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【Midday Deep Dive｜The Structural Shift Behind Price Increases】
Gartner's latest forecast: By 2026, the average price of DRAM is expected to rise by 125% year-on-year, while NAND is predicted to skyrocket by 234%. Q2 contract prices have surged another 58-63% quarter-on-quarter, marking two consecutive quarters of double-digit growth.
Historically, the memory market has followed a "price hike → capacity expansion → crash" cycle. This time, the structure is different: HBM capacity is sold out until 2027, with the big three prioritizing capex toward HBM, while traditional DRAM/NAND capacities are being squeezed and reduced.
A dual price-increasing engine is now in play: AI-driven demand for HBM is exploding + traditional memory supply is actively contracting. NVDA's latest earnings report shows data center revenue up 92% year-on-year, with Blackwell accounting for 70%—each GPU behind it is backed by 8-12 HBM chips.
Memory is evolving from a cyclical stock into a monopolist of AI infrastructure pricing power. PE ratios are only 5-10 times, compared to Nvidia's 35 times. While both are benefiting from AI, the valuation gap is fivefold.
On-chain perp trading can be leveraged 24/7 for memory stocks, seizing the repricing window.
$ETH $ONDO $TSLAon
#AlphaGBM #AI #MemoryChips
Gartner's latest forecast: By 2026, the average price of DRAM is expected to rise by 125% year-on-year, while NAND is predicted to skyrocket by 234%. Q2 contract prices have surged another 58-63% quarter-on-quarter, marking two consecutive quarters of double-digit growth.
Historically, the memory market has followed a "price hike → capacity expansion → crash" cycle. This time, the structure is different: HBM capacity is sold out until 2027, with the big three prioritizing capex toward HBM, while traditional DRAM/NAND capacities are being squeezed and reduced.
A dual price-increasing engine is now in play: AI-driven demand for HBM is exploding + traditional memory supply is actively contracting. NVDA's latest earnings report shows data center revenue up 92% year-on-year, with Blackwell accounting for 70%—each GPU behind it is backed by 8-12 HBM chips.
Memory is evolving from a cyclical stock into a monopolist of AI infrastructure pricing power. PE ratios are only 5-10 times, compared to Nvidia's 35 times. While both are benefiting from AI, the valuation gap is fivefold.
On-chain perp trading can be leveraged 24/7 for memory stocks, seizing the repricing window.
$ETH $ONDO $TSLAon
#AlphaGBM #AI #MemoryChips
【Midday Deep Dive｜Revaluation of Storage Chain Value】NVIDIA's earnings report shines, but the real bottleneck for AI lies in storage. HBM3E boasts a gross margin of 78%, far exceeding traditional DRAM at 25%. The three storage giants monopolize 95% of the capacity, with contracts locked in until 2029.
Data: Each Blackwell GPU requires 192GB of HBM, costing over $3000. HBM demand is set to increase by 40% annually, while supply only rises by 6-8%, with shortages expected to persist until 2028.
Valuation: Storage stocks have a PE ratio of just 5-10x, compared to NVIDIA's 35x and AMD's 45x. Both benefit from AI, yet the valuation gap is 5-7x. Storage is shifting from a cyclical stock to a growth stock.
You can lay out storage stocks on-chain perp 24/7, without waiting for the US stock market to open.
$ETH $BTC $ONDO
#AlphaGBM #AI #StorageChips
Data: Each Blackwell GPU requires 192GB of HBM, costing over $3000. HBM demand is set to increase by 40% annually, while supply only rises by 6-8%, with shortages expected to persist until 2028.
Valuation: Storage stocks have a PE ratio of just 5-10x, compared to NVIDIA's 35x and AMD's 45x. Both benefit from AI, yet the valuation gap is 5-7x. Storage is shifting from a cyclical stock to a growth stock.
You can lay out storage stocks on-chain perp 24/7, without waiting for the US stock market to open.
$ETH $BTC $ONDO
#AlphaGBM #AI #StorageChips
Morning Signal Card ⏰
V5 Momentum Engine Top 3:
1️⃣ SNDK 12-Month Momentum +1994%
2️⃣ LITE +1123%
3️⃣ ANET +892%
Top Signal: MU RSI overbought at 78, be wary of a short-term pullback; AI sector congestion at historical highs.
Key Data:
• Storage Cycle Day 622
• HBM demand up 40% YoY, supply only up 6-8%
• Storage stocks PE 5-10x, Nvidia 35x
• DDR4 spot price bottomed, up 8.8x
• MU earnings report countdown 10 days
On-chain PERP 7x24 hours positioning in storage stocks, seize the pullback opportunity.
$BTC $ETH $ONDO
#AlphaGBM #AI #StorageChips
V5 Momentum Engine Top 3:
1️⃣ SNDK 12-Month Momentum +1994%
2️⃣ LITE +1123%
3️⃣ ANET +892%
Top Signal: MU RSI overbought at 78, be wary of a short-term pullback; AI sector congestion at historical highs.
Key Data:
• Storage Cycle Day 622
• HBM demand up 40% YoY, supply only up 6-8%
• Storage stocks PE 5-10x, Nvidia 35x
• DDR4 spot price bottomed, up 8.8x
• MU earnings report countdown 10 days
On-chain PERP 7x24 hours positioning in storage stocks, seize the pullback opportunity.
$BTC $ETH $ONDO
#AlphaGBM #AI #StorageChips
【Midday Depth｜HBM Extrusion Effect Reshapes Storage Pricing Power】
An underestimated structural change: HBM now accounts for over 40% of global DRAM wafer capacity, and DDR5 contract prices have skyrocketed by 166% compared to October last year.
Logic chain: AI expansion → HBM seizes production capacity → Traditional DRAM supply shrinks → Prices increase across the board → Consumer electronics rise 10-20%.
Storage manufacturers gain 'dual pricing power': HBM side with a gross margin of 74% + locked long-term contracts, while the traditional side sees simultaneous price increases due to squeezed supply. MU's last quarter gross margin was 74.4%, with Q3 guidance at $33.5B, a 40% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Key point: This isn't a cyclical rebound. AI adds millions of GPUs each year, with each requiring 192GB of HBM, creating a structural capacity gap. Storage is transforming from a cyclical stock to a growth stock, and the valuation framework is set to be rewritten.
On-chain perp can position for storage stocks 7x24, seizing the revaluation window.
$BTC $ETH $ONDO
#AlphaGBM #AI #StorageChips
An underestimated structural change: HBM now accounts for over 40% of global DRAM wafer capacity, and DDR5 contract prices have skyrocketed by 166% compared to October last year.
Logic chain: AI expansion → HBM seizes production capacity → Traditional DRAM supply shrinks → Prices increase across the board → Consumer electronics rise 10-20%.
Storage manufacturers gain 'dual pricing power': HBM side with a gross margin of 74% + locked long-term contracts, while the traditional side sees simultaneous price increases due to squeezed supply. MU's last quarter gross margin was 74.4%, with Q3 guidance at $33.5B, a 40% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Key point: This isn't a cyclical rebound. AI adds millions of GPUs each year, with each requiring 192GB of HBM, creating a structural capacity gap. Storage is transforming from a cyclical stock to a growth stock, and the valuation framework is set to be rewritten.
On-chain perp can position for storage stocks 7x24, seizing the revaluation window.
$BTC $ETH $ONDO
#AlphaGBM #AI #StorageChips
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