Want to buy some U.S. bond positions

Because it is calculated based on August’s cpi data

The next core PCE will be within 0.2 month-on-month.

This is a number the Fed would happily accept

Therefore, I still think there is little chance of continuing to raise interest rates in November to bring the overnight interest rate to 5.6%.

Even if interest rates are raised again in November, the 5.6% figure will be the top figure in this interest rate hike cycle.

Unless any major oil-producing country goes to war again

The orange frame is the range where bank fund managers have pushed to buy U.S. debt in the past three months.

What they say is roughly:

"Buy U.S. bonds now and let them run for 20 years to ensure you make a profit without losing any money."

Normal people will definitely rush in when they hear that they are guaranteed to make money without losing money.

Normal people would not consider that using this money to do other things in 20 years would have a better rate of return.

Because most people’s salary increases are not high

In short, bank managers hyped U.S. bonds very FOMO from June to September.

At that time, many people expected that the interest rate hike cycle was over.

In fact, the results will be different from what most people expect.

Just as the recession was expected early this year (including me)

Just as the rate hike is expected to end in the middle of this year

Because the economy is unpredictable

Once it is expected by most people, it will change

Because those who make predictions are themselves part of the economy

And objectively speaking

The certainty of buying U.S. bonds now is better than in the middle of the year

If you agree with the reasons why bank managers convince their clients to buy U.S. Treasuries

Now let's go in and search the body together.

No matter what, there are still a bunch of people supporting me

You can also have common topics with your classmates during the class reunion

Hey, I bought a U.S. bond quilt and cried.

Yeah, me too, how stupid are you?

Anyway, I respect you, my little brother.

Does not constitute investment advice

Pure record of thought process

Plz Do Your Own Research