Dacă Statele Unite reușesc să impună controlul asupra Venezuelei și, prin extensie, asupra celor mai mari rezerve dovedite de petrol din lume, va marca o schimbare majoră în puterea globală. O astfel de mișcare nu ar fi despre restabilirea democrației sau protejarea drepturilor omului, ci despre reafirmarea dominației strategice asupra energiei, rutelor comerciale și alinierilor regionale.
În acel caz, Iranul ar putea să se impună în fața priorităților strategice ale Washingtonului. Asigurarea controlului asupra petrolului venezuelean ar reduce vulnerabilitatea SUA la întreruperile energetice din Golf și ar oferi un tampon împotriva șocurilor de aprovizionare în cazul unei confruntări cu Iranul. Cu o sursă alternativă de încredere de țiței greu sub influența sa, Washingtonul ar fi mai bine poziționat să absoarbă sau să compenseze distrugerea sau oprirea infrastructurii energetice în Golful Persic în timpul unui război. Aceasta ar reduce costul economic al escaladării și ar face presiunea militară împotriva Iranului mai gestionabilă din punct de vedere politic și economic.
În același timp, un astfel de control ar întări capacitatea Statelor Unite de a modela fluxurile și prețurile globale ale petrolului, întărind rolul central al dolarului pe piețele energetice și ajutând la păstrarea sistemului petrodolar care susține puterea financiară a SUA.
Venezuela ar deveni astfel mai mult decât o problemă regională. Ar deveni un precedent strategic, o demonstrație că presiunea economică, ingineria politică și, dacă este necesar, forța pot fi utilizate pentru a restructura state suverane și a realinia echilibrul global al puterii.
Cu toate acestea, dacă Statele Unite devin implicate în Venezuela și se confruntă cu o rezistență susținută, rezultatul se schimbă dramatic. O criză prelungită ar epuiza capitalul politic, ar întinde resursele militare și economice și ar slăbi capacitatea Washingtonului de a proiecta puterea în altă parte, inclusiv în Orientul Mijlociu. Asta ar complica de asemenea planificarea strategică israeliană, care este strâns legată de avantajul regional al SUA.
Ce se întâmplă în Venezuela nu va rămâne în America Latină. Va modela viitorul controlului energetic, $MYX $BTC $EVAA
BREAKING NEWS 🚨 Donald Trump threatens new tariffs against India.
"We could raise tariffs on India if they don't help on Russian oil issue"
"PM Modi's a very good man. He's a good guy. He knew I was not happy. It was important to make me happy. They do trade, and we can raise tariffs on them very quickly"
2. The Age-Doubling Structure When the model is allowed to solve for its natural frequency, it converges on a stable omega near 8.9, within ~2% of the theoretical “age-doubling” reference.
Interpretation is simple but profound:
Early Bitcoin behaved like a child fast cycles, violent swings, rapid phase transitions.
Modern Bitcoin behaves like an adult slower cycles, longer expansions, fewer extremes.
The market is not late. It is early in a longer cycle than most participants expect.
3. Volatility Is Compressing, Not Disappearing The damping parameter implies oscillation amplitude decays roughly as t⁻⁰·⁴.
Since 2011, peak-to-trend volatility has fallen by ~53%.
This explains a common frustration: price action feels slow compared to 2017, yet the trend remains intact. The absence of chaos is not weakness. It is maturation.
4. The 2029 Macro Peak The model’s most contrarian output is timing.
• Next macro peak: mid-August 2029 • Central estimate: ~$620k • 95% confidence range: ~$590k–$700k
This is not a “missed” 2025 cycle. It is a longer cycle playing out at a slower frequency. The model struggled in the 2017–2021 double-top era, but crucially, the frequency parameter remained stable throughout that noise. That stability matters more than fitting every historical wiggle.
5. Current Positioning As of early 2026:
Model fair value: ~$126k Market price: ~$91k Deviation: ~−28%
Bitcoin is below its long-term trend while already in a bull-phase of the expanded cycle. Historically, this combination favors accumulation.
Bottom Line Bitcoin has not abandoned cycles. It has outgrown the four-year myth.
The LPPL model explains Bitcoin’s history better than a simple power law (AIC -7534 versus -4,026).
🚨Panic in Washington. U.S. media erupts after a firm message from China: 🇨🇳 Beijing warns that Venezuela will not be destroyed like Haiti over its natural wealth.
Behind Trump’s talk of “fighting cartels” in the Caribbean, the real motive is clear: Venezuelan oil. China reaffirms the principle of national sovereignty and rejects any foreign intervention.
Wherever there are resources, the U.S. suddenly talks about “security.” The world is waking up.
🚨UPDATE: In a stunning statement, President Trump demands the Senate kill the filibuster NOW: “Without it you pass nothing.” He promises immediate passage of voter ID, no mail-in ballots, no cash bail, no men in women’s sports, no welfare for illegals — “and I could go on & on.”
U.S. 🇺🇸 Banks Get Green Light for Crypto Transactions
The OCC confirms national banks can engage in “riskless principal” crypto transactions — meaning banks can buy & sell crypto for clients.
Why this matters: 👇 • This removes a major regulatory barrier • Banks can now act as intermediaries for crypto trades • Opens the door for institutional liquidity • Bullish long-term for BTC, ETH
🚨$BTC MACRO WEEK LOADED: One Data Print Can MOVE EVERYTHING 🚨 This week is stacked — and markets won’t get a break. We’re heading into a full-blown macro stress test with key U.S. data hitting almost every single day. Manufacturing, services, labor demand, jobless claims, and finally the Non-Farm Payrolls + Unemployment Rate to close the week. Here’s why it matters: These releases directly shape rate-cut expectations, dollar strength, and risk appetite. When narratives are fragile, data becomes the catalyst. One surprise print is all it takes to flip sentiment fast. Crypto doesn’t trade in isolation anymore. When macro volatility spikes, BTC and alts move harder, not softer. Liquidity thins, reactions accelerate, and fakeouts become common. If you’re leveraged, this is not the week to get careless. If you’re patient, this is the week opportunity usually starts forming. Fast markets reward preparation — not prediction. Are you positioned… or just hoping? Follow Salar_X for more latest updates
Silver shortages are hitting the globe, but the true story is much deeper than anyone realizes.
The Setup: The banks have issued paper contracts promising 337,000,000 Ounces of Silver. These have flooded the market in recent weeks as a method of suppressing demand.
When you audit Comex’s Registered Silver (metal actually available for delivery), there are only 16,000,000 Ounces left globally.
The Reality: That is a 21:1 leverage ratio. They have sold the EXACT SAME BAR of silver 21 TIMES. That means they are creating FAKE SILVER to suppress the extreme demand.
These paper contracts are NOT backed by current inventory. They are promises of future inventory, which may take YEARS to acquire.
This is a textbook PONZI created to save the banks from forced short liquidation.
If just 5% of paper holders request delivery on their paper positions, the Comex vault hits zero OVERNIGHT.
The illusion is breaking. THEY ARE OUT OF SILVER. When the world discovers what’s truly happening, Silver is going parabolic.
Q1 2026 Target: $130 📈🪙
$WIF $PNUT $BROCCOLI714
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