The bottom is often bought, not waited for.
The year before last, you wanted to buy within 10,000, last year you wanted to buy within 20,000, at the beginning of this year you wanted to buy within 30,000, in the first half of the year you wanted to buy within 40,000, and after June you wanted to buy within 50,000.
Now you are given a chance of 50,000, and you are looking at 40,000 again; if it really reaches 40,000, you will still look at 30,000, if it reaches 30,000, you will still wait for 20,000, and when it reaches 20,000, you should be thinking about zero.
I am not advising anyone to buy at the bottom, but I question the one-sided view that if it falls below one point, it will fall below another point, and if it rises above one point, it will rise above another point.