草莓加密日记

A new week has begun, and the significant decline last week has led market participants to regain their composure.

Those who were blindly optimistic and had fantasies are no longer voicing their opinions, and the childish actors have also disappeared.

Even those who fervently advocated for others to buy altcoins to recharge their faith during the downturn have vanished.

Since the frenzied phenomenon of faith recharging has disappeared, it is time for an objective analysis.

BTC (Bitcoin) is currently in a sideways oscillation phase at the weekly level.

The purpose of this consolidation is clear: it aims to eliminate those with weak convictions, laying a solid foundation for future upward trends. Considering this year, the probability of breaking through previous highs is very low, but looking ahead to next year, surpassing previous highs should not be a major issue.

This round of weekly consolidation is likely the last before Trump takes office, and perhaps the final consolidation phase.

The key support levels below are at 9 and 8.5. Friends keen on swing trading may consider making gradual spot purchases at these levels, as entering at this price point carries lower risk of loss, but deciding when to sell requires personal judgment.

Personally, I may also engage in short-term trading of Bitcoin near these two points.

It is important to know that other cryptocurrencies are closely correlated with Bitcoin; when Bitcoin drops, the declines in altcoins are often more severe.

Therefore, one should still adhere to the investment philosophy of "staying away from all altcoins (including Ethereum), and firmly embracing Bitcoin."

The resistance level for Bitcoin's weekly rebound is in the range of 998 - 1045,
with support levels at 923 - 902 - 88;

Ethereum's weekly rebound resistance is in the range of 3615 - 4000,

with support levels at 3100 - 3000 - 2815.

#比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

DOGE has started a rebound after breaking through the first support level.

Currently, it is crucial to pay attention to the key level of 0.313. If it can stabilize above this level, the rebound trend based on the 1-hour timeframe will continue. The target and resistance levels to watch above are around 0.324, 0.335, and 0.349.

On the other hand, if it breaks below the 0.313 level in today's 1-hour timeframe, it would mean the end of this rebound, and the market would turn downward. At that time, the support levels to watch below are around 0.305, 0.296, and 0.288.

#比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

Everyone says that VC coins should not be bought, yet many people are diving in to purchase VC coins.

After enduring the trials of the market and fluctuations in the broader environment, VC coins have undergone deep market cleansing, leaving retail investors with very few chips in hand.

It only needs to slightly align with the upward trend of the market to continuously attract capital inflow.

This stands in stark contrast to the newly issued currencies, which often experience price halving as soon as they go live. It is important to note that without the support of listing fees, it is difficult to achieve a listing; ultimately, it is often the case that project parties and exchanges cash out and leave, while the ones left holding the bag are the vast majority of retail investors.

The main reason many investors favor the Meme sector is that the distribution of retail investors' chips in this sector is sufficiently dispersed, unlike other projects where one party controls as much as 80% of the market chips and engages in so-called "blood exchange" operations.

#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？

The air force holds the idea that the bitcoin continues to pull up, causing a large amount of funds to flow into BTC, and the altcoins are "sucked", and the price of altcoins is also high.

In their view, as long as the bitcoin has a slight correction, the altcoin will inevitably usher in a sharp drop. Therefore, they choose to short at highs and are not in a hurry to operate with full positions, because they believe that there will be lower prices in the future, and they can get chips with lower costs at that time.

The long army has a completely different idea: they firmly believe that the bull market has arrived, and the overall market will only show a fluctuating upward trend. Even if there is a decline during the period, it will quickly stop falling and rise. If you choose to get off at this time, it may be difficult to have a suitable opportunity to get on the train later.

They think that the market will be in a state of anxiety, but it is in this process of anxiety that the bottom will gradually rise and the market will continue to rise. Based on this, the long army believes that the sooner the full position layout is, the better.

So, are you on the side of the air force, or are you inclined to the view of the long army?

#加密市场狂欢 #ETH再度冲击4K #BTC再创新高

From the liquidation map, there are quite a few people trying to bottom-fish, but it seems difficult to quickly achieve a V-shaped reversal. This round of market action is likely to wash investors until they dare not easily bottom-fish; the last spike down to 90,500 completely washed out the bulls, followed by a rapid rebound.

This rebound is relatively slow; one can only gradually bottom-fish, following the strategy of buying small on small dips, not buying when flat, and buying big on big dips. It is wise to bottom-fish during a sell-off, as it is certainly better than chasing highs, and one should firmly believe that the overall trend is upward. After enduring the correction phase, things will improve. Trading with large leverage is undoubtedly gambling with one's life; using left-side spike orders to bottom-fish is most suitable, after all, being anxious makes it hard to succeed.

Key summaries are as follows:
Firstly, the gains of BTC over the previous three days have been swallowed by a single day's crash, and the current rebound momentum is quite weak, so one should hold more spike orders.

Secondly, the current hourly chart is facing resistance; if it cannot stabilize above 98,100, it will continue to decline.

Thirdly, ETH needs to pay attention to the 1-hour line pressure level at 3,780, which is currently close to that resistance level, and we need to observe whether it can effectively break through.

Fourthly, Mentougou has transferred another 3,419 BTC, which is a bearish signal.

Fifthly, the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates next week, which is a bearish factor.

Sixthly, on December 10, Musk took action again by retweeting posts related to PEPE.

Seventhly, 9 addresses purchased 555 billion PEPE in the last 2 hours, valued at about 13.8 million USD, at an average price of 0.000025 USD.

Eighthly, Sun Yuchen claims that this is only a correction, and there will be a continued surge and sustained build-up; everything is just getting started.

Ninthly, Microsoft's 2024 annual shareholder meeting will be held at 00:30 Beijing time on December 11, and one should pay attention to the potential market volatility it may cause.

Tenthly, the Ethereum Foundation has sold another 100 ETH; in the past, their selling actions were often at short-term peaks.

#加密市场回调 #市场回调抄底还是观望？ #SUSHI价格飙升

Doghouse raided in the early morning!

The long-awaited bull market spike phenomenon has returned. Reflecting on the last bull market, spikes occurred frequently. I thought this round of the bull market would be different, but the familiar script has played out again with a stealthy night attack.

It should be noted that this is actually a common method of deleveraging in a bull market and represents a very normal and healthy correction.

If there are ample funds, one can boldly engage in bottom-fishing operations, whether it’s BTC, ETH, or Sol and other cryptocurrencies.

After several days of consolidation, they will surely rise again and subsequently reach higher price levels.

Such bottom-fishing operations are recommended to be done with cash or 2x leverage; do not use high leverage. Even if one cannot precisely grasp the lowest points for bottom-fishing across various cryptocurrencies, it is not a problem. After all, 2x leverage will not easily lead to liquidation, and ultimately, these cryptocurrencies are expected to see price increases, so everyone can confidently make their investments.

#ENA突破1美元 #比特币回升至97K #SUI市场新焦点

Everyone, come and examine the historical cycle chart of BTC.

From this, we can clearly observe that there are specific patterns and rhythms present.

With the help of this trend chart, we can roughly infer that the peak of this bull market will occur in October 2025, while the subsequent low of the next bear market is estimated to be in October 2026.

Today, BTC has successfully broken through the $100,000 barrier.

Looking back to November 2022, at that time the bear market was at its lowest point, with BTC only at $16,000 each. After two years of time passing, it has now achieved nearly a sixfold significant increase.

Let us look forward with hope, believing that the future BTC will create more shocks and surprises for us.

#BTC新高10W #历史见证者打卡 #特朗普将提名亲加密SEC主席

Recently, Bitcoin has fallen into a volatile market, causing many investors to lose their direction. They can't help but wonder whether altcoins will plummet, and how we should position ourselves.

Currently, there are roughly two directions to consider:

First, Bitcoin continues to absorb capital while altcoins remain silent. In this case, we can only patiently wait.

Second, if market funds flow into Ethereum, and the price of Ethereum rises, altcoins are also likely to follow suit, at which point it may be appropriate to join in.

However, if Ethereum experiences a pullback, the altcoins may face not just a normal correction but a significant drop akin to a flood breaking through a dam.

Therefore, before the market trend becomes clear, the best strategy at this moment is still to wait.

From now until January next year during Trump's term, the market is generally on an upward trend, as market expectations already exist.

Previously, we analyzed in depth that the U.S. categorizing BTC as a strategic reserve would prompt other countries to follow suit, with many other nations also purchasing BTC.

Moreover, many publicly listed companies are also interested in getting involved, with industry giants like Microsoft planning to enter the market to buy BTC.

Looking ahead to next year, Bitcoin is expected to continue breaking new highs.

There is no need to overly worry about the decline of altcoins, as when BTC's upward momentum weakens, it is the time for altcoins to rise.

According to historical patterns, about 7 months after each BTC halving, a bull market for altcoins will commence, at which point BTC's dominance will be challenged.

This BTC halving occurred in April, so if we calculate, 7 months later, in November-December, altcoins will experience a rapid rise, which, although fierce, will also be relatively short-lived.

If one does not position themselves in advance, it may be difficult to seize opportunities when the time comes.

On November 2, I led fans to buy XRP near $0.5, and as of now, profits have reached 440%;

On November 21, I bought ENS near $17.5, and current profits are at 140%.

If you want to achieve substantial returns, then keep up with my pace.

#bnb创历史新高 #小非农数据即将公布 #下一个换谁涨？

😜Today, let's analyze two potential coins that have not risen yet, and see if they suit your taste.

PEOPLE: My opinion now is different from before, because I just checked its volume and trend, and found that it is very similar to ENS.

Although it has been sideways here for a long time, neither rising nor falling, the chips have been quietly absorbed by the market makers.

So, friends who hold PEOPLE on hand can continue to hold it, and be sure to be full of confidence. You must know that those currencies that have not risen at the moment will often usher in a rebound in the future, just like BNB.

FIDA: Its current market value is 174 million, and it is a domain name based on SOL. The significance of FIDA to SOL is as important as ENS to ETH.

I guess there are probably not many people on this train, and it is cleaned very thoroughly.

#bnb创历史新高 #Layer1公链普涨 #下一个换谁涨？

ASR - VC indicator 4h channel new dynamic interpretation

Currently, the ASR - VC indicator 4-hour channel has a new situation.

After the price fell back to the middle track, it temporarily got support at this moment.

The short-term upward target is the position of the yellow line. However, given that the price corresponding to the yellow line has reached 100,000, as long as a strong and powerful pull-up action can be launched here again, the trend of this wave of market will be to test the 100,000 price level.

On the other hand, since the rebound force generated near the middle track is relatively weak, once the price falls below the middle track, it is very likely to trigger further callbacks and then drop to the blue line.

So far, a specific range has been built between the high and low prices of the oscillation channel.

You can clearly see the specific distribution of this range on the white line in the figure.

To be fair, in the next stage, that is, before the next round of trend market officially starts, all kinds of behaviors such as oscillation and false breakthroughs in this range can actually be regarded as a gradual accumulation of price momentum.

When the price is above the middle track, the overall situation is more favorable for the bulls;

If the price is below the middle track, the situation will tend to be short.

It is particularly important to note that if the price shows a trend of shrinking volume near the middle track, investors must restrain themselves as much as possible at this time, and must not blindly and arbitrarily operate, so as not to fall into unnecessary risks.

#Layer1公链普涨 #RWA板块普涨 #下一个换谁涨？

The big pancake has broken below the key level of 95000💰

Recently, I have been analyzing resistance levels as a reference for trading, but rarely published content about support levels. So today, I will meet everyone's needs and analyze several support points for the big pancake (BTC).

1️⃣ The first support point is in the range of 93600 - 92400.
The importance of this support level is very prominent. If the big pancake wants to break through the 100,000 mark without experiencing a significant pullback, it needs to stabilize the situation when retesting this support level. This is a key signal point that deserves close attention⚠️

2️⃣ The second support point is in the range of 89400 to 88000.
The significance of this support level mainly lies in its potential for a rebound. Once the big pancake price drops to this level, there is a high probability that a wave of downward movement will follow. Even if this level can temporarily stabilize the price, it is likely that after the rebound, another pullback will occur shortly after. This is a relatively complex node in market fluctuations, and it needs to be treated with caution⚠️

The above are the two most critical support points for the big pancake that are closest to the current price.

Investors can determine their suitable trading strategy based on the specific performance of the big pancake price when it reaches these support levels.❤️‍🔥❤️‍🔥

#微软比特币投资投票案 #NFT市场回暖 #ADA、ENA大额解锁

Gann's prediction for BTC (Bitcoin) on November 22, 2024 is as follows:

Green area: Bitcoin tends to have a higher probability of rebounding in this area, or is more inclined to show a sideways trend;

Red area: Bitcoin is likely to fall, or has a higher probability of sideways movement.

As for the market trend for the rest of the day, it is expected to show a trend of rising and falling.

Among them, the time point when the price may reach the top may be before the US trading session, and the time point when the price reaches the bottom may be before the closing, and there is a chance that the price will reach the position of 1017.

#ETH市场新动向 #比特币突破10万？

Quick Market Commentary: $PNUT

This is a very popular meme project recently, with many mid-influence KOLs vigorously promoting this cryptocurrency, so it is worth exploring whether there are potential opportunities within.

From the 30-minute level (30F), it is currently in a three-stage downward trend structure.

In this, segment ac shows a divergence phenomenon, and the internal central area of segment c is undergoing expansion and upgrading, currently at a critical point for divergence.

Switching to the 5-minute level (5F) perspective, it can be found that there is a consolidation bottom divergence situation, and it is currently in a pullback process; however, the pullback strength is relatively weak and has not produced any decisive effective damage, so the possibility of forming a third type of selling point and extending cannot be ruled out.

Trading Operation Suggestion: Although there is a bottom divergence interval structure, it seems slightly better than the neighboring act, but given the current situation, it is still not suitable to rush in.

Even if there are many nested buying levels, it essentially still belongs to a left-side trading strategy, containing a significant speculative gambling nature. Community ID: Yunzi Community, No Waste Good County

Unless a 5-minute level central area can be constructed subsequently, successfully forming a third type of buying point, allowing us to clearly observe the current market reversal situation, otherwise I will not consider intervening in trading this cryptocurrency.

#PNUT #比特币突破10万？ #现任美SEC主席将于1月离职

In-Depth Analysis of Thursday Afternoon Market Trends and Friday Strategy Outlook

In the cryptocurrency market on Thursday, the market was in a state of consolidation during the early hours, seemingly gathering strength in the background, indicating that significant market movements were about to occur.

As noon approached, the bullish momentum could no longer be contained and began to emerge.

After successfully securing profits from the long positions held, it was precisely pointed out that once the price broke through 75000, a subsequent strong rally would inevitably follow.

As expected, the market trend followed my predictions, surging forward unstoppably towards 97900, resulting in substantial profits for all long positions during today's trading.

To delve deeper through the four-hour price trend analysis, the market, after experiencing a continuous and strong upward movement and successfully breaking through previous highs, is currently showing a brief pause, accompanied by a longer upper shadow.

This pause phenomenon aligns with the theories we previously articulated and should be regarded as the gradual unfolding of a corrective structure.

However, considering there is still ample upward space above, even a slight pullback could potentially impact the current strong pattern.

In terms of short-term strategy, we must closely combine price patterns and closing strength to comprehensively assess the sustainability of the market's strength.

In smaller time frames, such as during the noon period, although the market experienced a pullback after reaching a high point, the extent and strength of the retracement were relatively limited, causing no substantial damage to the overall strong pattern.

For future trends, we can attempt short positions to observe the continuity of the pullback, and based on the actual strength of the pullback, make timely adjustments, subsequently capturing the perfect timing for entering long positions. Cloud House Public No: Cloud Community, no waste, beautiful skirt

Friday Afternoon Operation Suggestions

For Bitcoin (BTC), if a pullback occurs to around 96500 - 97000, consider entering long, with the upper target price looking towards 98000 - 98900.

For Ethereum (ETH), when the price pulls back to the range of 3090 - 3100, it is suitable to perform long operations, with the upper target price set at 3220 - 3250.

Bitcoin's overall market capitalization has now reached 60%. Looking back at the data from the last bull market, it is known that when Bitcoin's market cap approaches 67%, altcoins will experience a collective explosive market.

Based on this prediction, the arrival of this moment is not far off. If nothing unexpected happens, it is likely to occur in the early to mid-December period.

After reaching new highs, Bitcoin has slightly retreated, and altcoins immediately fell into a state of gloom.

The current market situation is indeed not optimistic. Wall Street funds are only interested in Bitcoin, and retail investors in the U.S. are only focusing on on-chain meme coins, while mid-tier altcoins are mercilessly sidelined by the market, as if they were forgotten in a corner. Therefore, we can only patiently wait.

When Bitcoin's price successfully breaks through $100,000, we will then observe whether it can inject some confidence and vitality into altcoins. As long as market confidence can be restored and reshaped, I believe that many investors will be invigorated again, and the market is expected to regain vitality and energy.

#MEME趋势风向 #BTC何时突破10万？ #市场围绕90K

From the current status of BTC, it is highly unlikely that it will touch the key level of 100,000 this week, as there are almost no signs of a pullback.

The current price is still in a strong bullish phase, and as long as during short-term pullbacks, the 4-hour line does not drop below 95,200 - 95,400 (MA7), and the daily line does not drop below 92,000 (MA7), there is basically no need for concern.

The 1-hour line can refer to the mid-line position of 95,000 (i.e., the current position). There is no obvious resistance above, only a turnover area based on market consensus, so we can still look towards 100,000.

The RSI index has reached 80, currently in the overbought range, but considering the extremely high market sentiment, this index is nearly distorted and can be ignored for now.

CEM: The BTC futures index has a positive premium of 600 points compared to the spot market, and this is still before the US market opens, which is enough to indicate that the bullish demand in the futures market is very strong.

In summary:

We should maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude and quietly wait for the historic moment when the 100,000 mark arrives.

If this goal can be achieved this week, then next week we need to reassess the overall market trend.
Continuous and significant increases have the downside of draining liquidity from risk capital flow in the entire market except for BTC.

For BTC itself, a too strong upward trend often hides crises; appropriate pullbacks can create more opportunities for the entire market, which is a more favorable development trend.

The series of situations triggered by MicroStrategy has disrupted the originally expected adjustment path. Public House No. 9: Cloud Son Community, No Waste Excellent Skirt

Currently, many investors are very concerned about what kind of fluctuations will occur when the price reaches 100,000, whether it will directly break through to 110,000 or even 120,000.

But frankly speaking, with my limited knowledge and experience, it is difficult to predict such a long-term trend, and I do not want to make baseless speculations (after all, I am not an authoritative expert). I still focus on the price trend around 100,000, and then make a comprehensive judgment based on market data; this is my basic thinking and viewpoint.

On November 21, everyone watched as Bitcoin kept rising, with the price climbing steadily.

In this situation, many people thought to themselves that they couldn't sell their coins, as they might continue to rise. But when they came to their senses and took a closer look, they realized that their altcoins had already trapped them tightly.

As for whether these altcoins will experience a rebound later or perhaps surge dramatically, that really varies from person to person and everyone has their own opinion.

In my past experiences with price surges, I have indeed encountered situations where Bitcoin rose, pulling other altcoins up along with it.

However, this time is a bit different; Donald Trump has taken office, and his way of thinking is quite different from that of ordinary people, so it’s hard to say what kind of impact his presidency will have on the market. Community ID: Yunzi Commune, No Waste Excellent Skirt

Moreover, up to now, Bitcoin has not shown any significant fluctuations on the daily chart, nor has it displayed any large bullish candles with long lower shadows.

Looking at the current situation, it wouldn't be surprising at all if Bitcoin rises to 100,000, as it's only 5,000 points away from it. Who knows, one day there might be a large bullish candle that shoots it up in an instant.

#MEME趋势风向 #孙宇晨购得喜剧演员 #BTC再创新高97k

Let's talk about the reasons for reducing altcoins yesterday.

In fact, this processing logic has already become a consensus among veteran stock traders.

The general situation is as follows: when the stock market index is in an upward state, it normally leads to the rise of many individual stocks as well.

However, if some individual stocks show a sideways or slightly declining performance, it means that there exists a force that opposes the upward trend of the overall market for these stocks.

This force often takes advantage of the overall favorable situation of the market rally to sell off, and these types of stocks are referred to as "junk stocks" in the professional field.

The same reasoning applies to the cryptocurrency market. If Bitcoin shows a one-sided upward trend, but altcoins do not rise accordingly and even show slight declines, then from this perspective, these altcoins are like junk stocks in the stock market, making them unsuitable short-term investment targets, and decisive reduction of positions must be taken at this time.

Of course, there are still certain differences between the cryptocurrency market and the stock market. The degree of sector differentiation in the cryptocurrency market is not as significant as in the stock market. In extreme cases, it is even possible to see some stocks hitting the upper limit while others hit the lower limit at the same time in the stock market, which makes stock traders more sensitive to changes in capital flow.

In contrast, cryptocurrency traders generally have a relatively lower sensitivity to sector differentiation and capital flow, but this actually becomes an advantage for all-category traders.

All-category traders can span multiple different trading markets, and the trading skills they master are universal; they can be effective in the cryptocurrency market, stock market, or other financial trading markets.

Because of this, I have always encouraged everyone to try all-category trading, as it helps to broaden investment horizons, better grasp market dynamics, and make more reasonable investment decisions.

BTC market has once again refreshed its historical high, and it is not far from the predicted high range of 96 - 98.

However, this is merely an estimated high point, and given Bitcoin's strong trend at present, it is difficult to assert whether it can reach this range in the future. Currently, the BTC market shows a trend of funds pushing prices up unilaterally, but has not been able to drive the entire market to rise in tandem.

The usual practice is to first purchase Bitcoin, and then wait for Ethereum to catch up; however, this year the situation is that buying Bitcoin yields profit while buying Ethereum results in losses.

Therefore, operational strategy is particularly crucial.

This year, as long as one shorts altcoins and Ethereum at random, profit can be made, but shorting Bitcoin is not feasible.

As long as one holds long positions in Bitcoin this year, continuous profits can be obtained. Conversely, if one goes long on Ethereum and altcoins, they will fall into difficulties. In such a market, can this really be called a bull market?

ETH trend analysis: its price has once again reached the critical defense point of 3000.

Yesterday, a small bullish line was formed on the daily chart, while bearish signals have already appeared on the four-hour chart.

In terms of the current trend, the probability of breaking below 3000 is continuously rising.

If Ethereum breaks below the 3000 mark in this round, it is expected to subsequently test the range of 2760 - 2850.
#BTC再次刷新历史高点 #孙宇晨购得喜剧演员 #MEME趋势风向 #BTC何时突破10万？