Global metals market overview for the week of 29 June – 4 July 2026 shows a clear split between base metals and precious metals.
🌐 Base metals such as copper, aluminium, zinc and nickel mostly traded in a narrow range as the market balanced tighter supply expectations, falling inventories and uneven industrial demand. In contrast, precious metals outperformed, with gold and silver leading the move.
⚡ The main catalyst was weaker-than-expected US June jobs data, which lifted expectations for a more dovish Fed. As yields and the US dollar came under pressure, gold moved above the 4,100 USD/oz area, while silver climbed toward the 60–62 USD/oz range.
🟠 Copper has not fully broken out in the short term, partly because prices are already elevated and China’s demand outlook remains mixed. Still, the longer-term setup remains supported by tight mine supply, lower LME inventories and disruption risks in key producing regions.
🏗️ Aluminium cooled after its earlier rally, but low physical inventories and supply risks continue to provide support. Nickel and lead remained weaker due to oversupply pressure, while tin stayed relatively firm on its structural deficit story.
🔌 A key medium-term theme is rising metals demand from AI, data centers and power grid upgrades. Copper and aluminium are the clearest beneficiaries as investment in electricity infrastructure, renewable energy and electric vehicles continues to expand.
📉 The divergence was also visible in iron ore and steel, which remained under pressure from new supply and weak Chinese property demand. This separates non-ferrous metals with stronger supply-demand support from ferrous metals that still lack a strong growth catalyst.
🔎 In the near term, markets will watch US inflation data, Fed signals, Middle East negotiations, US copper tariff decisions and China’s industrial data. The longer-term outlook for copper, aluminium, tin, gold and silver remains constructive, but volatility may stay high.
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