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Crypto asset manager Grayscale Investments examined the CLARITY Act’s place in Washington’s digital asset policy debate as lawmakers consider how crypto markets should be supervised. Zach Pandl, Grayscale Head of Research, outlined the bill’s role in shaping digital asset regulation on May 7.
Rather than treating the legislation as a narrow policy update, Pandl described CLARITY as a broad market structure bill. He wrote that it would clarify which federal regulator oversees which activities. The proposal would create a framework separating investment contracts from digital commodities. Under that approach, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would regulate investment contracts, while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) would oversee digital commodities. The Grayscale head of research stated:
That enforcement-led approach has shaped Grayscale’s view of the bill’s importance. Pandl wrote that tens of billions of dollars in regulatory fines have been paid. He also said many potential participants have avoided crypto due to fears of regulatory backlash, even as the market expanded into a multi-trillion-dollar ecosystem.
Developers, investors, exchanges, brokers, custodians, and asset issuers would all be affected, according to Grayscale. Developers would receive clearer guidance for structuring and launching projects. Investors would face less legal uncertainty around ownership and project outlook. Trading venues, brokers, and custodians would gain clearer registration paths.
Asset issuers would also face more defined requirements for token distribution and ongoing compliance. Regulators, in Grayscale’s view, would operate within a clearer framework instead of relying on fragmented enforcement decisions. Pandl presented that structure as central to reducing uncertainty across digital asset markets.
Public pressure has also entered the Senate debate. Stand With Crypto delivered a petition with more than 28,000 signatures to Washington on April 30, urging the Senate Banking Committee to mark up the CLARITY Act. A survey released on May 7 found 52% of voters supported the bill after reviewing a neutral summary, while 70% said the United States should already have passed clear crypto legislation. Committee timing sharpened after the Senate Banking Committee scheduled a May 14 executive session to consider H.R.3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025.
Passage remains uncertain, despite renewed movement in Washington. Pandl cited Polymarket odds giving the CLARITY Act a 67% chance of passing in 2026. The bill still must advance through the Senate Banking Committee, pass the full Senate, and win approval from both chambers. Grayscale said meaningful progress before the July recess would be important to maintain momentum.
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Liberty advocate Ron Paul argued that booms built on monetary “stimulus” end the old-fashioned way—with bankruptcies, inflation, and a painful reset—because fake growth demands a real correction. If this is the “biggest” boom, he warned, the payback could be proportionate. He traced the cycle to the post-2008 era of zero rates and quantitative easing, calling today’s cheerleading a rerun of past bubbles.
Rosini took aim at a presidential habit: brag about the stock market on the way up, pretend it doesn’t matter on the way down. He said inflation denial has migrated from one administration to the next, while household bills tell an entirely different story. With rate cuts expected, he said, higher prices are likely to linger—another reason the current expansion looks contrived.
Beyond the macro, Paul said the system isn’t “capitalism” so much as cronyism—a patchwork of interventions sold as democracy but steered by 51% coalitions and special interest groups. The result, he stressed, is pressure on Congress to keep the spending flowing, even when lawmakers know better. Interventionism, in his telling, is a bipartisan sport dressed up as unity.
Tariffs were Exhibit A. Paul called them immoral and economically backward because consumers foot the bill. Using a sneakers example, he argued protectionism punishes shoppers with higher prices while rewarding favored producers. “Tariffs are taxes,” he said, and even without the levy, foreign suppliers would raise prices in response to U.S. barriers—costs that ultimately land on buyers
Rosini added numbers to the critique, citing roughly $219 billion collected via tariffs and a Goldman Sachs estimate that Americans eat 86% of the tab—money that barely dents deficits while matching outlays such as U.S. funding aid to foreign countries. He said breathless claims about multi-trillion-dollar investment pledges are, for now, rhetoric outpacing the economic realities.
The pair said demagoguery thrives because people expect short-term gains, while lobbyists grease the machinery. Paul argued the United States lives in a permanent “mixed” economy—part corporatism, part central planning—where both parties enlarge the state in a relay. The true fix, he remarked, is a return to constitutional limits, sound money, and free market exchange.
Still, they ended on a glass-half-full note: ideas matter, and better economics can spread quickly once the costs of intervention bite hard enough. Citing groups teaching Austrian principles, Paul said public opinion can pivot fast—Covid-19 policies being a recent case study. Until then, Paul and Rosini urged vigilance and less cheerleading from the political class. They framed that pivot as achievable if voters reward restraint over grand, crowd-pleasing promises from either party instead.
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Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has issued renewed warnings about the weakening U.S. dollar and the growing economic pressures he believes Americans must prepare for. His book has been an international best seller for decades, translated into dozens of languages and shaping how millions around the world think about money, debt, and financial independence.
Kiyosaki shared on social media platform X last week: “Bye bye U.S. dollar!!!!!” He warned followers:
In the same post, the famous author also conveyed his belief that BRICS nations are developing a gold-backed currency called the “UNIT,” a claim reported by several media outlets but not confirmed by any official announcement. BRICS nations include Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Ethiopia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Indonesia. Kiyosaki’s message remained centered on what he sees as accelerating inflation and the declining purchasing power of the U.S. dollar.
The renowned author also cited UBS data indicating an increase in global billionaires, noting that about 2,900 individuals now control $15.8 trillion, up from 2,700 controlling $14 trillion in 2024. He added that he is not among the older or newer billionaires, saying he built his wealth through “ultra-low tech” ventures such as books and games produced with long-established printing technology, and that he saves his money in physical gold and silver. He emphasized that, in his experience, wealth is not determined by new or old technology but by durable financial principles that withstand economic upheaval.
Kiyosaki has consistently warned that fiat currencies—especially the U.S. dollar—are losing strength as inflation erodes purchasing power. Whether or not any new global currency emerges, Kiyosaki maintains that individuals should protect themselves with gold, silver, bitcoin, and ether—assets he believes will remain resilient as traditional currencies continue to weaken.
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Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, shared a series of lessons on social media platform X this week focused on how individuals can protect and grow wealth during prolonged global economic downturns, with particular emphasis on preparation, asset ownership, and bitcoin.
During a global economic crash, prices on many assets will crash,” Kiyosaki said, “which means a crash may be a good time to acquire assets, such as rental real estate… that provides cash flow.” The famous author noted:
Kiyosaki used this statement to explain that falling asset prices are not inherently negative if investors are financially prepared and liquid. He argued that crashes often reset valuations, allowing disciplined buyers to acquire income-generating assets at discounts. By referencing his experience across multiple downturns, he framed crashes as recurring cycles rather than rare catastrophes, reinforcing his broader lesson that wealth is built through counter-cyclical action rather than fear-driven retreat.
What would you do to increase your wealth during an economic crisis? Best to plan now,” the renowned author asked his followers, underscoring his belief that advance planning, not reaction, determines outcomes when markets deteriorate.
His follow-up posts expanded on the long-term nature of economic decline and his preference for hard and decentralized assets. Kiyosaki explained: “How you can get richer as the world economy collapses. Crashes do not happen overnight. Crashes take decades to occur.” He argued that today’s instability stems from decades of debt expansion and monetary intervention. From that perspective, the acclaimed author urged asset protection outside traditional systems, writing:
Kiyosaki presented bitcoin as “people’s money,” highlighting its fixed supply and independence from central banks as safeguards against currency debasement. Supporters of bitcoin echo this view, pointing to its transparent issuance and censorship resistance, while critics note volatility and regulatory uncertainty. Kiyosaki’s central lesson remains that understanding monetary history and positioning early are key to long-term financial resilience.
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Robinhood Markets Inc. reported a 27% increase in fourth-quarter revenue, reaching $1.28 billion compared to $1.01 billion in the same period last year. While the growth highlights the company’s expanding scale, the results fell short of the $1.34 billion target set by Wall Street analysts. The quarter was characterized by a 34% decline in net income attributable to common stockholders, which dropped to $605 million from $916 million a year prior.
The year-over-year dip in quarterly profit was primarily tied to a significant shift in tax accounting. In the fourth quarter of 2024, Robinhood benefited from a $358 million income tax credit. In contrast, the company recorded a tax provision of $56 million for the final quarter of 2025.
Operational expenses also weighed on the quarter, surging 38% as the firm ramped up investments. Management noted that the increased spending was largely driven by aggressive marketing, growth-oriented initiatives, and costs associated with recent acquisitions. Despite these pressures, the company saw growth across all its primary revenue streams, supported by a massive influx of new capital. Net deposits for the quarter reached $15.9 billion, representing a 19% annualized growth rate relative to assets at the end of the previous quarter.
Reflecting on the full-year performance, CFO Shiv Verma described 2025 as a “record year” that saw the company achieve new highs in net deposits, trading volumes, and Gold subscription numbers. Total annual revenue jumped 52% to $4.47 billion, while full-year net income rose to $1.88 billion. Verma expressed optimism for the year ahead, noting that 2026 is already off to a strong start with a continued focus on driving profitable growth for shareholders.
We are incredibly excited about our plan and momentum for the year ahead as we focus on shipping great products for customers and driving profitable growth for shareholders,” Verma said.
Chief Executive Officer Vlad Tenev emphasized that the company remains committed to its long-term vision of becoming a “financial superapp.” This strategy appears to be gaining traction with users; over the past twelve months, Robinhood attracted $68.1 billion in net deposits, a 35% growth rate relative to the platform’s total assets at the end of 2024.
The company also continued its capital return program, repurchasing $653 million worth of Class A common stock during the year. This translated to 12 million shares at an average price of $54.30. Since the buyback program was initiated in mid-2024, Robinhood has repurchased approximately 22 million shares for a total value of $910 million.The company also continued its capital return program, repurchasing $653 million worth of Class A common stock during the year. This translated to 12 million shares at an average price of $54.30. Since the buyback program was initiated in mid-2024, Robinhood has repurchased approximately 22 million shares for a total value of $910 million.
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#WLFSuesJustinSun
#KEEP_SUPPORT
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#USAndIranTradeShotInTheStraitOfHormuz

According to Cryptoquant‘s latest report, bitcoin‘s apparent demand metric, which tracks the 30-day change in estimated onchain spot buying activity, stayed negative for the full duration of April’s price run. Perpetual futures demand expanded during the same window as speculative traders pushed prices higher through leverage rather than direct coin accumulation.
Cryptoquant researchers describe the gap between rising futures activity and contracting spot demand as one of the clearest onchain signals that price gains are speculative in nature. When spot demand falls while price climbs, the market’s marginal buyer is positioned in derivatives, not in actual bitcoin.
The analyst’s phased breakdown of demand data makes the dynamic hard to dispute. Each phase of April’s rally showed higher perpetual futures demand alongside negative spot apparent demand. This was not a case of spot buyers lagging behind and catching up. Spot demand actively contracted as futures activity climbed.
Cryptoquant market strategists note that rallies with this structure tend to be self-limiting. Without fresh spot demand to absorb elevated prices, the unwind of futures positioning becomes the primary driver of the next decline.
The historical parallel Cryptoquant researchers draw is direct and worth taking seriously. The same demand signature appeared at the onset of the 2022 bear market, when perpetual futures demand expanded in isolation while spot apparent demand stayed in contraction. That setup preceded a multi-month price decline. Cryptoquant applies onchain demand decomposition consistently across cycles and identifies this pattern as a reliable early indicator of price fragility.
Bitcoin has already begun pulling back from the April peak. Price slipped from $79,000 to $75,000 following the rally’s high, a move consistent with how futures-led rallies historically resolve once speculative positioning begins to unwind. As of Saturday, May 2, BTC is exchanging hands just above $78,000 after trying again to reach the $80,000 mark.
Cryptoquant’s Bull Score Index declined from 50 to 40 in April, crossing back below the neutral threshold and returning to bearish territory. The index briefly reached 50, neutral ground, in mid-April before sliding to 40 by month’s end despite the 20% price gain during that stretch. Cryptoquant describes a score of 40 as conditions “getting bearish,” placing the market in a range historically associated with continued price weakness.
The Bull Score is a composite index Cryptoquant builds from multiple onchain and market indicators, scaled from 0 to 100. Scores above 50 reflect bullish conditions. Scores below 50 reflect bearish conditions. The market action also coincides with the U.S.-Iran conflict and geopolitical rumblings. Yesterday, Trump said the conflict was over, which gave bitcoin another boost alongside equities.
Cryptoquant analysts conclude that without a reversal in apparent demand from negative to positive territory, any push back toward the $79,000 local peak will lack the on-chain support needed to produce a sustained breakout.
The data does not guarantee a repeat of 2022’s prolonged downturn, but Cryptoquant makes clear the current demand structure matches the historical profile of price fragility, not accumulation.
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WASHINGTON, April 23 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's administration is considering more than doubling an annual refugee limit to bring more white South Africans into the ​U.S., according to three people familiar with the matter.
Trump, a Republican, paused refugee admissions from around the world when he took office in January 2025. Weeks later, ‌he issued an executive order prioritizing the resettlement of European-descended Afrikaners, saying they faced race-based persecution in majority-Black South Africa. South Africa’s government vehemently denies the claims.
The U.S. Refugee Admissions Program was formally established in 1980 after hundreds of thousands of people fled wars in Vietnam and Cambodia. The program expanded to provide safe haven to persecuted people around the globe. Trump has used it almost exclusively to bring white South Africans into the U.S., ​part of a broader upending of norms around humanitarian protection, opens new tab.
In recent weeks, U.S. officials have discussed expanding the 7,500-person refugee cap by 10,000 to allow more South Africans of ​Afrikaner ethnicity to obtain refugee status, said people familiar with internal planning, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to share non-public government discussions.
On Thursday, Assistant Secretary of State Andrew Veprek said an increase in the refugee limit was being considered, but did not provide details. "We're looking ​at the pace of resettlement right now and thinking about how quickly it's going, and do we need to increase the ceiling for the current fiscal year as well," he said at ​an event hosted by the Center for Immigration Studies, which supports lower levels of immigration.
The ⁠White House referred questions to the U.S. State Department.
Blacks make up 81% of South Africa's population, according to 2022 census data. Afrikaners and other white South Africans constitute 7% of the population.
During the apartheid era, which ended with the first democratic elections in 1994, South Africa maintained a racially segregated society with separate schools, neighborhoods and public facilities for people classified as Black, colored, white or Asian.
Trump set the record-low refugee ceiling of 7,500 for fiscal year 2026, which began October 1, 2025, ‌down from ⁠a ceiling of 125,000 a year under former President Joe Biden.
The U.S. ​admitted about 4,500 South Africans as refugees through the first six months of the fiscal year, State Department figures show, on pace to exceed Trump’s existing limits for the program. The only ​refugees other than white South Africans to enter this fiscal year were three Afghans, according to State Department statistics.
U.S. officials are weighing whether religious minorities from Iran and countries that used to be part of the Soviet Union could be included under what’s known as the “Lautenberg” program, the person said. The program stems from a 1989 budget amendment introduced by then-U.S. Senator Frank Lautenberg that aimed to make it easier for Jewish refugees to resettle in the U.S.
The Trump administration is also discussing bringing in refugees of other nationalities, one of the people familiar with planning said.
Even as ​Trump looks to further ramp up the entry ​of South Africans, an internal U.S. government ⁠email reviewed by Reuters showed that at least four refugees already in the U.S. have returned to South Africa.
One South African who arrived in Minneapolis in late January departed the U.S. less than a month later, the email showed. Case notes said that plans for his daughter and ​grandchildren to join him “fell through” so he returned to his home country.
A pair of South Africans who arrived in Twin Falls, Idaho, in ​late January via the ⁠refugee program turned around a week later, saying a parent was ill in South Africa, the email showed
Another South African resettled in Moline, Illinois, in mid-March returned home weeks later, the email said.
Resettlement occurred quickly, she had not thoroughly thought through the process, and her family in South Africa has decided not to continue their own resettlement process,” case notes said. “Additionally, the client’s age (66) and ability to provide ⁠for herself is ​a concern.”
Trump has portrayed South Africa as dangerous and oppressive for whites, yet thousands of white South Africans abroad have ​returned to the country in recent years, Reuters reported in March.
U.S. government contracting documents reported by Reuters in February said the U.S. aimed to process 4,500 white South Africans per month through the refugee program. The documents also said the ​State Department paid to install more than a dozen trailers on embassy property in Pretoria to conduct interviews.
Reporting by Ted Hesson; Additional reporting by Jonathan Landay; Editing by Craig Timberg and David Gregorio
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New data shows unusually high win rates in defense bets, building on research that 3% of traders drive prices and under 1% capture most profits.
Across political markets, such “longshot” bets typically succeed about 14% of the time. In military-linked contracts, success rates have topped 50% in some cases.
Markets tied to specific government policies, such as military and defense and foreign affairs, are harder to forecast using public information alone," the authors wrote, making them "more susceptible to information asymmetries," including insider trading or specialized knowledge.
In those markets, the gap between informed and uninformed traders may be widest, creating conditions in which a small group can consistently outperform not just by reacting faster, but by knowing more
For its part, Polymarket touts its market surveillance teams and cooperation with the Department of Justice on the Venezuela case. Trading on confidential knowledge is prohibited on the platform, as it is on Kalshi
The ACDC report's findings add to a growing body of research pointing in the same direction. A working paper from London Business School and Yale found that roughly 3% of traders account for most price discovery on Polymarket.
Separate analysis from blockchain analytics firm Solidus Labs showed that profits are even more concentrated, with fewer than 1% of wallets capturing about half of all gains. ACDC's contribution is to suggest where some of that edge may come from.
The report examines the June 2025 U.S. strikes on Iran as a case study. Polymarket listed several date-specific contracts on whether a strike would occur. Markets tied to June 19 and June 20 expired without incident, and no longshot bets won.
The strike came at 18:40 ET on June 21. In the hours leading up to it, 19 longshot bets totaling $164,292 were placed across the contracts that ultimately resolved YES. Eight wallets shared about $1.8 million in profits, with one taking nearly $500,000.
The Pentagon had designed the operation to be unreadable from the outside, using decoy bombers and long-range stealth aircraft to avoid detection. Despite that, a small number of traders placed large, well-timed bets on the outcome.
The pattern extends beyond a single event. Across Polymarket’s military and defense category, the report found that in five of the six two-hour windows before market resolution, winning longshot bets outnumbered losing ones, contrary to what market prices imply.
Longshot bets can outperform for other reasons, including mispricing or shifts in public expectations. But the consistency of the patterns, especially in markets tied to military decisions, suggests that some participants may be operating with information advantages that others do not have.
ACDC, being a nonprofit research group funded through the Fund for Constitutional Government, has no surveillance product to sell, compared to Solidus Labs, whose own recent Polymarket analysis doubles as a marketing case for the platform it licenses to Kalshi.
ACDC's recommendations include identity verification for bettors, conditional payouts on suspicious wagers, restrictions on markets whose outcomes are decided by small groups, and limits on how granular contracts can become.
The report’s conclusion goes further, calling for “an evidence-informed debate about whether the public should be betting on these outcomes at all.”
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The story of Internet Computer (ICP) is one of the most dramatic cycles in crypto history — from extreme hype to deep collapse… and now a slow, uncertain rebuild.
Back in 2021, ICP shocked the market by reaching an all-time high near $700+ within days of launch . Today, it trades over 99% below that peak, sitting in a long-term accumulation zone
CoinGecko +1
CoinGecko +1
So the real question is:
WILL ICP EVER HIT ITS HIGHEST PRICE AGAIN?
Reality Check First
Reaching the old ATH is not just a pump— it would require:
Massive adoption of ICP ecosystem
Strong developer growth (currently still behind major chains)
CoinStats
A full crypto bull cycle with liquidity returning
Narrative shift (AI + Web3 integration)
Right now, ICP is still a small-cap compared to giants like Ethereum and Solana, meaning it has upside — but also higher uncertainty .
CoinStats
HOW LONG CAN IT TAKE?
1. Short-Term (1–2 Years)
Likely range: recovery phase, slow growth
Predictions suggest modest movement, even sideways or weak performance .
CoinCodex
Focus: accumulation, not ATH
👉 Not enough time for ATH recovery
2. Mid-Term (3–5 Years)
Possible strong rally if:
Bull market returns
ICP narrative improves (AI, Web3 infra)
Some optimistic projections aim for double-digit prices
👉 Still far from ATH, but momentum can build
3. Long-Term (5–10+ Years)
This is the ONLY realistic window for ATH attempt.
To reach previous highs:
ICP would need 100x–200x growth
That requires:
Mass adoption
Institutional interest
Real-world use cases scaling globally
👉 Possible, but extremely difficult — not guaranteed
MARKET TRUTH (NO HYPE)
ICP ATH: ~$700
Current zone: ~$2–3
Gap to ATH: over 200x
Market sentiment: cautious
Even optimistic models show slow growth, not explosive recovery in near future �.
CoinCodex
🚀 THE BULLISH CASE (WHY PEOPLE STILL BELIEVE)
Unique tech (on-chain internet & apps)
AI narrative integration potential
Still undervalued compared to big chains
Strong comeback potential in altseason.
$ICP
#hottrendingtopics #Artical #