Ayu A Suryabudhi

Am ajuns la 27-26. Trebuie să am încredere în analiza mea
Chiar dacă piața încearcă să o estompeze, nu la mult timp după aceea,
La sfârșitul zilei se va întâmpla întotdeauna.
Pentru că fiecare număr nu este o prostie aleatorie.
Adaug mai mult în sacoșele mele la acest preț
Trebuie să urmăresc prima mișcare următoare, nu pot presupune nimic în acest moment.
#GrayscaleBNBETFFiling
$BTC

reached 86k area. That's actually so long.....
Target of 88,2 & 86k achieved.
Actually i don't expect this, because the leg gets an extension again. Gotta be careful for the next move.
This looks like a trap & plot twist.
Prepare for the worst case (in case).
#GrayscaleBNBETFFiling
$BTC

Less illusion, more truth.
No overwhelming impressive graphic
Just number speak it self
Analysis vs reality is matched
Almost reached 88,2k
Price now 88.5
Heading toward 88,2k
Let's fly from here ? ;)
ahhh let me sleep and rest first. Enough trading for today and share it as well
Successfully Catched the bottom
Thank God
Gotta off for few days
Bye bye!
$BTC
#WEFDavos2026

Price now 89,5k
Next drop Will be Between this
86,850
≈ 88,272
≈ 84,554
and back to 87200 area.
because the correction already extended i guess it will be shorter just to 88,2k-87k 86 max area
Not a signal
#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat
$BTC

$ZK deja a început impulsul său descendent înainte de btc
în așteptarea zonei 0.027-26 sau poate mai jos dacă am noroc
ar putea fi ultima zi pentru a cumpăra cipuri ieftine........
Nu uita să îți mediezi prețul
#WhoIsNextFedChair
$BTC

This level of manipulation...It feels similar to dealing with someone with a personality disorder. Lately this market feels inconsistent, deceptive, and unstable—until it is correctly diagnosed.
an identity that keeps shifting—forcing you to constantly re-evaluate what you think is real.

When something keeps changing, our mind instinctively tries to close the loop. It creates cognitive dissonance.
One day, price behaves exactly like leg Iv from Earlier correction. Next is leg V down. It went okay and align for a while. Analisis matched with reality.

Next day it violate your structure and shows that it was an impulse.
"Okay this is wave iv, the next movement is going up. I'll count how much it can go"
Because :
It has its own I-V in lower time frame
Fib alignment
No overlaps
Look impulse on tf 15 minutes
Clean 5 waves in H1
No violations
Simple short duration of correction
So your mind was like
"Ah, this is impulse right! Next one is wave v!"
"Last label is wrong!"
"Must be supercycle continuation"

The next day, it destroys that illusion with misaligned Fibonacci relationships.
Structure collapse.
Your prior model is invalidated.
I was like..
"Again???!"
Then the following day, it behaves in the complete opposite way and slaps you in the face, revealing that it was never an impulse at all
Your mind was like : " I was not being inconsistent, this wave was!!! "
" What the hell is this actually? "
The identity that keeps shifting, cause identity confusion, it could give you emotional rollercoaster & ptsd from how it operate across multiple label and degree simultaneously.

The crazy part is this: once you finally get the diagnosis right, everything suddenly makes sense. All the madness, inconsistency, and contradictory behavior become coherent under a single explanation.
I found the only model that explain all behaviors. The erratic behavior becomes expected. All the nested correction now make sense. Let it correct how much it wants. It has a function.
$BTC
#TrumpTariffsOnEurope

Already touched it, right at 87,2k

Is this a joke...Still not finish????
No wonder it doesnt wanna go up it still in leg iv still there is upcoming leg v down from here
nested correction
a leg inside a leg
I hate this wave so much
$BTC
#TrumpTariffsOnEurope

mă așteptam la 91- 92,6k până astăzi. Dar piața este foarte, foarte, foarte lentă. Ca și cum ar rula fără combustibil. Lipsa de participanți. Traumatizat de corecția profundă bahahah
Piața nu are milă în a elimina traderii. fiecare răspuns emoțional care este urmat de tăierea pierderilor, vânzări în panică etc. este un combustibil pentru contul manipulatorului. Asta este ceea ce își doreau. Capitalul tău este arma ta. Odată ce a dispărut, mult noroc.
#FOMCWatch
$BTC

Don't you think its weird , the movement from 80,600 UpTo 97,9k? my analysis which normally accurate gets messed up by this terminal wave. Remember when i was predicting 88k and it didnt happen? now ITS happen but what is that 97,9k move? if you call it wave IV from correction, its been 2 months. And it was clearly an upward impulse, right? it also has its own i-v wave. Clearly an upward impulse yet this deep retracement over 61.8% doesnt feel right, so where are we now? Is this wave B that top out at 97.9k? So what is this? Mind blogging move. Let's take a break from trading and just watch this market for a while maybe we will get an answer.
$BTC

#USChinaDeal

Tocmai am injectat niște lichidități, adică bani proaspeți pentru a cumpăra ieftin $ZK at @0.028-0.029 astfel încât să îmi pot reduce prețul mediu de cumpărare mai devreme @0.03480
Ahhh Nu-mi vine să cred..corecție / retragere incredibil de profundă. Piață sălbatică, frate!!!!!! Plimbare nebună. #FOMCWatch
$BTC

Preț acum 87.900
de ce este atât de extrem? unde suntem de fapt?
așteaptă..
este încă valid ca o retragere?
Aceasta este prima dată când am văzut o retragere atât de profundă ca aceasta.

$BTC
#Binanceholdermmt

Oh so damn long time.. a week of correction . should have done from here. What else do you want, btc? 50% fib already? Legs has been complete. Your legs is too long already....... Now its time , Let's go??! Go get yo ass to that impulsive wave again. Don't say you are going for 89600, let's just go up from here dude
#BTC100kNext?
$BTC

Am avut o întâlnire cu investitorii mei ieri.
Am discutat despre șansele unei altseason, piața bearish și gestionarea riscurilor—privind datele Binance din 2017.
Onest, nu știu exact când va veni următoarea altseason—este o piață complexă.
Dar am experimentat-o de două ori înainte, așa că tot ce putem face acum este să rămânem pregătiți și să sperăm la cele mai bune rezultate.
$BTC
#BTC100kNext?

It’s funny—when I read a hate comment, it’s rarely about analysis .. It’s an attempt to reframe my identity and to attack my self worth.
From independent analyst → to someone who must “serve” him and give him the right direction or i will get punished by their hate comment.
From contributor → to a disposable object.
From human → to someone whose worth is measured only by recent accuracy.
From human intelligence → to a performance tool and resource.
People attack self‑worth when they cannot compete in substance. They reduce others to objects because they feel replaceable. They deny achievements because acknowledgment threatens their fragile self worth. They feel entitled to predictability—that I conform, serve, and never challenge their expectations before—and collapse under uncertainty, when market form a terminal wave like, giving mixed signal, psychologically manipulative and blaming me for it.
I don’t measure my self‑worth by achievement or by meeting someone else’s demands. Analisis is just a tool, an opinion and probability . The result is depend on how you interpret market, how you respond, how you act while facing volatility, uncertainty & unpredictability. These are internal issue and internal capacity problem.

$BTC
#BTC100kNext?

Alternative Scenario: If This Is Not Supercycle V
(Note: The Supercycle V label comes from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of Supercycle III, 15,476–126,200, which exactly hits 80,600–84,450 as a low — a textbook IV Fibonacci.) jika ini valid sebagai impuls maka tentu tidak akan jatuh ke bawah. tetapi menuju ATH lama atau melewati nya.

If the current structure is not Supercycle V, then the decline from 126,200 to 84,450 should be interpreted as Wave A of a higher-degree corrective phase, with the leg down to 80,600–84,450 representing only Wave A.
Wave A range:
126,200 → 84,450
Total movement = 41,750 points
Based on Fibonacci retracement of Wave A, the projected levels for Wave B are:
38.2% retracement → 100,450
50% retracement → 105,325
61.8% retracement → 110,200

Wave C Projections
Assuming Wave C is equal to Wave A (standard ABC correction):
If B = 38.2% retracement (100,389) → C = 58,639
If B = 50% retracement (105,325) → C = 63,575
If B = 61.8% retracement (110,252) → C = 68,502
For an extended Wave C (1.618× Wave A):
1.618 × 41,750 = 67,457
Extended targets:
B = 100,389 → C = 32,932
B = 105,325 → C = 37,868
B = 110,252 → C = 42,795
Structural Implications
If the market is forming a normal ABC correction, Wave B typically retraces 38.2%–61.8%, placing the most technically valid resistance zone between 100,000 and 110,000.
If the structure is a classic zigzag, Wave B is usually shallower, commonly retracing 38.2%–50%, limiting the upside to approximately 100,000–105,000.
Conclusion :
Current price is 92500.
Any rally into the 100k–110k region should be approached cautiously unless confirmed by impulsive structure and volume expansion. Otherwise, this zone represents a high-probability distribution area before Wave C resumes to the downside. So let's watch the price action and adjust your trading strategy.
#BTC100kNext?
$BTC

Acesta este exact ceea ce am crezut. Se pare că suntem în Supercycle V.

Corecția Fibonacci de la 15,476 la 126,200 a atins deja nivelul de 38.2%, între 80,600 și 84,450. Tipic pentru manualul Supercycle IV. Asta susține ideea că mișcarea de la 15,476 la 126,200 a fost Supercycle III, iar structura actuală este Supercycle V. Altseason avea loc după prăbușirea covid $3800-64800-valul doi al altseason (leg ii corectiv) este când are loc o raliu de 69k. De acolo, altcoin-urile intră în corecția leg iii, motiv pentru care când btc a atins ATH, altcoin-urile nu și-au terminat încă propria corecție din altseason și explică de ce nu am văzut încă altseason, chiar dacă btc a terminat valul III.

Cu toate acestea, mă lupt cu structura deoarece în acest supercycle V, graficul nu urmează comportamentul Fibonacci în mod clar. Sub-diviziunea i-v, de exemplu, Valul II se comportă ca un Val IV în ceea ce privește complexitatea și durata. Valul IV se retrage prea profund, aproape ca un Val II. Deci, credeți că este Val IV și așteptați Val V, dar se dovedește a fi de fapt Val II. Apoi, Valul III nu se comportă nici măcar ca un Val III adecvat - este mai scurt decât se aștepta, chiar mai scurt decât Val I.
Dacă ai fi în poziția mea, ai oscila constant între interpretări corecte și greșite din cauza acestei complexități și a manipulării aparent în model. Este aproape imposibil să-l citești? Cred că nimeni nu ar putea.

Poate că asta se întâmplă pentru că după Supercycle V, vom intra într-o piață de urșii. Corecție mai mare din supercycle I-V?

Chiar dacă toate obiectivele de corecție au fost atinse, nivelurile mele Fibonacci au fost depășite mai mult decât normal. Prețul acum 92700
Ar putea exista un risc de corecție mai profundă în zona 91-89500 maxim înainte de a putea urca.
Dar da, dacă structura impulsului nu este invalidată (chiar dacă aspectul+fib nu se aliniază), atunci ar trebui să urce totuși. Pentru că supercycle V trebuie să termine propriul I-V aproape de vechiul ATH de 126200 sau să-l depășească.

Acum nu pot concluziona nimic. Am nevoie de mai mult timp.
Este greu. Nu este o plimbare plăcută. lol
$BTC #BTC100kNext?

Na, acest btc a ales cu adevărat extensia pentru egalitatea C = A, nu-i așa? Picior extrem. Ce naiba, frate..
Chiar a lovit acea zonă de 91,980.
Deci ... Toate țintele au fost realizate în cel mai dureros mod lol
Ar trebui să crească de aici, totuși
Hai să vedem prima mișcare următoare.
#MarketRebound
$BTC

Throw back to when btc just so cheap, and i was tracking TRX price with Justin Sun the founder of Tron
I was an early bird. Been in this space since 2017. Haha
It was a good time. If you remember @cryptocious in Twitter 2017-2018 before i change my username, thats me. Lol
$BTC
#MarketRebound