Gold Reaches a Key Monetary Threshold While Bitcoin Consolidates
Measured against the U.S. money supply, gold is once again approaching a level that has historically acted as long-term resistance. This zone was last tested in 2011 and before that during the inflation-driven breakout of the late 1970s.
At the same time, Bitcoin is retracing toward an important support area. This zone aligns with the April macro selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year, making it structurally significant.
Gold’s outperformance signals growing concern around currency debasement and macro stability. Bitcoin’s pullback, however, appears more like cycle consolidation rather than a breakdown of its broader trend.
The $70K–$80K zone remains one of Bitcoin’s least developed price areas.
Over the past five years, BTC barely traded within this range, resulting in limited position building and weak structural support. On-chain metrics also reflect low supply concentration around these levels.
If price revisits this zone, it may need time to consolidate before it can function as a reliable base.
Bitcoin’s December Consolidation Could Be Near Its End
Bitcoin’s extended stay between $85K–$90K throughout December wasn’t driven by weak sentiment, but by derivatives positioning.
Large options exposure clustered around spot levels forced market makers into delta-hedging mode — buying pullbacks and selling strength. This mechanical flow compressed volatility and kept price locked in a tight range, even as macro conditions and risk appetite improved elsewhere.
That structure is now shifting.
As year-end options expire, nearly $27B in open interest is set to roll off. With calls still dominating positioning, the hedging pressure that capped price action begins to unwind.
At the same time, implied volatility sits near monthly lows, indicating the market may be underestimating the magnitude of the next move.
When price is constrained by positioning for weeks, the release tends to be swift once those constraints fade.
Why Gold and Copper Are Leading Markets While Bitcoin Waits in 2025
Market behavior in 2025 highlights a clear preference: capital is flowing toward tangible assets in a world facing both macro stress and real economic rebuilding.
Gold has rallied strongly as concerns grow around fiscal discipline, currency dilution, and geopolitical uncertainty. At the same time, copper is benefiting from structural demand tied to AI expansion, electrification, and large-scale infrastructure investment. Both assets represent reliability and physical utility in an environment where trust in financial systems is being tested.
Bitcoin, often framed as both digital gold and a technology-driven asset, has yet to attract either stream of capital. ETF approval and regulatory clarity are largely priced in, while sovereign players continue to rely on gold as their primary hedge.
This divergence doesn’t imply irrelevance. Historically, during periods of monetary pressure, gold tends to move first. Bitcoin often responds later — but with sharper and more volatile moves once conditions align.
The market isn’t turning away from crypto. It’s asking for confirmation, conviction, and the right moment.
If Donald Trump announces a nominee early, policy expectations could shift ahead of 2026. Worth watching closely.
BTC Daily Tracker
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President Trump has indicated he may announce his nominee for the next Federal Reserve Chair as early as the first week of January 2026.Current Chair Jerome Powell's term ends in May 2026, and the choice will influence monetary policy direction amid ongoing economic debates.Names like Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh have been mentioned as leading candidates.This process highlights how presidential appointments shape central bank priorities.I've always found these transitions key for understanding macro shifts.Anyone else following the potential nominees?#Macro #crypto
Interesting development If adoption grows, EarnXRP on Flare could expand XRP’s use beyond payments.
Giannis Andreou
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🚨 EarnXRP Launches on Flare — First XRP-Denominated Yield Product
EarnXRP has launched on the Flare Network as the first yield-generating product denominated in XRP. The offering allows holders to earn rewards directly in XRP rather than other tokens or yield assets.
This development expands on-chain utility for XRP and reflects growing demand for diversified crypto income products. Adoption will depend on user participation and overall market conditions.
The Regime Score is sitting at a key inflection point that many overlook. • Bull vs. Bear structure is tightening • Score remains near the equilibrium zone (~16%) • Historically, this level signals transitions, not directional moves
📉 Below zero → distribution phases & rising downside volatility 📈 Clean hold above the regime baseline → momentum rebuild & trend expansion
At this stage, $BTC isn’t trending — it’s loading energy. Extended compression often precedes decisive moves. Experienced capital positions early, not during emotional breakouts.
A rising JPY can unwind carry trades fast. If this accelerates, expect volatility across equities and crypto.
Block Theory
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🚨 BREAKING — BUFFETT MAKES A MAJOR DEFENSIVE SHIFT
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett has reportedly moved nearly $350 billion into the Japanese yen — a clear signal of rising caution.
Why this matters
The timing is critical. Markets are bracing for a potential 75 basis point rate hike from the Bank of Japan, a move that would be historic and could send shockwaves through global markets.
Positioning heavily in yen suggests risk hedging:
Higher Japanese rates tend to strengthen the yen
Stronger yen pressures global carry trades
When carry trades unwind, volatility spreads quickly across stocks, bonds, and crypto
The bigger signal
This move points to broader concerns:
Tightening global liquidity
Shifting rate differentials
Fragile asset valuations
In environments like this, capital preservation beats return chasing. Large players typically reposition well before headlines turn bearish.
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$ETH reclaiming momentum is key. A clean break and hold above $3,600 could unlock strong upside for alts. Watching volume closely
Emilio Crypto Bojan
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Haussier
#Ethereum is breaking out and taking over.
Momentum is flipping, altcoins are watching closely. $3,600 is the barrier. $ETH #USNonFarmPayrollReport #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #USJobsData
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