⚠️ US Government Shutdown Risk — Markets Are Underestimating This
Another macro risk traders should not ignore: 👉 A potential US government shutdown as early as Sunday, if lawmakers fail to pass a funding resolution.
Current estimates suggest ~75% probability this week.
If a shutdown occurs, markets could face: • Temporary disruption in government operations • Delayed economic data releases • Increased political uncertainty and risk aversion
Historically, shutdowns don’t always cause immediate crashes — but they increase volatility, especially when combined with: • Tight monetary policy • Elevated geopolitical risk • Heavy positioning in risk assets
For crypto markets, this means: • Short-term uncertainty • Potential knee-jerk reactions on headlines • Increased sensitivity to macro news flow
Key takeaway: 🧭 This is not a black-swan — it’s a known risk. 📉 Volatility risk is asymmetric. 🧠 Risk management matters more than prediction this week. #GovernmentShutdown #trump #crypto $BTC
Markets are heading into today’s FOMC statement and press conference with expectations already fully priced in.
At this point, BTC has largely priced the outcome: • No rate cuts are expected • No major policy shift is likely • Liquidity conditions remain unchanged
Because of that, the FOMC statement itself may have limited impact.
👉 The real catalyst, if any, will be the press conference and the tone of Jerome Powell: • Any hint of concern about inflation persistence • Any pushback against early rate-cut expectations • Or unexpected language around financial conditions
Additionally, markets are watching political risk closely.
There is growing speculation that Donald Trump could announce a future appointment for a new Fed Chair, potentially overshadowing Powell’s message and injecting volatility across risk assets — including BTC.
Bottom line: 📊 Rates are priced in. 🎤 Powell’s words matter more than the decision. ⚠️ Political headlines remain an underpriced risk. #Fed #FedWatch #Powell $BTC
A folosit un levier de 40x, ceea ce înseamnă că marja*levier=valoarea poziției. Dacă prețul atinge prețul de lichidare, își pierde toți banii (marja). Nu urma această cale. Nu folosi un levier mare.
DiegoMerchan
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Cineva mă poate explica cum funcționează asta (am văzut într-o altă postare), a pus 500 de mii de dolari și dacă prețul crește la o anumită sumă câștigă 13 milioane, dar dacă scade pierde cei 500 de mii?
Când prețul mărcii va atinge prețul de lichidare, atunci poziția ta va fi eliminată și vei pierde totul
DamianPL
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Salut tuturor! o întrebare scurtă. Dacă BNFCR scade la zero, va închide Binance poziția sau o parte din ea? Dacă sunt pe minus, trebuie să am ceva în BNFCR pentru aceste taxe la fiecare 6-8 ore?
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