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600036

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乔巴的吃瓜笔记
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📌 A-shares have been in a contraction for 4 straight days at the trillion-yuan level in turnover; global markets are moving in sync, and the trend of a rotation between high and low sectors has taken shape 🍖 Chopper says: This news is saying that A-shares have kept their total turnover at the trillion-yuan level for the past four consecutive days, but overall the trading volume has been contracting. Meanwhile, global stock markets are also fluctuating in tandem, and capital is shifting from the previously “soaring” sectors to laggier, lower-valued areas. For ordinary investors, this could mean that once-hot growth tracks like semiconductors and new energy may face temporary pressure—for example, $Semiconductor ETF (512480)$, which has seen a noticeable pullback recently. In contrast, undervalued sectors like banks and coal might hold up better and even have a chance to rebound. The reason is that investors are seeking safety, and blue-chip companies with more stable fundamentals are getting favored. The risk is that the high-to-low rotation may not succeed. If overall market sentiment is weak, undervalued sectors could still fall. Compared with the wild swings in the Japanese and Korean markets, A-shares at least haven’t “collapsed,” but friends who chase rallies or sell in panic should be careful with timing. Take $China Merchants Bank (600036)$ and $Industrial Bank (601166)$ as an example: China Merchants’ performance is more stable, but Industrial Bank may offer more upside volatility. The key is whether you can hold through the swings. #512480 #600036 #601166 #A股
📌 A-shares have been in a contraction for 4 straight days at the trillion-yuan level in turnover; global markets are moving in sync, and the trend of a rotation between high and low sectors has taken shape

🍖 Chopper says:
This news is saying that A-shares have kept their total turnover at the trillion-yuan level for the past four consecutive days, but overall the trading volume has been contracting. Meanwhile, global stock markets are also fluctuating in tandem, and capital is shifting from the previously “soaring” sectors to laggier, lower-valued areas.

For ordinary investors, this could mean that once-hot growth tracks like semiconductors and new energy may face temporary pressure—for example, $Semiconductor ETF (512480)$, which has seen a noticeable pullback recently. In contrast, undervalued sectors like banks and coal might hold up better and even have a chance to rebound. The reason is that investors are seeking safety, and blue-chip companies with more stable fundamentals are getting favored.

The risk is that the high-to-low rotation may not succeed. If overall market sentiment is weak, undervalued sectors could still fall. Compared with the wild swings in the Japanese and Korean markets, A-shares at least haven’t “collapsed,” but friends who chase rallies or sell in panic should be careful with timing. Take $China Merchants Bank (600036)$ and $Industrial Bank (601166)$ as an example: China Merchants’ performance is more stable, but Industrial Bank may offer more upside volatility. The key is whether you can hold through the swings.

#512480 #600036 #601166 #A股
📌 The A-share market is once again at the point where it’s time to “hold back and unleash a big move” 🍖 Qiaoba said: This news says the A-share market is once again at the time to “hold back and unleash a big move.” Considering that the Shanghai Composite is down about 3% today and the ChiNext is down around 7%, with more than 5,000 stocks falling and total market capitalization evaporating by over 4.5 trillion, it feels quite like the consolidation phase after panic selling in the crypto market. From the analogy, this sell-off in A-shares is somewhat similar to the 26% crash in the South Korean stock market that pushed it into a bear market. In both cases, a rate-hike shock from outside hit technology stocks. But in A-shares, power and banking sectors have held up against the trend, which suggests investors are seeking safety. I’m relatively optimistic about the banking sector—for example, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398). There’s a logic of market support in the capital flows, and its performance is also stable. But the risk is that if the broader market continues to fall sharply, banks could also sell off. Compared with the crypto world, it’s like the situation after Bitcoin drops sharply, when Ethereum tends to outperform and hold up better. When choosing coins, you need to look at fundamentals. For same-category comparisons, within banks, China Merchants Bank (600036) has more upside and elasticity than Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, but it also has higher volatility—you need to consider your own style. #601398 #600036 #A股
📌 The A-share market is once again at the point where it’s time to “hold back and unleash a big move”

🍖 Qiaoba said:
This news says the A-share market is once again at the time to “hold back and unleash a big move.” Considering that the Shanghai Composite is down about 3% today and the ChiNext is down around 7%, with more than 5,000 stocks falling and total market capitalization evaporating by over 4.5 trillion, it feels quite like the consolidation phase after panic selling in the crypto market.

From the analogy, this sell-off in A-shares is somewhat similar to the 26% crash in the South Korean stock market that pushed it into a bear market. In both cases, a rate-hike shock from outside hit technology stocks. But in A-shares, power and banking sectors have held up against the trend, which suggests investors are seeking safety. I’m relatively optimistic about the banking sector—for example, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398). There’s a logic of market support in the capital flows, and its performance is also stable. But the risk is that if the broader market continues to fall sharply, banks could also sell off.

Compared with the crypto world, it’s like the situation after Bitcoin drops sharply, when Ethereum tends to outperform and hold up better. When choosing coins, you need to look at fundamentals. For same-category comparisons, within banks, China Merchants Bank (600036) has more upside and elasticity than Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, but it also has higher volatility—you need to consider your own style.

#601398 #600036 #A股
📌 Why did the 6-week 4000-point defense battle shrink into an annual moving average defense battle? What do you rely on to hold the annual moving average? 🍖 Chopper says: This article is essentially about the Shanghai Composite Index (000001.SH). What many people were worried about before—4000 points—has now fallen to the vicinity of the annual moving average (roughly around 3000). As retail investors, this directly affects the level of unrealized losses in our accounts. The logic is simple: if the index can’t even defend the annual moving average, many fund-heavy holdings and sector/industry ETFs may continue to drift lower. For example, heavyweight stocks like China Merchants Bank (600036) have recently looked rather weak. However, viewed from another angle, many people are already lying flat (in terms of investment posture) now. That could mean there’s an opportunity to build positions gradually in broad-market indices’ ranges (such as the CSI 300 ETF), so there’s no need to be overly pessimistic. Risk warning: The “defense of the annual moving average” is often a grind—don’t rush to go all-in and bottom-fish. If it breaks down further, there may still be about 10% downside room. Compare within the banking sector: China Merchants Bank is currently down more than Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398). The reason is that the former is more influenced by foreign investors and institutional sentiment, while the latter is more defensive. #000001 #600036 #601398 #A股
📌 Why did the 6-week 4000-point defense battle shrink into an annual moving average defense battle? What do you rely on to hold the annual moving average?

🍖 Chopper says:
This article is essentially about the Shanghai Composite Index (000001.SH). What many people were worried about before—4000 points—has now fallen to the vicinity of the annual moving average (roughly around 3000). As retail investors, this directly affects the level of unrealized losses in our accounts.

The logic is simple: if the index can’t even defend the annual moving average, many fund-heavy holdings and sector/industry ETFs may continue to drift lower. For example, heavyweight stocks like China Merchants Bank (600036) have recently looked rather weak. However, viewed from another angle, many people are already lying flat (in terms of investment posture) now. That could mean there’s an opportunity to build positions gradually in broad-market indices’ ranges (such as the CSI 300 ETF), so there’s no need to be overly pessimistic.

Risk warning: The “defense of the annual moving average” is often a grind—don’t rush to go all-in and bottom-fish. If it breaks down further, there may still be about 10% downside room. Compare within the banking sector: China Merchants Bank is currently down more than Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398). The reason is that the former is more influenced by foreign investors and institutional sentiment, while the latter is more defensive.

#000001 #600036 #601398 #A股
📌 1.2 million retail investors wiped out by margin calls! The heart-wrenching lesson from Korean retail investors—A-share investors should also take a look 🍖 Chopper says: The first reaction to this news is to quickly check whether your own positions carry similar risks. Korea’s latest wave in which 1.2 million retail investors got liquidated shows that leveraged capital can be extremely destructive in highly volatile markets. Recently, China’s A-share market has also been actively trading a number of low-priced stocks and theme stocks, but whatever you do, don’t learn from Korean retail investors by taking on too much leverage. Specifically for A-shares, I’m more focused on index-related ETFs such as $SSE Composite Index(000001.SH) and $STAR 50(000688.SH). When leveraged capital is liquidated, it often spreads from individual stocks to more liquid, high-quality targets first. If I were to take action, I’d actually look at something like $China Merchants Bank(600036), a bank stock. That’s because its valuation is low and its dividends are steady—when the market falls, it tends to hold up better. The logic is completely different from the “junk” stocks being hyped up in Korea. Risk warning: Although this Korea news is scary, A-shares still have trading limits (price up/down limits) and market regulation. Don’t just copy panic and liquidate immediately. By comparison, many of the stocks Korean retail investors were wiped out in involve virtual cryptocurrencies and leveraged ETFs. Meanwhile, China’s A-share market is cracking down hard on illegal leverage. Even though names like $CATL(300750) (a new-energy leader) can be volatile, their fundamentals are far more solid than the stocks that were liquidated on the Korean side. #000001 #000688 #600036 #300750 #A股
📌 1.2 million retail investors wiped out by margin calls! The heart-wrenching lesson from Korean retail investors—A-share investors should also take a look

🍖 Chopper says:
The first reaction to this news is to quickly check whether your own positions carry similar risks. Korea’s latest wave in which 1.2 million retail investors got liquidated shows that leveraged capital can be extremely destructive in highly volatile markets. Recently, China’s A-share market has also been actively trading a number of low-priced stocks and theme stocks, but whatever you do, don’t learn from Korean retail investors by taking on too much leverage.

Specifically for A-shares, I’m more focused on index-related ETFs such as $SSE Composite Index(000001.SH) and $STAR 50(000688.SH). When leveraged capital is liquidated, it often spreads from individual stocks to more liquid, high-quality targets first. If I were to take action, I’d actually look at something like $China Merchants Bank(600036), a bank stock. That’s because its valuation is low and its dividends are steady—when the market falls, it tends to hold up better. The logic is completely different from the “junk” stocks being hyped up in Korea.

Risk warning: Although this Korea news is scary, A-shares still have trading limits (price up/down limits) and market regulation. Don’t just copy panic and liquidate immediately. By comparison, many of the stocks Korean retail investors were wiped out in involve virtual cryptocurrencies and leveraged ETFs. Meanwhile, China’s A-share market is cracking down hard on illegal leverage. Even though names like $CATL(300750) (a new-energy leader) can be volatile, their fundamentals are far more solid than the stocks that were liquidated on the Korean side.

#000001 #000688 #600036 #300750 #A股
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