Berserker_09

Key Takeaways:

Market odds for a December Fed rate cut surged to about 71% after John Williams’ dovish remarks.

Bitcoin ( $BTC ) quickly rebounded from $82,000 to $85,800, signaling renewed optimism among traders.

Other Fed officials remain cautious, warning that inflation risks could still derail easing plans.

Market sentiment improved sharply on Friday as traders began pricing in fresh odds of a U.S.
interest-rate cut next month, reigniting hope that monetary easing could help risk assets stabilize.

The sudden optimism followed remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, who hinted that borrowing costs may have overshot neutral levels and suggested that a policy adjustment could arrive sooner than expected.

From Doubt to Confidence

Only a few days ago, rate-cut bets had nearly evaporated amid confusion surrounding delayed labor data and weak market confidence. According to futures data from CME FedWatch, investors now see roughly a seven-in-ten chance that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates by a quarter point at its December meeting.

The prospect of cheaper money sent traders scrambling back into risk assets — and crypto was among the first to react.

Bitcoin’s Quick Rebound

After dipping below $82,000, Bitcoin bounced to around $85,200, posting its strongest hourly recovery in nearly a week. The move marks a temporary break from the sharp correction that erased billions in open interest earlier this week.

Historically, Bitcoin’s best rallies have aligned with shifts toward looser monetary policy. Earlier this year, the asset surged to record highs immediately before the Fed implemented back-to-back cuts, fueling the idea that rate adjustments often act as catalysts for crypto momentum.

Hawks Push Back

Despite the renewed enthusiasm, the Fed remains divided. Boston Fed President Susan Collins reiterated that inflation remains stubborn and warned that policy easing could be premature. Dallas Fed’s Lorie Logan shared similar concerns, saying a pause might be wiser than risking another inflation flare-up later.

Their remarks underscore the uncertainty still surrounding the December decision — one that could tilt sentiment across global markets.

The Bigger Picture

While Friday’s relief rally offered crypto investors a moment to breathe, analysts caution that volatility remains high. Much will depend on incoming inflation data and economic reports due before the next FOMC meeting. If the data aligns with a softer stance, the market could see a renewed risk-on wave heading into the year’s end.
#BTCVolatility #USJobsData #Write2Earn

Bitcoin ( $BTC ) price has returned to the key $90,000 support level that marked the previous cycle bottom, raising the possibility of a reversal if buyers can defend this region with strength.

Bitcoin is once again approaching a significant moment in its macrostructure as price retests the $90,000 support level, a zone that defined the previous major bottom in the broader trading channel. This area holds strong historical importance because it aligns technically with multiple indicators, including the value area low and the lower boundary of the high-time-frame channel.

Bitcoin price key technical points

$90,000 is a significant historical support level aligned with the channel low and value area low

A sustained hold above this zone opens the probability of a rotation toward $135,000

Current retest mirrors the previous bottom structure, suggesting a potential swing reversal

Bitcoin’s retest of the $90,000 region is significant because this level served as the previous cycle’s bottom, laying the foundation for the last strong rotation toward the mid-range and upper boundaries of the long-term channel. The current return to this level suggests the market is once again testing the strength of long-term buyers. From a structural viewpoint, the confluence of the channel low, value area low, and historical support creates one of the strongest technical floors in the current macro environment.

The retest itself is forming in a very similar manner to the previous bottom, where price dipped into the lower boundary, absorbed liquidity, and then rallied toward the upper region of the channel. The fact that Bitcoin has not broken below this structure suggests that buyers are defending the level with conviction. Market participants often consider such repeated retests as potential confirmation of a higher-time-frame accumulation phase.

If Bitcoin remains above the $90,000 support on a closing basis, the likelihood of a rotational rally increases. The next major target within this trading channel is $135,000, a resistance level that previously capped the upper price boundary. A rotation toward this area would keep Bitcoin firmly within the established high-time-frame range, continuing the broader structural pattern of moving between the channel low and channel high.

However, if Bitcoin breaks below support, it would signal a shift in market control and invalidate the current bullish structure. For now, the defense of the level remains intact and continues to support the probability of a reversal forming.

What to expect in the coming price action

If Bitcoin holds $90,000, a rotation toward $135,000 becomes increasingly likely. A breakdown below the channel low would weaken the bullish outlook, but having this support keeps the probability of a swing reversal firmly in play.
#BTC90kBreakingPoint #MarketPullback #Write2Earn

$ETH is down over 4% today, but beneath the short-term volatility, something far more interesting is forming on the chart: a fractal setup that previously triggered a major reversal in April 2025.

Fractal Setup Hints at a Reversal
On the daily timeframe, Ethereum’s price action seems to be repeating a familiar structure.

Back in late 2024, ETH formed a clear upside leg from point 0 → 1, followed by a corrective decline compressed inside a falling wedge. That correction extended all the way into the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which acted as a strong support zone. From that level, ETH bounced sharply, broke out of the wedge, and staged a significant bullish reversal.

Now, ETH appears to be following the same roadmap.

Once again, the price has completed a 0 → 1 upside leg and has since fallen into another falling wedge. This latest correction has driven ETH directly into the 2.0 Fib extension region, which sits around $2,930 — the same structural support area that fueled the previous reversal. ETH is beginning to show early signs of resilience here, hinting that buyers may be defending the zone just as before.

What’s Next for ETH?

If the fractal continues to repeat, the 2.0 Fibonacci level could act as a launchpad for a rebound. A strong reaction from this zone — followed by a breakout above the wedge and a reclaim of the 50-day moving average — would signal a shift in momentum back to the upside, closely mirroring the late-2024 recovery.

However, if ETH fails to hold the $2,930 support, the fractal becomes invalid. In that case, the price could trend lower toward the $2,600 region before finding its next potential base.
#Write2Earn #BTC90kBreakingPoint #CryptoIn401k

The $AVAX price has crashed to a crucial support level after falling by 72% from its highest point in November as traders wait for the upcoming Avalanche Granite upgrade.

Avalanche to activate Granite upgrade

Avalanche token was trading at $15.67, a key support it has failed to move below several times since March this year. Its plunge from its highest point in November has brought its market capitalization from $13 billion to $6.7 billion.

Avalanche price will be in the spotlight this week as the network upgrades the Granite mainnet, which has been in the Fuji testnet in the past few months.

Granite is one of the most important upgrades in its history as it introduces key features. It will improve cross-chain messaging, introduce biometric authentication support, and enable dynamic block times for faster transactions.

The Granite upgrade, which comes on November 19, comes at a time when the Avalanche network is growing. Data compiled by Nansen shows that the number of transactions has soared by 102% in the last 30 days to 63 million. Its users also jumped by about 7% to over 719,340. 

Still, like other networks, Avalanche is also facing some major headwinds as the crypto market crash continues. Data shows that the stablecoin supply in the last seven days dropped by 2.52% in the last 7 days to $2.15 billion.

More data shows that the DEX volume in the network has dropped to $108 million, down from this month’s high of $407 million. Also, the total value locked in Avalanche has dropped to $2.05 billion, down from the year-to-date high of $3.51 billion. AVAX’s funding rate and weighted open interest have also pulled back in the past few months.

AVAX Price Technical Analysis

The daily timeframe chart shows that the AVAX price has crashed from a high of $36 in October to the current $15.25. It has settled at a crucial support where it has failed to move below since March 10. 

The current price is along the weak, stop & reverse point of the Murrey Math Lines. It also formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages have flipped each other. 

Therefore, a move below the support at $15.26 will point to more downside, potentially to the ultimate support at $12.50. On the other hand, a rebound could see it retest the Major S/R pivot point at $25. 
#Write2Earn #AVAX #MarketPullback

The crypto market continued its crash last week, with the total valuation of all tokens plunging to $3.24 trillion from over $4.27 trillion a few weeks ago.

Ethereum ( $ETH ) and Bitcoin ( $BTC ) prices have dropped in the last three consecutive weeks, and are now in their lowest level in months. The crypto market cap has also plunged in the last three straight weeks. 

Why the crypto market has crashed

There are a few core reasons why the crypto market crash has accelerated in the past few weeks. One main reason is that the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped to the fear zone of 22. It is common for the crypto industry to retreat when there is a sense of fear in the market. 

The crypto industry has also plunged as the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in December slips. A Polymarket poll with over $100 million in assets has the odds of a cut at 51%, much lower than the year-to-date high of 90%. 

Cryptocurrency prices are also plunging as investors remain in the sidelines. Data compiled by Nansen shows that the stablecoin inflow in exchanges has pulled back in the past few weeks. These stablecoins now stand at $87 billion, down from $89.2 billion on November 10. 

The crypto market crash has also happened because of the fear of liquidations. This fear has led to a strong decline in the futures open interest, which has led to weaker demand.

Will the cryptocurrency crash continue or rebound?
With the crypto market crash continuing, there is a question on whether it has more room to go or whether a rebound will happen.

The most likely driver for the crypto industry will be the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes of the last meeting. These minutes will come out on Wednesday. A dovish statement will be bullish for the crypto market.

The other potential catalyst will be the Nvidia earnings, which will also come out on Wednesday. Nvidia earnings will be important because it is the biggest company in the world. It is also the flagbearer of artificial intelligence, which has driven the stock market in the last three years.

Strong Nvidia earnings and guidance will mean that the AI bubble is not about to burst. Such numbers will boost the US stock market, and potentially, cryptocurrencies.

On the other hand, weak Nvidia results may trigger a bear market in the stock market, which will also negatively impact cryptocurrencies.

The other potential price action in the crypto market this week is a rebound, which may be part of a dead cat bounce. A clear crypto rebound will be confirmed when Bitcoin and most altcoins move above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
#MarketPullback #StrategyBTCPurchase #Write2Earn

The broader altcoin market continues to face heavy selling this week as Ethereum ( $ETH ) plunged more than 8% over the past seven days, dropping from its weekly high of $3658 to the current level around $3160.

This sharp volatility has weighed on major altcoins, but beneath all the red, the BTC Dominance (BTC.D) chart is flashing a technical signal that could be preparing the market for an potential short term altcoin rebound.

Symmetrical Broadening Wedge Breakdown

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin Dominance had been trading inside a broadening wedge structure — a pattern that often reflects increasing volatility and indecision.

After multiple rejections from the wedge’s upper resistance zone, BTC.D finally broke below its critical support trendline near 59.66%, confirming a bearish breakdown in dominance. Previously, such a breakdown is often interpreted as a bullish sign for altcoins, as it indicates a potential shift of market strength away from Bitcoin.

Following the drop, BTC.D slid to around 59.28% before bouncing slightly higher to retest its breakdown level near 59.63%. This retest is an important moment for the market — dominance either reclaims the trendline (bearish for alts) or gets rejected and continues lower (bullish for alts).

So far, the chart suggests a weakening structure that aligns with a fading bearish phase for altcoins. If the retest confirms resistance, altcoins could begin transitioning into a recovery phase.

What’s Next for BTC.D?

If BTC.D continues to respect this breakdown, the next major target sits near 58.05%, which marks a key support zone. A move toward this level usually signals a broader rotation of liquidity into the altcoin market.

Such a shift could ignite short tern fresh upward momentum across leading altcoins, many of which have been heavily oversold throughout the recent correction.

For now, this technical breakdown in BTC dominance stands as one of the most promising signals altcoin traders have seen in weeks, hinting that the long-awaited altcoin rebound may finally be approaching.
#MarketPullback #bitcoin #altcoins

Bitcoin ( $BTC ) has dropped to $97,080, marking one of its sharpest intraday declines this month as sellers regain control following a week of rising volatility.

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin retraces to $97,080, falling over 6% in 24 hours.

Volatility spikes, with liquidity thinning and sellers dominating the order books.
Price loses $102K and $100K supports, turning them into fresh resistance levels.
Market structure now hinges on the $96.5K–$97K zone, the last major near-term support.
After briefly stabilizing near $102K–$103K earlier in the week, the market has flipped decisively bearish, with price losing three major support zones in less than 48 hours.

The latest move takes Bitcoin back to levels last seen in early October, reflecting a rapid shift in trader sentiment.

Bitcoin attempted to reclaim $105K earlier in the week but faced consistent supply pressure, leading to a rounded top structure visible on the chart. Each bounce produced lower highs, signalling fading conviction among buyers.

Yesterday’s breakdown below $100K triggered accelerated selling, turning the retracement into a clearer downtrend. The move pushed BTC to $97,300 at the time of writing, where the market is attempting to stabilize, but with weak buy-side energy.

Volume Confirms Bear Pressure Returning
Trading volume has increased steadily throughout the decline, signalling that the move is driven by active selling rather than passive drift.

This matters: rising volume during downward moves often confirms trend strength, not exhaustion.

The bottom of the chart shows a thickening volume profile on the decline, suggesting that sellers remain in control.

Technical Structure: Why $97K Matters
Support Zones
BTC now sits directly on top of a support pocket stretching from:

$97,000 (current local support)
$96,500 (stronger historical demand zone)
A clean break below $96,500 would weaken the broader structure and expose:

$94K
$92.5K
$90K major psychological support
Resistance Levels
If BTC attempts a recovery, it must reclaim:

$100K – broken support, now resistance
$102K–$103K – the area where the previous rally topped out
Failing to flip these will keep momentum bearish.

Market Sentiment Turning Cautious
The sharp reversal from above $105K to below $100K has shifted sentiment firmly toward caution. Funding rates have normalized, and traders who were aggressively long earlier in the week are now reducing exposure.

Importantly, no strong bullish divergence has formed yet.

The market is watching closely for:

whether BTC can close above $97K
any liquidity sweeps near $96.5K
early signs of buyer re-accumulation
What Comes Next
Bitcoin is at a pivotal point:
Hold $97K, and a short-term rebound toward $100K becomes likely.
Lose it, and the next meaningful support does not appear until the $94K–$92K range.

Right now, the trend favours sellers, but the next 6-12 hours will determine whether BTC stabilizes or continues deeper into correction territory.
#MarketPullback #CryptoIn401k #Write2Earn