Things have become much more tense.
Senior U.S. officials say they expect Trump to decide in the coming days whether to expand military operations against Iran. If that happens, reports suggest the scale could be much larger than the previous wave of attacks, potentially extending beyond the target areas so far.
Iran is not backing down either. Officials describe the situation as a large-scale conflict, while regional tensions continue to rise, with threats involving U.S. military assets and shipping routes.
The market reacted as you’d expect first: oil.
Brent crude briefly pushed above $BTC 91, reinforcing the well-known chain that crypto traders have been watching: more oil → stronger inflation expectations → fewer hopes for a less aggressive Fed → less pressure on risk assets.
What surprises me is that BTC is still holding around $BTC 65,000. That tells me that many traders are still betting that this won’t turn into a much broader conflict.
But if the situation worsens even further, volatility could return very quickly in crypto, equities, and commodities. Headlines—rather than charts—would likely become the biggest driver of the market.
For now, I prefer to react rather than predict. Geopolitical developments can change within minutes, and markets often swing harder than anyone expects when uncertainty increases.
I’m keeping my position light until the picture becomes clearer.
$BTC ETH $QQQ $CL
#CryptoRebound
#SemisEarningsTest
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