《Global Financial Market Dynamics: The Fierce Contest of Elections, Economic Data, and Diverse Assets》

The U.S. election situation is tight, with the market betting on Trump's victory reviving the 'Trump trade,' and strong economic data suppressing the prospects for Fed rate cuts. U.S. Treasury yields have rebounded significantly, with the 10-year Treasury yield briefly breaking 4.25%, reaching a three-month high, and the dollar rising for four consecutive weeks. Non-U.S. currencies have performed poorly, with the yen falling below the 153 mark ahead of Japan's House of Representatives election.

In the commodities sector, gold has fluctuated after retreating from its highs, with a weekly increase narrowing to nearly 1%, while silver is close to flat, with geopolitical factors limiting corrections in precious metals. Crude oil has risen due to the situation in the Middle East, with U.S. oil up 4% for the week and Brent oil up 3.65%.

The three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the S&P 500 index falling 0.96% this week and the Dow down 2.68%, ending a six-week winning streak. The Nasdaq briefly rose over 1% to reach a new high on Friday, with a weekly gain of 0.16%, marking seven consecutive weeks of increases.

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