Today we will apply the Fibonacci retracement on the monthly timeframe, based on the real data available.
📐 Fibonacci Retracement — Monthly (BTC)
References for the move:
| Point | Price | Date |
Bottom (0%) - US$ 60,000 - Jul/2026 (tested support)
Top (100%) - US$ 126,080 - Oct/2025 (ATH)
Considering the bullish move from US$ 60,000 → US$ 126,080 as the reference.
Calculated Fibonacci levels
0.236 (23.6%) ~ US$ 75,600|
First support level after the top
0.382 (38.2%) ~ US$ 67,500
Classic level of moderate correction
0.500 (50%) ~ US$ 63,040
Middle of the move — psychological support
0.618 (61.8%) ~ US$ 58,600
Golden level — deep correction
0.786 (78.6%) ~ US$ 51,600
Severe correction, almost a return to the bottom
What am I doing?
1. Weekly DCA starting now, with recurring buys in the current zone (~US$ 64,000)
2. Strategic reserve: I hold back 40–50% of the allocated capital waiting for the “golden zone” (US$ 58,600), meaning the historically respected 61.8% level.
3. Maximum buy: If BTC falls to US$ 51,000–55,000 (78.6%), I increase my position aggressively—this is a scenario of a severe correction with low probability, but extremely high potential return
In summary: The 61.8% level (~US$ 58,600) is, for me, the most interesting buying point from this analysis. This is where the market historically reverses in well-established uptrends.
And remember: Risk management is essential!
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. It is only an educational, didactic explanation of Fibonacci retracement, strictly for educational purposes!
#BTC走势分析 #BTC突破7万大关 #fibonacciretracement $BTC $BTC And what do you think?