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LUNC $0.01 DATES - SAVE THIS:
If burn stays 1.7B/day = Oct 2035
If Binance 2x burn = Jan 2031
If CZ does 1-day profit burn = Dec 2027
3 dates. 3 scenarios.
Which one you betting on? 👇
I’m betting Dec 2027. Screenshot this.
RemindMe! 4 years.
#LUNC #Prediction #Calendar #Roadmap #Crypto #HODL #2030
If burn stays 1.7B/day = Oct 2035
If Binance 2x burn = Jan 2031
If CZ does 1-day profit burn = Dec 2027
3 dates. 3 scenarios.
Which one you betting on? 👇
I’m betting Dec 2027. Screenshot this.
RemindMe! 4 years.
#LUNC #Prediction #Calendar #Roadmap #Crypto #HODL #2030
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I believe $ADA will hit 1$ by the end of 2026; please share your opinions in the comments.❤️❤️
Meta mulai menjual kelebihan kapasitas komputasi pada dasarnya merupakan penyesuaian ulang terhadap logika penilaian untuk semikonduktor AI. Selain itu, pasar juga mulai memberi penghargaan pada “penyerahan” pertama dalam belanja modal AI, yang pada gilirannya menunjukkan bahwa pasar mengakui logika ini. Para bullish mungkin punya pendapat mereka sendiri: mereka mengatakan permintaan masih ketat, tetapi masalahnya adalah pasar tidak setuju.
Bagi Meta dan SpaceX, yang tidak memiliki sumber daya model dan layanan cloud, menjual komputasi adalah solusi optimal mereka—karena mereka memiliki komputasi tetapi tidak memiliki layanan untuk dimonetisasi.
1. Komputasi sebenarnya tidak benar-benar langka; kapasitas komputasi OpenAI dan Anthropic yang benar-benar bisa memonetisasi pengguna sangat tidak mencukupi, sementara Meta dan SpaceX memiliki kelebihan komputasi. Tingkat utilisasi komputasi mereka terlalu tinggi (yaitu, terlalu banyak kapasitas menganggur), dan depresiasi saja dapat menghabiskan laba.
2. Meta dan SpaceX, yang pertama mulai menjual komputasi, sendiri tidak memiliki model yang cukup kuat, pengguna berbayar, atau server cloud untuk menjalankan operasi bisnis.
3. Morgan Stanley memperkirakan Meta memiliki 3GW komputasi, sedangkan Anthropic dan OpenAI masing-masing 1,4GW dan 1,9GW. Gambaran kelangkaan komputasi yang muncul dari kekurangan pasokan yang Anda rasakan sebagian besar didorong oleh Anthropic dan OpenAI, sehingga persepsi pasar adalah yang paling jelas. Meta tidak memiliki banyak layanan dan tidak membutuhkan komputasi sebanyak itu. Selain itu, model grok yang digunakan untuk SpaceX diketahui kualitasnya di bawah standar, sehingga pasar tentu tidak bisa merasakan seberapa melimpah komputasi mereka—hanya mereka yang tahu.
4. Pada 2026, penyedia layanan cloud akan meningkatkan belanja modal sebesar 70%; lebih dari setengahnya diserap oleh kenaikan harga perangkat keras.
Bagi Meta dan SpaceX, yang tidak memiliki sumber daya model dan layanan cloud, menjual komputasi adalah solusi optimal mereka—karena mereka memiliki komputasi tetapi tidak memiliki layanan untuk dimonetisasi.
1. Komputasi sebenarnya tidak benar-benar langka; kapasitas komputasi OpenAI dan Anthropic yang benar-benar bisa memonetisasi pengguna sangat tidak mencukupi, sementara Meta dan SpaceX memiliki kelebihan komputasi. Tingkat utilisasi komputasi mereka terlalu tinggi (yaitu, terlalu banyak kapasitas menganggur), dan depresiasi saja dapat menghabiskan laba.
2. Meta dan SpaceX, yang pertama mulai menjual komputasi, sendiri tidak memiliki model yang cukup kuat, pengguna berbayar, atau server cloud untuk menjalankan operasi bisnis.
3. Morgan Stanley memperkirakan Meta memiliki 3GW komputasi, sedangkan Anthropic dan OpenAI masing-masing 1,4GW dan 1,9GW. Gambaran kelangkaan komputasi yang muncul dari kekurangan pasokan yang Anda rasakan sebagian besar didorong oleh Anthropic dan OpenAI, sehingga persepsi pasar adalah yang paling jelas. Meta tidak memiliki banyak layanan dan tidak membutuhkan komputasi sebanyak itu. Selain itu, model grok yang digunakan untuk SpaceX diketahui kualitasnya di bawah standar, sehingga pasar tentu tidak bisa merasakan seberapa melimpah komputasi mereka—hanya mereka yang tahu.
4. Pada 2026, penyedia layanan cloud akan meningkatkan belanja modal sebesar 70%; lebih dari setengahnya diserap oleh kenaikan harga perangkat keras.
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ADA
Tell the wales that whatever they are cooking we are indeed preparing for them 🚨🚨🚨😀
I see some good swing trade if market is able to hold above 0.160$
It could move in to 0.190$ and then to 0.2300
Tell the wales that whatever they are cooking we are indeed preparing for them 🚨🚨🚨😀
I see some good swing trade if market is able to hold above 0.160$
It could move in to 0.190$ and then to 0.2300
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NFP likely 0.0065 – 0.0095. Bias toward mild pullback or consolidation after the big +94% pump.
The move looks like a short squeeze/FOMO bounce. Delisting pressure (July 10) remains heavy, so expect profit-taking. Choppy action probable — flat to -15% most likely. High volatility, trade with tight stops. Not a long-term hold.
The move looks like a short squeeze/FOMO bounce. Delisting pressure (July 10) remains heavy, so expect profit-taking. Choppy action probable — flat to -15% most likely. High volatility, trade with tight stops. Not a long-term hold.
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lighter is really my lucky star hahah
Xrp🔥🔥
Pelepasan dana yang ditahan dalam escrow oleh Ripple pada bulan Juli akan membuka satu miliar XRP, namun sejarah menunjukkan kemungkinan besar yang akan tetap beredar hanya beberapa ratus juta saja.
Program escrow Ripple tahun 2017 secara otomatis akan membuka satu miliar XRP setiap bulan, termasuk pelepasan bulan Juli, yang nilainya lebih dari satu miliar dolar pada harga saat ini.
Di masa lalu, peristiwa pelepasan umumnya berarti menambahkan antara 200 hingga 400 juta XRP ke peredaran, sementara sisanya dikunci kembali, sehingga peristiwa bulanan menghasilkan volatilitas independen yang terbatas.
Perdebatan yang semakin berkembang mengenai apakah Ripple sebaiknya mempercepat rilisnya atau tetap menjeda jadwalnya menjadikan distribusi bersih bulan Juli dan reaksi harga sebagai faktor kunci yang perlu dipertimbangkan.
Pelepasan dana yang ditahan dalam escrow oleh Ripple pada bulan Juli akan membuka satu miliar XRP, namun sejarah menunjukkan kemungkinan besar yang akan tetap beredar hanya beberapa ratus juta saja.
Program escrow Ripple tahun 2017 secara otomatis akan membuka satu miliar XRP setiap bulan, termasuk pelepasan bulan Juli, yang nilainya lebih dari satu miliar dolar pada harga saat ini.
Di masa lalu, peristiwa pelepasan umumnya berarti menambahkan antara 200 hingga 400 juta XRP ke peredaran, sementara sisanya dikunci kembali, sehingga peristiwa bulanan menghasilkan volatilitas independen yang terbatas.
Perdebatan yang semakin berkembang mengenai apakah Ripple sebaiknya mempercepat rilisnya atau tetap menjeda jadwalnya menjadikan distribusi bersih bulan Juli dan reaksi harga sebagai faktor kunci yang perlu dipertimbangkan.
BTC ETH
Dalam dua hari lagi, garis bulanan akan jatuh tempo. Candle bearish ini tebal dan panjang. Apa pun Ethereum yang besar dan tegas—tidak peduli trader atau guru finansial mana yang kamu lihat, siapa yang benar-benar tidak akan gugup setelah melihat ini?
Para “master” yang selama ini mengemas short di atas 7w8—sekali mereka tidak bisa lagi menahan posisi short mereka dan menutupnya, setelah harga tembus turun di bawah 6w, mereka mulai mendesak orang lain dengan panik untuk membuka long.
Jangan lupa papan peringkat komisi—peringkat teratas, bahkan pada harga Ethereum saat ini, masih bernilai puluhan ribu dolar. Itu uang yang bisa disimpan oleh pekerja biasa dengan cara mengurangi pengeluaran selama bertahun-tahun. Jadi sampai mati, trading pada dasarnya hanya menyerahkan uang kepada seseorang yang bahkan tidak ada hubungan denganmu. Benar-benar seperti orang suci.
Aku jadi melantur…
Untuk Ethereum saat ini: setelah beberapa kali dites di sekitar 60,700, rasanya tidak mau naik. Market maker jelas tidak ingin ada breakout—apa yang bisa kamu lakukan tentang itu?
Kalau kamu trading jangka pendek dan melihatnya breakout, maka kamu bisa langsung ngejar long. Kalau kembali turun, cut loss. Pokoknya menyentuh sekitar sedikit di atas 62,000 itu bukan masalah besar. Market maker tetap tidak mau naik. Karena efek pegas, kemungkinan besar ia akan menembus low baru lagi.
Ethereum sudah turun selama lima bulan berturut-turut dari 126,200, sempat memantul selama dua bulan, dan sekarang sudah memiliki dua bulan beruntun dengan candle bearish. Jika turun lagi satu bulan, kamu tidak akan punya amunisi yang cukup untuk menutupinya—jadi bersabarlah. Kalau kamu tidak bisa memahaminya, jangan trading.
Melihat chart bulanan: kenyataannya, support di sisi kiri berada di antara 4w5 dan 4w8. Chart mingguan ada di sekitar 5w2.
Dan antara 5w2 dan 5w8? Pasti ada beberapa support—tapi apakah bisa bertahan, tidak ada yang tahu. Yang aku tahu, di bawah 5w2, demand dari sisi buy-side kuat, jadi support itu seharusnya lebih kuat.
Soal test Ethereum yang kedua di dekat 1515: kekuatan pantulnya sangat lemah, dan dengan candle bulanan bearish yang besar ini plus faktor “gaji bulanan",
Dalam dua hari lagi, garis bulanan akan jatuh tempo. Candle bearish ini tebal dan panjang. Apa pun Ethereum yang besar dan tegas—tidak peduli trader atau guru finansial mana yang kamu lihat, siapa yang benar-benar tidak akan gugup setelah melihat ini?
Para “master” yang selama ini mengemas short di atas 7w8—sekali mereka tidak bisa lagi menahan posisi short mereka dan menutupnya, setelah harga tembus turun di bawah 6w, mereka mulai mendesak orang lain dengan panik untuk membuka long.
Jangan lupa papan peringkat komisi—peringkat teratas, bahkan pada harga Ethereum saat ini, masih bernilai puluhan ribu dolar. Itu uang yang bisa disimpan oleh pekerja biasa dengan cara mengurangi pengeluaran selama bertahun-tahun. Jadi sampai mati, trading pada dasarnya hanya menyerahkan uang kepada seseorang yang bahkan tidak ada hubungan denganmu. Benar-benar seperti orang suci.
Aku jadi melantur…
Untuk Ethereum saat ini: setelah beberapa kali dites di sekitar 60,700, rasanya tidak mau naik. Market maker jelas tidak ingin ada breakout—apa yang bisa kamu lakukan tentang itu?
Kalau kamu trading jangka pendek dan melihatnya breakout, maka kamu bisa langsung ngejar long. Kalau kembali turun, cut loss. Pokoknya menyentuh sekitar sedikit di atas 62,000 itu bukan masalah besar. Market maker tetap tidak mau naik. Karena efek pegas, kemungkinan besar ia akan menembus low baru lagi.
Ethereum sudah turun selama lima bulan berturut-turut dari 126,200, sempat memantul selama dua bulan, dan sekarang sudah memiliki dua bulan beruntun dengan candle bearish. Jika turun lagi satu bulan, kamu tidak akan punya amunisi yang cukup untuk menutupinya—jadi bersabarlah. Kalau kamu tidak bisa memahaminya, jangan trading.
Melihat chart bulanan: kenyataannya, support di sisi kiri berada di antara 4w5 dan 4w8. Chart mingguan ada di sekitar 5w2.
Dan antara 5w2 dan 5w8? Pasti ada beberapa support—tapi apakah bisa bertahan, tidak ada yang tahu. Yang aku tahu, di bawah 5w2, demand dari sisi buy-side kuat, jadi support itu seharusnya lebih kuat.
Soal test Ethereum yang kedua di dekat 1515: kekuatan pantulnya sangat lemah, dan dengan candle bulanan bearish yang besar ini plus faktor “gaji bulanan",
Apa yang harus saya lakukan jika saya memiliki ETH di Spanyol? Pada tanggal 1 Juli, pembelian di Spanyol akan ditutup dan hanya akan mungkin untuk menjualnya atau menyimpannya di dompet Anda sesuai dengan # MiCA. Apakah ada orang lain yang mengalami situasi yang sama? Atau ada saran? Terima kasih.
BTC akan turun, saya yakin 100%
Tolong ikuti saran saya.
Jika terjadi penurunan (dip), akan turun hingga 56.000,02
BitcoinTests$58000
Tolong ikuti saran saya.
Jika terjadi penurunan (dip), akan turun hingga 56.000,02
BitcoinTests$58000
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💥 DO YOU KNOW HOW TO OPEN A TRADING OPERATION...
BUT WHEN THE TIME COMES TO CLOSE IT... YOU IMPROVISE.
And I’m not talking about just pressing the "Close" button.
I’m talking about knowing when to exit.
Because that’s where many traders start losing money.
📌 They enter without defining a target.
📌 They move the Stop Loss when the price goes against them.
📌 They take profits out of fear.
📌 Or they let a loss run, hoping it will "bounce back".
The result is usually always the same.
A good entry...
Turned into a bad trade.
⚠️ THE PROBLEM
Most people spend a huge amount of time finding the perfect entry.
But almost nobody plans the exit.
And the reality is that a trade doesn’t end when you buy or sell.
It ends when you close it.
🎯 BEFORE ENTERING...
There are three questions you should always be able to answer.
✅ Where does my analysis stop making sense?
That’s usually the logical place to invalidate the trade.
✅ Where does it make sense to take profits?
Not where emotion says.
But where the market might start to change.
✅ Does the risk/reward ratio justify this trade?
Because being right isn’t enough.
You also need the trade to make sense from a risk-management perspective.
💡 THE MOST COMMON MISTAKE
Believing that money is made by finding good entries.
When many times...
Money is made by learning how to manage the exit.
Because a bad exit can ruin an excellent analysis.
And good management can turn a common trade...
Into a consistent one.
💡 In the upcoming posts, we’ll be adding different tools that—combined with good management—can help you define exits with more context and less impulsiveness.
BUT WHEN THE TIME COMES TO CLOSE IT... YOU IMPROVISE.
And I’m not talking about just pressing the "Close" button.
I’m talking about knowing when to exit.
Because that’s where many traders start losing money.
📌 They enter without defining a target.
📌 They move the Stop Loss when the price goes against them.
📌 They take profits out of fear.
📌 Or they let a loss run, hoping it will "bounce back".
The result is usually always the same.
A good entry...
Turned into a bad trade.
⚠️ THE PROBLEM
Most people spend a huge amount of time finding the perfect entry.
But almost nobody plans the exit.
And the reality is that a trade doesn’t end when you buy or sell.
It ends when you close it.
🎯 BEFORE ENTERING...
There are three questions you should always be able to answer.
✅ Where does my analysis stop making sense?
That’s usually the logical place to invalidate the trade.
✅ Where does it make sense to take profits?
Not where emotion says.
But where the market might start to change.
✅ Does the risk/reward ratio justify this trade?
Because being right isn’t enough.
You also need the trade to make sense from a risk-management perspective.
💡 THE MOST COMMON MISTAKE
Believing that money is made by finding good entries.
When many times...
Money is made by learning how to manage the exit.
Because a bad exit can ruin an excellent analysis.
And good management can turn a common trade...
Into a consistent one.
💡 In the upcoming posts, we’ll be adding different tools that—combined with good management—can help you define exits with more context and less impulsiveness.
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Have you noticed that the OPG order book keeps drifting down every day, with continuous unlocking of huge-volume dumps? The price keeps hitting new lows, yet the community and comment sections are always full of a lively celebration?
This is absolutely not real users speaking! It’s all the project owners using batch robot water armies to fake posts and fabricate records!
Unified templates, unified scripts, mass quick posting of good news—every day they invent false cooperation and false good-news messages, deliberately creating the illusion that a surge is about to happen or an explosion is imminent. The only purpose is to trick retail investors into bottom-fishing and becoming the bag-holders!
After the water army finishes large-scale spamming to create momentum, the next step is a large amount of unlocked chips followed immediately by the project team’s precise dumping. The playbook is identical every time: robots spam “good news” to launder the situation → lure retail investors into the market to take the bait → huge-volume unlocked chips go out of circulation疯狂 selling → the coin price crashes and traps everyone!
Real users’ questions and complaints about losses are all drowned out by the water army’s spam. Public opinion is fully controlled, so newcomers can’t see the real risks and keep getting lured in—only to be harvested.
OPG has no actual implementation progress at all. It relies on controlling engagement with water armies to generate heat, on drawing people in with fake good news, and on using unlocking dumps to harvest retail investors. It’s a complete pig-butchering scheme!
We sincerely ask all affected retail investors to coordinate by liking and pushing the post to the top!
Push this truth to the top and drown out the fake rhythm of the robot water army!
This is absolutely not real users speaking! It’s all the project owners using batch robot water armies to fake posts and fabricate records!
Unified templates, unified scripts, mass quick posting of good news—every day they invent false cooperation and false good-news messages, deliberately creating the illusion that a surge is about to happen or an explosion is imminent. The only purpose is to trick retail investors into bottom-fishing and becoming the bag-holders!
After the water army finishes large-scale spamming to create momentum, the next step is a large amount of unlocked chips followed immediately by the project team’s precise dumping. The playbook is identical every time: robots spam “good news” to launder the situation → lure retail investors into the market to take the bait → huge-volume unlocked chips go out of circulation疯狂 selling → the coin price crashes and traps everyone!
Real users’ questions and complaints about losses are all drowned out by the water army’s spam. Public opinion is fully controlled, so newcomers can’t see the real risks and keep getting lured in—only to be harvested.
OPG has no actual implementation progress at all. It relies on controlling engagement with water armies to generate heat, on drawing people in with fake good news, and on using unlocking dumps to harvest retail investors. It’s a complete pig-butchering scheme!
We sincerely ask all affected retail investors to coordinate by liking and pushing the post to the top!
Push this truth to the top and drown out the fake rhythm of the robot water army!
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70% Probability $BTC Breaks Below $60,000 - My Updated Outlook
My probability-weighted model currently shows a 70% chance that Bitcoin breaks below $60,000.
If that happens, the next downside zone I'm monitoring is:
📉 $42,500–$44,700
Over the past month, $BTC has fallen more than 27%, dropping from $82,828 to $60,300.
What many investors may be overlooking is that, from the ATH of $126,200, Bitcoin has only retraced around 52% so far.
Compared to several previous market cycles, this correction remains relatively modest.
That's why I believe the market cannot yet rule out another major leg lower before a cycle bottom is established.
If BTC loses $60,000, the probability of a deeper correction toward $42,500–$44,700 increases significantly.
However, I do not expect the move to happen in a straight line. Relief rallies and temporary recoveries are likely before a final bottom forms.
Based on my current assessment, this process could extend into Q3 or even Q4.
⚠️ This is an independent market analysis for educational and risk-management purposes only. A 70% probability does not mean the scenario is guaranteed to occur. Not financial advice. DYOR.
Do you expect BTC to recover from here, or is a deeper correction still ahead? 👇
Tony Kairos ⧗ — Top 1 Global Crypto Analyst
My probability-weighted model currently shows a 70% chance that Bitcoin breaks below $60,000.
If that happens, the next downside zone I'm monitoring is:
📉 $42,500–$44,700
Over the past month, $BTC has fallen more than 27%, dropping from $82,828 to $60,300.
What many investors may be overlooking is that, from the ATH of $126,200, Bitcoin has only retraced around 52% so far.
Compared to several previous market cycles, this correction remains relatively modest.
That's why I believe the market cannot yet rule out another major leg lower before a cycle bottom is established.
If BTC loses $60,000, the probability of a deeper correction toward $42,500–$44,700 increases significantly.
However, I do not expect the move to happen in a straight line. Relief rallies and temporary recoveries are likely before a final bottom forms.
Based on my current assessment, this process could extend into Q3 or even Q4.
⚠️ This is an independent market analysis for educational and risk-management purposes only. A 70% probability does not mean the scenario is guaranteed to occur. Not financial advice. DYOR.
Do you expect BTC to recover from here, or is a deeper correction still ahead? 👇
Tony Kairos ⧗ — Top 1 Global Crypto Analyst
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The most panicked moment for Bitcoin is already behind us.
The storage sector has pulled back for two days, and funds have flowed from semiconductors into other sectors—an extremely healthy rotation. Especially yesterday’s sharp drop in Hynix also released a lot of risk. Right now, the frenzy chasing rallies has cooled off, and instead it gives the crypto market some breathing room.
MicroStrategy’s off-exchange OTC added $1.5 billion in funds. That means this year’s debt payments and STRC dividend distributions should be fine as well.
As money rotates back from the hottest sectors, the negative factors for the crypto market have been largely cleared. Going into July, it will be a time for rebounds on the weekly level. For now, I’m sitting on a full stack of BTC long positions, all ready to be fed.
Between 66,000 and 74,000 is where you should take partial profits in batches during this rebound.
Why 74,000? Because MicroStrategy this month announced it would sell coins in the 74,000–72,000 range. If the risk of a near-term crash for MicroStrategy is removed, it could very likely surge violently back to the sell-coin price level.
And 66,000 is also the rebound high from these past two weeks. So if the market truly rebounds back to 66,000, the next target will inevitably be around 74,000.
In any case, I hope everyone makes money. Let’s not have any more macro or other bad-event headlines show up here mid-flight.
The storage sector has pulled back for two days, and funds have flowed from semiconductors into other sectors—an extremely healthy rotation. Especially yesterday’s sharp drop in Hynix also released a lot of risk. Right now, the frenzy chasing rallies has cooled off, and instead it gives the crypto market some breathing room.
MicroStrategy’s off-exchange OTC added $1.5 billion in funds. That means this year’s debt payments and STRC dividend distributions should be fine as well.
As money rotates back from the hottest sectors, the negative factors for the crypto market have been largely cleared. Going into July, it will be a time for rebounds on the weekly level. For now, I’m sitting on a full stack of BTC long positions, all ready to be fed.
Between 66,000 and 74,000 is where you should take partial profits in batches during this rebound.
Why 74,000? Because MicroStrategy this month announced it would sell coins in the 74,000–72,000 range. If the risk of a near-term crash for MicroStrategy is removed, it could very likely surge violently back to the sell-coin price level.
And 66,000 is also the rebound high from these past two weeks. So if the market truly rebounds back to 66,000, the next target will inevitably be around 74,000.
In any case, I hope everyone makes money. Let’s not have any more macro or other bad-event headlines show up here mid-flight.
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From the current stage, a $60,000 Bitcoin is still relatively expensive; $50,000 can only be said to be not too expensive. The bottom price range for Bitcoin is estimated to be between $32,000 and $50,000.$BTC
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Going heavily short at the position of Ethereum ETH 1580 is very risky, but shorting with a small position can work. The position at ETH 900 is definitely something that must be reached. Because there are too many “bulls” at 1580. The market maker will definitely push and blow up all the long positions, and then a bull market will start in 2029.
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