🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US Treasury sanctioned three Iranian currency exchange houses today. Entities that collectively move billions in foreign currency transactions.
The program has a name: "Economic Fury."
The ceasefire is technically in place. The naval blockade is running. The Strait is closed. The financial system is being squeezed. And Iran just sent a new peace proposal through Pakistan.
Washington is negotiating and strangling at the same time.
Tehran is doing the same thing. They just call it "diplomacy."
The same signal that triggered the 2017 bull run is here.
ISM PMI came in at 52.7 today, crossing back above 51 for the 4th consecutive month.
The last two times this happened were January 2017 and September 2020. Both preceded multi month altcoin rallies of historic scale.
ISM is a US manufacturing data point that measures economic expansion. When ISM crosses 51, it signals that the broader economy is expanding, liquidity conditions are improving, and risk appetite is returning.
Historically that environment pushes money into higher beta assets and altcoins are the highest beta asset class on the planet.
Now the level to watch is 55. Every time ISM has sustained above 55, altcoins have gone parabolic.
We are not there yet.
But the last two times the chart looked exactly like this, altseason followed within months.
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇵🇰 Iran has sent a counter-proposal to Washington through Pakistan.
- Iran's 2 core demands remain unchanged: the right to continue uranium enrichment and a full cessation of hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel - No points of convergence have been found on either issue with the U.S. or Israel
Price sitting at key weekly support (2,250–2,280 zone) Multiple reactions from this level → demand clearly present Currently reclaiming EMAs with momentum slowing on the downside Bias: Expecting a strong bounce from this support zone
Key conditions: – Hold weekly support = continuation to upside – LTF structure shift needed for confirmation
If held, potential for expansion higher from this base
🇺🇸 US stock market just hit a new all-time high after adding over $10 trillion in the past 30 days.
Meanwhile Bitcoin is still down 40% from its ATH of $126,000.
3 main reasons:
1) This is pure price suppression and manipulation so whales can load up cheap $BTC .
2) People are tired of getting rugged by insiders and don’t give a fuck anymore.
3) Except $BTC Bitcoin, no other major asset like $ETH has delivered good returns in the last 5 years while most stocks have pumped 5x-10x. So people don’t want to bet on risky assets when they can make solid returns on Mag 7 companies.
I still think once we get the crypto market structure bill and more clarity, Bitcoin will explode much higher with these new killer fundamentals.