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Negociação manual ou bots? Qual é a sua mistura atual?
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Market sentiment often leads price, and current BTC dynamics clearly reflect this relationship. Below is a breakdown of how sentiment recovery preceded price stabilization and what this structure implies for the market. 🟦 Sentiment Trend (blue): Following a deep negative news-driven trough around Dec 14–16, sentiment has clearly reversed and is now in a steady positive uptrend. The recovery slope is smooth and persistent, indicating structural sentiment improvement rather than short-term noise. ⬛ BTC Price (black): Price action reacted after the sentiment bottom, showing a classic sentiment–price lag. After sentiment stabilized, BTC formed a local price bottom and began grinding higher, producing higher lows into Dec 22. Divergence Insight: The key signal is positive sentiment leading price: 👉 Sentiment turned upward before price stabilization. 👉 Current sentiment remains strongly positive, while price appears to be in a catch-up phase. 👉 This structure suggests latent bullish pressure that is not yet fully priced in. News Feed & Macro Context The news feed is dominated by bullish sentiment, with a significant macro-economic weighting (~64%), indicating that positive drivers are broader macro factors rather than purely crypto-specific narratives. This increases the durability of the sentiment signal. Bullish news represents approximately ~62% of total coverage, while bearish sentiment remains materially lower, with ~15% uncertainty still present. This balance suggests non-speculative, stable informational conditions, rather than hype-driven market behavior. Market Implication With price approaching recent highs and sentiment remaining constructive, the current structure supports trend stability and continuation, provided sentiment momentum is maintained. The absence of excessive speculative sentiment reduces the immediate risk of abrupt reversals. 🔖 This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

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Bayesian Inference in Finance: Updating Beliefs with New Data and Multiple Sources

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