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Palantir nearly doubled its revenue — but the market is focusing on one figure that’s slowing down.

Facts: Q3 2026 report (released Monday evening in the U.S., Nov. 2): revenue of $2.313 billion, up 96% year over year and above expectations of $2.18 billion; adjusted EPS of $0.44 vs. $0.41 (LSEG data, cited by CNBC and several media outlets). U.S. commercial revenue was $984 million (+148%), surpassing U.S. government revenue of $953 million (+96%) for the first time. 2026 guidance was raised to $8.530–8.534 billion from $8.150–8.158 billion, and Q4 guidance was set at $2.649–2.653 billion. What the market is watching: total value of new contracts was only $2.92 billion (+6% YoY), a sharp slowdown from +49% in Q2. PLTR shares themselves were already down 3.13% to $178.34 in Monday’s regular session.

Market context: the S&P 500 fell 0.51% to 7,541.40 and the Nasdaq fell 1.07% to 25,164.32, while the Dow rose 0.41% — a rotation out of technology and AI. The technology sector fell 2.66% and the semiconductor index fell 3.37%.

What I’m watching: whether the initial after-hours reaction holds when regular trading opens on Tuesday, and whether contract value picks up again in Q4 — because most of today’s revenue came from existing contracts already being worked on.

My take: this report shows that corporate demand for AI is real, but the market now wants proof of replenishment: new contracts need to catch up with revenue, or valuation will bear the burden. For crypto, the relevant point is the same appetite for risk — even AI stocks beating expectations aren’t automatically celebrated when the market is questioning the financing of AI spending.

This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.

What do you think will matter more for PLTR’s prospects: raised guidance or slowing new contracts?

#Palantir #Earnings #SahamUSA

Apple beat expectations — but its stock dipped slightly. A beat that went uncelebrated.

The facts: fiscal Q4 2026 (released the evening of Nov. 2 in the U.S.): revenue of $114.48 billion vs. expectations of $113.39 billion, EPS of $2.10 vs. $1.99 (Reuters, LSEG data). iPhone revenue was $57.58 billion vs. $56.54 billion — a September-quarter record, thanks to iPhone 18 Pro. Services brought in $31.57 billion, an all-time high. Mac revenue was $10.79 billion vs. $9.61 billion. The weak spots: iPad at $6.23 billion vs. $6.70 billion, and wearables at $8.30 billion vs. $9.06 billion. Margins were 47.9% vs. 47.5%, but about 1 percentage point came from tariff refunds. Full-year revenue: $479 billion, a record. Shares fell about 1% after hours. This was CEO John Ternus’s first report, after he replaced Tim Cook on September 1.

Context: the release came on U.S. election night and ahead of the RBA decision at around 07:30 WIB and U.S. jobs data on Friday — markets are weighing risk, not celebrating a backward-looking report.

What I’m watching: holiday-quarter guidance on the earnings call that just started this morning, and iPhone Duo supply constraints.

My take: this beat was driven by iPhone and pricing, not a broad-based recovery — and the market rewards forward expectations, not backward-looking results. For crypto, what matters is risk appetite: even a stock this large isn’t being celebrated despite the beat.

This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.

What do you think will matter more for AAPL’s future: holiday-quarter guidance or Duo supply constraints?

#Apple #Earnings #SahamUSA

Nasdaq-100 officially entered correction territory — down 10.4% from its record. And the trigger isn’t one stock, but the entire chip sector.

The facts: Nasdaq-100 closed at 27,989.82 on Monday, Nov. 2, down 1.4% for the day and 10.4% below its record close on Oct. 6 (31,224.69) — its third technical correction this year (Robinhood data, cited by Wall Street Observer; confirmed by HDFC Sky). Nasdaq Composite fell 1.07% to 25,164.32, and S&P 500 fell 0.51% to 7,541.83. Chip stocks led the decline: semiconductor ETF SOXX fell nearly 4% on Monday, bringing its three-day loss to around 12%. Intel fell another 8.8% after plunging 29% on Friday; AMD fell 7.5% ahead of tonight’s earnings; Marvell fell 13% after announcing its $115 billion acquisition of Lumentum; Oracle fell around 9% following its $20 billion fundraising plan.

Market context: this isn’t one unlucky stock — it’s a market questioning whether massive AI spending will pay off anytime soon. The index trend is clearly risk-off, and that’s spilling over into crypto: BTC is also under pressure below $77,000 today.

What I’m watching: AMD and Shopify earnings tonight (U.S. session), and U.S. election results starting to come in Wednesday morning Western Indonesia Time — two catalysts that could deepen or reverse this correction.

My opinion: a 10% correction after a long rally is technically healthy, but what matters isn’t the bounce — it’s whether upcoming chip earnings justify AI valuations or confirm the market’s concerns. Until QQQ reclaims Friday’s closing level, I’m reading the market as still defensive.

This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.

What do you think: is this Nasdaq correction just a pause before the rally continues, or the start of a reassessment of AI stocks?

#Nasdaq #SahamUSA #KoreksiPasar

PLTR just delivered its best quarter — and the market is still selling it.

The facts: Palantir reported Q3 2026 on Nov. 2 after the U.S. market closed (Morningstar/Dow Jones, Invezz): revenue of $2.313 billion, up 96% year over year and above expectations of $2.18 billion; adjusted EPS of $0.44 vs. $0.41. The milestone: U.S. commercial revenue of $984 million (+148%) surpassed U.S. government revenue of $953 million (+96%) for the first time. Its 2026 guidance was raised to $8.53 billion, and Q4 guidance came in at $2.649–2.653 billion vs. expectations of $2.46 billion. But the stock weakened in after-hours trading.

Market context: U.S. markets are holding their breath ahead of today’s midterm elections and this week’s jobs data, so a beat alone isn’t enough to lift stocks amid defensive sentiment.

What I’m watching: the gap behind the beat — total contract value of new deals rose just 6% year over year to $2.918 billion, after +49% in Q2, and new U.S. commercial contracts were up just +11%. The question: can revenue keep growing at nearly 2x if its new-contract engine is slowing?

My take: this shows that corporate AI spending is real — commercial is now Palantir’s main engine, not government. But the market values the future, not the past; slowing contracts are a legitimate reason for caution, not panic.

Do you think the market is right to focus on this slowdown in contracts, or is this an overreaction to what was actually a blowout quarter?

This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.

#Palantir #USStocks

RDDT plunged 29% in a day even though its revenue rose 53% — and the cause wasn’t last quarter, but traffic from Google.

The facts: Reddit closed Friday, Oct. 30, at $91.73, down 29.2% from $129.60 the day before — its worst day since its March 2024 IPO (TheStreet and CoinCentral, Oct. 30–31; Reuters via the same coverage). Its third quarter was actually strong: revenue of $895 million, up 53% year over year, net income of $283 million, and EPS of $1.40, above expectations of $1.33. What punished the stock was the outlook: Q4 revenue guidance of $1.0–$1.03 billion, below the $1.045 billion consensus. U.S. daily users fell 2% year over year to 50.7 million, referrals from search engines dropped by more than 1 million per week during October, and management warned that global daily users could decline by a percentage in the low double digits in Q4 if this trend continues — CEO Steve Huffman blamed Google’s AI features, AI Overviews and AI Mode.

Market context: The S&P 500 fell 1.82% to 7,580.07 and the Nasdaq fell 2.86% to 25,437 on the same Friday — so SPY and QQQ were both in the red. But RDDT fell much further than the indexes: this is a company-specific story, not just a case of following the market.

What I’m watching next: whether U.S. logged-in users hold steady, whether referrals improve or keep shrinking at the start of Q4, and the Q4 report early next year, which will show whether the $1.0–$1.03 billion guidance was met.

My take: the market is punishing the traffic trajectory here, not today’s ad business — revenue is still growing 53%. But if users coming from search keep dwindling, that ad growth will eventually be at risk too. What could turn this story around isn’t another good quarter, but proof that Reddit can attract users without relying on Google.

This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.

What do you think: is this an overreaction to one traffic risk, or the beginning of a bigger problem for Reddit?

#SahamUSA #Reddit #Earnings

INTC plunged nearly 29% in a day—and that's what dragged the entire chip sector down with it.

The facts: Intel closed Friday, Oct. 30, at $65.76, down 28.6% from $92.07 the previous day (Reuters and Sharecast, Oct. 30). The trigger wasn’t the quarter that just ended—Q3 revenue rose 21% to $16.51 billion—but its Q4 guidance: $15–16 billion, below expectations of $17.07 billion (LSEG data via Reuters), with EPS of $0.25 versus expectations of $0.43. PC chip revenue fell 5% to $8.1 billion; management expects PC weakness to continue at least through the first half of 2027, on top of disruptions at its Israeli factory that cut about $300 million from the Q4 outlook.

Market context: The S&P 500 fell 1.82% to 7,580.07 and the Nasdaq dropped 2.86% to 25,437, with the Nasdaq-100 down 3.46% and the SOX semiconductor index plunging 7.2%. But the rotation was selective: energy rose 1.91% and consumer staples gained 1.41%—so this is a hit to the AI and chip complex, not the entire market.

What I’m watching next: whether the SOX holds above Friday’s closing level when Monday’s session opens, and whether there are any updates on the Israeli factory’s recovery and memory prices weighing on the PC business.

My take: the market is punishing the story, not just the numbers—a strong quarter lost out to a weaker outlook. For me, it’s a reminder: during earnings season, guidance often matters more than past results. One red day for chips doesn’t automatically invalidate the long-term AI thesis; what’s changed is the standard of proof—big spending now has to demonstrate cash flow.

This is my analysis, not financial advice—always DYOR.

What do you think: is this chip correction just a valuation adjustment, or the start of a rotation out of AI stocks?

#SahamUSA #Intel