% → Bitcoin is performing decently in 2025 so far. --- 📈 Cycle Pattern Bitcoin tends to follow a 4-year cycle: Year 1: Bottom (e.g., 2015, 2019, 2023) Year 2: Recovery (e.g., 2016, 2020, 2024) Year 3: Bull run (e.g., 2017, 2021, 2025?) Year 4: Crash (e.g., 2018, 2022) So if this pattern continues, 2025 could be a top year, but we might see volatility increase later in the year.

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