懂币猫

#美股 #BTC

In the last two months, I’ve barely made any gains from crypto contracts
But I'm still sitting at the top of the annual profit leaderboard
What does that indicate?

It’s pretty straightforward; it shows that making money in crypto is tough right now
Other crypto traders aren’t raking it in either, or else I wouldn't still be in first place

For half a year, I've been urging everyone in my streams to trade U.S. stocks
I spend almost half of each stream discussing U.S. stocks, gold, and silver
When I first started streaming, I even shared my returns from U.S. stocks, and they were on par with my crypto performance

Through my streams and trading teachings, I’ve always hoped everyone could earn more and walk the right trading path with solid trading principles. Recently, I’ve noticed there are hardly any discussions about U.S. stocks in the plaza; such a great market is getting little attention, and it honestly feels disheartening

As traders, when the conditions are right, we must avoid being dogmatic and be more adaptable
I often say that traders should be like water: flexible and variable, not like an old pigeon
At the same time, we need to learn to allocate our funds wisely, pursuing the easier profits in more active markets

Here's how I allocate my positions and time:
Crypto 40%
U.S. Stocks 40%
A-shares 5%
Gold 5%
Some treasure fund 4% (barely takes time, buy and forget)
Wealth management 3% (barely takes time, buy and forget)
Others 3% (barely takes time, buy and forget)

Now, all major platforms have U.S. stock contracts available, just fire up your exchange app
Head into the contract section
In the dropdown menu, find #TradFi , which is filled with recently popular U.S. stock contracts

Brothers, explore more and don’t let yourselves get trapped in an information cocoon

Back on top of the annual leaderboard

#CBRS

Yesterday took a massive dip -19%, felt great!
Brothers who bought at the peak should now be looking at profits like CBRS's margins—only 37% left.

#BTC

I've been telling folks for the past few months that the crypto market is trash, not to flex on how smart I am, but to help those who trust me lose a bit less.

The market doesn't care if you've lost a lot; it just crushes those who won't throw in the towel.

If you missed the boat on storage, missed on Micron and Hynix, don't blame the market, and don't come at me. I think you need to reflect on one thing:
Why are you always 'gloomy when it dips, and optimistic when it pumps'?

Yesterday, Hynix dropped 12%, and you shorted it to hell; today it rebounds, and suddenly you think the bull market is back. What's the difference between you and a bull teased by a red cloth?

I won't change my outlook just because of a big green candle, just like I won't deny logic because of a big red candle.
If you ask me what today's surge means?
My answer is: it means nothing.
It simply validates the core message from yesterday's article—
As long as the AI narrative isn't disproven, every big fluctuation is the market cleaning out the weak hands.

Yesterday, it cleaned out the FOMO traders, those leveraging up without patience.
Today, the market is clearing out another type—those who panic and run at the first sign of profit or jump around when they slightly miss out.

Hynix is set to hit the US stock market in July, with a subscription date on July 14 and the new stock listing set for July 29. Meanwhile, DRAM is about to launch a 2x leverage product RAM. Once Hynix goes live on the US markets, with that liquidity, we could see another massive pump.

#美光

Micron's earnings report is a clear signal of what printing money feels like.

This quarter's revenue hit $41.5 billion, smashing the market's top expectation of $38 billion.
The key takeaway isn’t just the revenue beating forecasts, but the gross margin at 84.9%.

Do you know what an 84.9% gross margin means? Even the leader Nvidia is only at 75%.
Plus, the whole market is experiencing shortages, customers are lining up to throw cash, and Micron is calling all the shots on pricing.

A few days ago, they hinted at increasing DRAM capacity after HBM profits fell short of expectations.

What’s the move here? It’s a wake-up call for Huang; if you don’t raise prices, Cook is still waiting in line.

Previously, people said storage was a cyclical stock, with price hikes followed by drops, earning a few years and losing a few years.

Now, Micron’s data centers, cloud storage, mobile clients, and automotive embeds are all exceeding expectations; it’s not just one segment exploding but a total breakout. This is what we call a massive win.

Even crazier, next quarter’s gross margin is set to keep climbing, and the revenue guidance is far beyond market expectations.

This indicates that demand and price hikes show no signs of slowing down; AI demand isn’t just PPT hype, it’s genuinely blowing up Micron’s profit margins.

Just days ago, when a bunch of folks saw Korea’s market circuit breakers, SK Hynix tanking, and Nasdaq futures dropping, they started shouting about a storage crash.

I’ve been saying, storage is a key player in the AI narrative; it’s not going to collapse after just one or two bad days.

If this earnings report is considered an AI bubble, then I can only say this bubble is just too profitable.

Every round of tech revolution reshuffles the wealth

The oil era 120 years ago created a ton of riches

The PC era 30 years back did the same

The AI era won't be any different

But the AI in the crypto space is trash, the garbage of garbage

#CBRS dropped over 6% after earnings, close to breaking the IPO price, which is nice.

When I say #CBRS , do you think of #SPCX ?

I've mentioned before, after a new IPO hits the market, it's likely to pump first, get the hype up, and then slide down towards the IPO price. You launch at 185, open at 350, hit nearly 400, and a bunch of folks see AI chips, OpenAI, AWS, and start FOMOing, thinking not buying is missing out on the next NVIDIA.

But savvy traders never play that game.

With a fresh listing, liquidity is thin, emotions are high, valuations are unanchored; any buy order can pump it, and any sell order can tank it. If you jump in at this stage, it’s not investing; it’s a race against the market to see who can run faster.

This earnings report wasn’t bad at all, revenue exceeded expectations, guidance was decent, yet the stock still fell. The market isn’t lacking stories; it needs validation. No matter how great your story is, the valuation is already pumped, and as long as the earnings report isn’t explosive enough to shut everyone up, someone will sell. Without expectations, how can it rise?

This is the usual post-IPO process.

First, build hype, then pump, then kill the valuation, and finally see the earnings report.

Ultimately, this will determine if this asset is worth anything in the future.

So, I wasn’t in a rush with CBRS before; a 6% drop, a 10% drop, didn’t faze me at all. As long as it doesn’t break the IPO price, I won’t feel like it’s cheap. Even if it does break the IPO price, I won’t just blindly buy; I need to see the upcoming earnings data.

If it's truly solid, there will be plenty of opportunities later. Why rush? Investing is a marathon; we’re watching who can finish the race, not how fast they run in the middle. You can tire out and get wrecked along the way.

Bro, have you been taking too many Ls lately?

The mark of a solid trader is whether they can consistently rake in profits. Show me you can pull off a few hundred X returns over a couple of years, yeah? Try bagging tens of millions on a single trade? Which of those isn’t going against human nature?

Back in early June, I told you to catch the bottom in the US stocks, but you didn’t catch that.
Yesterday morning, I called for a take-profit on your limit orders, but you missed that.
I dropped short signal strategies, and you overlooked those too.
Don’t even get me started on how we’ve been making bank the entire month of June; sure, profits pulled back a bit, but are you a perfectionist? Thinking you can only count a trade as valid if you exit at the peak isn’t how it works.

What have you actually seen? It sounds like you only want to hear the stories that tickle your fancy. And you really think it’s hilarious when you can’t even tell what’s actually funny?

SK Hynix dropped 12%, and a bunch of folks are shouting that the bubble has burst.
When it shot up 200%, you didn’t say it was a bubble, but now that it’s down 12%, you’re starting to get the risk?

Seriously, don’t freak out just because it dipped.

The scariest part of a bubble isn’t the drop; it’s that when prices are rising, you don’t dare to buy, and when they fall, you’re even more hesitant. In the end, you’re just watching others rake in profits while you’re in the comments screaming about the peak.

This wave in Korea isn’t about AI demand disappearing; it’s that things shot up too high, there was too much leverage, and emotions were running wild. When prices are climbing, everyone’s a semiconductor expert, but after a single drop, suddenly everyone’s a risk management guru.

What you should really be afraid of isn’t the bubble, but your lack of a plan. When it drops 5%, you’re cursing; at 10%, you’re cutting losses; at 20%, you’re waiting for it to go to zero. Then when it bounces back 30%, you’re back to asking if it’s time to FOMO in.

As long as the AI narrative isn’t disproven, assets like storage, computing power, and semiconductors will see big swings as the market flushes out the weak hands. It cleans out the late buyers, the leveraged traders, and those without patience. Your job isn’t to predict if today’s the lowest point; the average Joe doesn’t have that ability.

Buy small on minor dips and go big on major drops. If the logic breaks, own up and exit.

But remember, never go all-in, don’t get emotional, and don’t YOLO gamble. It’s not that hard for the average trader to make money.

#黄金 #白银

Who told me that gold and silver have bottomed out? Come out and take a few steps.

Everyone should have noticed that my silence on the market indicates the recent price action is trash.

I’ve been live streaming for three months, saying that gold and silver are on a downward trend, making a top, and there’s no significant trading value. Who are these people calling for a bottom all year?

Time to blacklist them.

#海力士 #韩国股市

The Korean stock market hit multiple circuit breakers today; those Koreans really know how to leverage, it's either straight up or straight down.

Hynix and Samsung are both in a bearish trend on the 1-hour charts.

Time to chill on the short-term trades.

Don't fear the bubbles, because they're actually great for accumulating wealth.

Back in '95, everyone was talking about the internet bubble.
In '13, folks said the US stocks were too pricey.
By '18, people were calling the FAANG stocks a bubble.
And now in '23, everyone's buzzing about the AI bubble.

But guess what? The market kept pumping for years.

If you're too scared of the bubbles and bail out early, you often end up losing more than in a bear market itself.

So, don't blindly predict the market or over-trade; just stick to your HODL strategy and ride the wave.

#SPCX

SPCX took a nosedive last night, down -16.43%

At the start of the month, we dodged a bullet, saved a lot of bros from stepping into a big pit

The most badass company on earth, I'm all in, but my funds will back it up a bit later

#交易日记 #美股

2026/6/23

The entire Nasdaq index is showing weakness, oscillating near previous highs but not fully in risk-off mode; funds are shifting from large tech to semiconductors and defensive sectors.

SPY dropped 0.31%, closing at 744.39, while QQQ fell 0.36% to 737.95. SOXX gained 2.43%, and SMH rose 1.37%, with both ETFs nearing or breaking their 20-day highs.

Semiconductors were the strongest sector yesterday, with storage still leading, but the index was held back by M7.

Internally, the semiconductor sector isn't fully strong either. We mentioned in the group yesterday that storage + chips remain the strongest direction.
MU rose 6.82%, SNDK up 4.07%, INTC climbed 5.19%, and AMD gained 2.65%. DELL increased by 2.25%, and HPE rose 2.09%, with capital also flowing into the AI hardware chain.
However, NVDA dropped 0.97%, AVGO fell 4.67%, and MRVL decreased by 0.88%. So what’s truly strong isn’t the entire AI semiconductor sector, but rather storage, chips, and some hardware.
Funds continue to hold MU and SNDK, the main storage line, but haven’t bought back AVGO, NVDA, and MRVL, which were core AI plays previously.

Software remains quite weak.
IGV fell 2.00%, SNOW down 2.45%, NOW dropped 2.14%, CRM decreased by 1.09%, OKTA fell 1.59%, and CRWD dropped 1.38%. Software has consistently lagged in recent rebounds.
This indicates the market hasn’t reassessed valuations for enterprise software and AI application layers.

Large tech is the main drag today.
GOOG dropped 5.08%, AMZN fell 4.75%, MSFT decreased by 3.18%, and META declined 2.32%. Moreover, GOOG, AMZN, and MSFT all had volumes exceeding their 20-day averages, indicating real selling pressure, which is also a primary reason for QQQ’s decline.

On a macro level,
U.S. banks updated interest rate hike expectations, adjusting their forecast from “keeping rates unchanged this year” to “three rate hikes this year.”
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.509%.
VIX increased by 2.98%, closing at 17.28.
Crude oil dropped 3.45%, and gold fell 0.28%.
This aligns with our previous notes on rising rates and the dollar being unfriendly to high valuation tech; the interest rate hike expectations need time to digest, which is suppressing valuations for large tech like GOOG, AMZN, and MSFT.

Additionally, keep an eye on the upcoming Micron earnings report and PCE data.