#inflasi
inflasi
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German inflation slowed more than expected — a little good news for risk assets.
Facts: preliminary Destatis data showed German inflation at 2.8% y/y in October, slowing from the previous month and below the Reuters survey forecast (3.1% for the harmonized EU index). Core inflation fell to 2.1% from 2.4%, and energy price increases slowed to 12.2% from 14.9% — helped by fuel tax cuts that took effect in early October.
My take: this eases one source of pressure, but it doesn’t change the bigger picture. The ECB held interest rates steady on Thursday, but continued to signal a possible December hike due to energy inflation risks. For crypto, short-term sentiment is still dominated by yesterday’s hacking news — improving macro conditions ease one burden, but aren’t a rally trigger on their own.
What I’m watching next: eurozone inflation on Wednesday (expected at 3.9% vs. 3.8% in September). On the chart, the levels $BTC I’m watching: below $77,200, then $76,400; above $78,200.
This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.
What do you think: will eurozone data soften too on Wednesday, or heat up again?
#Inflasi #Makro $BTC
German inflation slowed more than expected — a little good news for risk assets.
Facts: preliminary Destatis data showed German inflation at 2.8% y/y in October, slowing from the previous month and below the Reuters survey forecast (3.1% for the harmonized EU index). Core inflation fell to 2.1% from 2.4%, and energy price increases slowed to 12.2% from 14.9% — helped by fuel tax cuts that took effect in early October.
My take: this eases one source of pressure, but it doesn’t change the bigger picture. The ECB held interest rates steady on Thursday, but continued to signal a possible December hike due to energy inflation risks. For crypto, short-term sentiment is still dominated by yesterday’s hacking news — improving macro conditions ease one burden, but aren’t a rally trigger on their own.
What I’m watching next: eurozone inflation on Wednesday (expected at 3.9% vs. 3.8% in September). On the chart, the levels $BTC I’m watching: below $77,200, then $76,400; above $78,200.
This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.
What do you think: will eurozone data soften too on Wednesday, or heat up again?
#Inflasi #Makro $BTC
Facts: preliminary Destatis data showed German inflation at 2.8% y/y in October, slowing from the previous month and below the Reuters survey forecast (3.1% for the harmonized EU index). Core inflation fell to 2.1% from 2.4%, and energy price increases slowed to 12.2% from 14.9% — helped by fuel tax cuts that took effect in early October.
My take: this eases one source of pressure, but it doesn’t change the bigger picture. The ECB held interest rates steady on Thursday, but continued to signal a possible December hike due to energy inflation risks. For crypto, short-term sentiment is still dominated by yesterday’s hacking news — improving macro conditions ease one burden, but aren’t a rally trigger on their own.
What I’m watching next: eurozone inflation on Wednesday (expected at 3.9% vs. 3.8% in September). On the chart, the levels $BTC I’m watching: below $77,200, then $76,400; above $78,200.
This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.
What do you think: will eurozone data soften too on Wednesday, or heat up again?
#Inflasi #Makro $BTC
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Brent briefly closed above $116 — and that’s bad news for inflation expectations ahead of the Fed.
Facts: Brent closed at $116.72/barrel on Friday (Reuters, Oct 26), up nearly $3 in a day and +6% for the week, driven by Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities. On Monday morning, Brent eased to around $114.5–$115.2.
My take: Inflation risks are flaring up again right before the Fed’s decision on Oct 29 at 01:00 WIB. Expensive oil makes easing more difficult and weighs on risk assets — BTC is still around $80,160 today. Monday’s pullback suggests the market isn’t panicking yet, but supply risks haven’t gone away as long as the attacks continue.
What I’m watching: further attacks, US–Iran statements, and whether Brent climbs back above $116.72 before the Fed.
What do you think — is persistently high oil putting more pressure on BTC, or has the market already priced it in?
This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.
#Minyak #Inflasi $BTC
Brent briefly closed above $116 — and that’s bad news for inflation expectations ahead of the Fed.
Facts: Brent closed at $116.72/barrel on Friday (Reuters, Oct 26), up nearly $3 in a day and +6% for the week, driven by Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities. On Monday morning, Brent eased to around $114.5–$115.2.
My take: Inflation risks are flaring up again right before the Fed’s decision on Oct 29 at 01:00 WIB. Expensive oil makes easing more difficult and weighs on risk assets — BTC is still around $80,160 today. Monday’s pullback suggests the market isn’t panicking yet, but supply risks haven’t gone away as long as the attacks continue.
What I’m watching: further attacks, US–Iran statements, and whether Brent climbs back above $116.72 before the Fed.
What do you think — is persistently high oil putting more pressure on BTC, or has the market already priced it in?
This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.
#Minyak #Inflasi $BTC
Facts: Brent closed at $116.72/barrel on Friday (Reuters, Oct 26), up nearly $3 in a day and +6% for the week, driven by Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities. On Monday morning, Brent eased to around $114.5–$115.2.
My take: Inflation risks are flaring up again right before the Fed’s decision on Oct 29 at 01:00 WIB. Expensive oil makes easing more difficult and weighs on risk assets — BTC is still around $80,160 today. Monday’s pullback suggests the market isn’t panicking yet, but supply risks haven’t gone away as long as the attacks continue.
What I’m watching: further attacks, US–Iran statements, and whether Brent climbs back above $116.72 before the Fed.
What do you think — is persistently high oil putting more pressure on BTC, or has the market already priced it in?
This is my analysis, not financial advice — always DYOR.
#Minyak #Inflasi $BTC
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