Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Fear/Greed Index: 49 - fear; ⭕️ Altcoin Season Index: 37; 🔴 Amy Oldenburg stated that American banks will eventually hold BTC on their balance sheets, but this will require approval from the Federal Reserve; 🔴 The NYSE has filed with the SEC to amend its rules to allow trading of tokenized securities; 🔴 Over the past four days, whales have accelerated their buying, purchasing 140,000 ETH-Santiment; 🔴 The Ethereum Foundation announced that it sold 10,000 ETH to Tom Lee's BitMine over the counter; 🔴 HyperLiquid has launched event voting on BTC price changes; 🔴 Investment in computer hardware has reached 1.2% of GDP. This is higher than during the dot-com bubble.
#data today‼️ The presented materials offer a look at the state of the US stock market through the lens of Goldman Sachs data, highlighting the paradoxical combination of record-high S&P 500 performance and growing skepticism among professional investors.
Despite strong earnings growth and frequent forecast beats, the market is hardly rewarding companies for positive earnings, and the overall growth rate remains negative. Hedge funds are actively reducing risks in the technology sector and reducing the share of US stocks in their portfolios to historical lows, favoring emerging markets such as Korea and Taiwan.
Amid the collapse of correlations between individual stocks and the index, investors are increasingly using options to hedge against a possible downside, anticipating an inevitable correction. At the same time, record inflows into ETFs linked to semiconductors and artificial intelligence are underscoring the continued interest in under-resourced growth areas. Overall, sources describe the situation as "investor paralysis," in which a seemingly calm market conceals high internal volatility and a massive reassessment of risks.
$BTC today💪 Bitcoin's price continued its upward movement on positive news, forming a "bull trap." I wrote in a previous post that large capital would sell off this news. The price has returned to a conventional ascending trading channel. I'm looking for confirmation at $79,800; if it breaks, I'll switch to a "bearish scenario."
Wishing everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ A long trade yielded at least 40% profit if you used our trading ideas.
Classic price movement amid apathy and negative news. Everyone wants to sell good news.
ETF flows turned positive on April 30th. If this trend continues tomorrow, I'll remain optimistic, hoping for a sideways price movement.
The trend of accumulating liquidity in Bitcoin will allow market participants to invest additional liquidity in altcoins, which will be reflected in the price chart through short-term surges. Therefore, technical analysis is a successful analysis model during such market stages.
Our chance to make money.
If short-term demand for Bitcoin trading persists, as reflected in the upward trajectory of the 200-week moving average, the price may return to the boundaries of the hypothetical trading channel.
Be aware of the possibility of a "bull trap" and set stop-losses!
$BTC today‼️ A long trade yielded at least 40% profit if you used our trading ideas.
Classic price movement amid apathy and negative news. Everyone wants to sell good news.
ETF flows turned positive on April 30th. If this trend continues tomorrow, I'll remain optimistic, hoping for a sideways price movement.
The trend of accumulating liquidity in Bitcoin will allow market participants to invest additional liquidity in altcoins, which will be reflected in the price chart through short-term surges. Therefore, technical analysis is a successful analysis model during such market stages.
Our chance to make money.
If short-term demand for Bitcoin trading persists, as reflected in the upward trajectory of the 200-week moving average, the price may return to the boundaries of the hypothetical trading channel.
Be aware of the possibility of a "bull trap" and set stop-losses!
I wish everyone profit💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ Bitcoin's price movement is typical. The profit was at least 20%. We tested the conventional lower line of the ascending trading channel, and the price resumed its correction. There are no bulls left at $77,200, as I wrote about in my recent publications.
I'll update my medium-term forecast tomorrow, but for now, let's enjoy the profit from the short trade.
One guy continues to add fuel to the fire after luring the crowd at $79,200.
By the way, news from the Bank of Japan almost always works.
If the market maintains its pessimistic sentiment, the next short trade target is $73,500.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Fear/Greed Index: 39 - fear; ⭕️ Altcoin Season Index: 41; 🔴 Total BTC ETF Flow: -$137.6M; 🔴 Total ETH ETF Flow: -$87.8M; 🔴 In Q1 2026, the volume of Bitcoin held by "convinced buyers" grew by 69%—from 2.13 million to 3.60 million BTC—and reached its highest level since 2020; 🔴 Bitfinex: During the most volatile geopolitical period of this cycle, $BTC's market share grew from 39.6% to 60.63%. Every major upheaval in this cycle has led to a capital flow into Bitcoin; 🔴 Coinbase announced it is implementing a quantum-resistant security system; 🔴 South Korean crypto exchange Bithumb is switching to Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC); 🔴 A sharp influx of BTC is observed on CryptoQuant exchanges; 🔴 The Kingdom of Bhutan continues to actively sell its BTC — Arkham; 🔴 Visa has added five new blockchains to its global stablecoin settlement pilot project: Arc, Base, Canton, and Polygon; 🔴 Ripple and OKX exchange have partnered to expand the use of the RLUSD stablecoin; 🔴 The first ETFs from the "prediction market" family could launch in the US as early as next week; 🔴 Visa has added Polygon to its global stablecoin settlement program; 🔴 Under Powell's leadership, the Fed has increased the money supply by nearly $9 trillion.
$BTC today‼️ Bitcoin's price movement is typical. The profit was at least 20%. We tested the conventional lower line of the ascending trading channel, and the price resumed its correction. There are no bulls left at $77,200, as I wrote about in my recent publications.
I'll update my medium-term forecast tomorrow, but for now, let's enjoy the profit from the short trade.
One guy continues to add fuel to the fire after luring the crowd at $79,200.
By the way, news from the Bank of Japan almost always works.
If the market maintains its pessimistic sentiment, the next short trade target is $73,500.
Wishing everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ For several days, I've been warning you about a price correction to the lower boundary of the hypothetical ascending trading channel and explaining the reasons for the decline. I hope you made money. The profit was at least 15% on the short trade.
As I predicted, the Bank of Japan's tightening monetary policy has caused negative sentiment among market participants. We're seeing moderate economic data, but there's a battle and a split in the background.
The upward trajectory of the 200-week moving average (H1) is breaking down. If the bulls fail to hold above $77,200, the trading channel will likely break, and a correction similar to November 2018 will begin.
I'm short. This is not financial advice.
Furthermore, there are large outflows from the BTC ETF and ETH ETF today.
$BTC today‼️ For several days, I've been warning you about a price correction to the lower boundary of the hypothetical ascending trading channel and explaining the reasons for the decline. I hope you made money. The profit was at least 15% on the short trade.
As I predicted, the Bank of Japan's tightening monetary policy has caused negative sentiment among market participants. We're seeing moderate economic data, but there's a battle and a split in the background.
The upward trajectory of the 200-week moving average (H1) is breaking down. If the bulls fail to hold above $77,200, the trading channel will likely break, and a correction similar to November 2018 will begin.
I'm short. This is not financial advice.
Furthermore, there are large outflows from the BTC ETF and ETH ETF today.
Wishing everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ The 200-week moving average (H1) continues its upward movement, once again confirming the importance of this indicator, which reflects short-term positive market sentiment. Meanwhile, the price, under bullish pressure, is holding at the peaks of a hypothetical ascending trading channel. Amid geopolitical risks, it's worth noting a short-term increase in cryptocurrency market liquidity, meaning a flow of liquidity from one market to another. BTC ETF data confirms this.
However, it's worth noting the first outflow of the ETH ETF in 8 days. I'm currently considering a probable price move toward $75,600. I believe profit-taking at prices around $80,000 and the euphoria reported are among the reasons for the correction. A short position is already profitable. A stop-loss is required. This is not financial advice.
#data today‼️ A brief analysis of expert opinion on the current state of financial markets, including a focus on the abnormal growth of the semiconductor sector and the dynamics of cryptocurrency assets.
The SOX index is experiencing a parabolic acceleration driven by the hype around artificial intelligence, leading to extreme P/E and P/S ratios. The article also examines the Bitcoin market, which is experiencing a fragile equilibrium: short-term inflows into exchanges and loss-taking indicate investor uncertainty. Sources also note the success of tokenized gold on Binance, with trading volume exceeding $100 billion amid geopolitical instability. Particular attention is paid to the risks of market overheating, where excessive optimism in the tech sector could lead to a sharp correction. Finally, hedging strategies through options are proposed to hedge against a potential collapse of overvalued chip stocks.
$BTC today‼️ The 200-week moving average (H1) continues its upward movement, once again confirming the importance of this indicator, which reflects short-term positive market sentiment. Meanwhile, the price, under bullish pressure, is holding at the peaks of a hypothetical ascending trading channel. Amid geopolitical risks, it's worth noting a short-term increase in cryptocurrency market liquidity, meaning a flow of liquidity from one market to another. BTC ETF data confirms this.
However, it's worth noting the first outflow of the ETH ETF in 8 days. I'm currently considering a probable price move toward $75,600. I believe profit-taking at prices around $80,000 and the euphoria reported are among the reasons for the correction. A short position is already profitable. A stop-loss is required. This is not financial advice.
#data today‼️ Charts and reports indicate a sharp decline in oil reserves, which could reach historic lows if shipping lanes are not reopened soon. Financial data shows high volatility in stock indices such as the S&P 500, amid concerns about rising fuel costs and inflationary pressure on consumers. Goldman Sachs experts warn that the period of easy recovery is over, as systemic market support is weakening. Investors are closely monitoring Polymarket forecasts, hoping for a normalization of traffic in the strait by the end of May. Overall, the data highlights the delicate balance between hope for a peace agreement and the risk of long-term structural damage to the global economy. These data suggest increased speculative sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, which, amid declining liquidity, will put pressure on market participants, reducing risk appetite.
$BTC now‼️ The trading idea is generating at least 60% of my profit. Check it out, bro. 👇 The bullish target is almost reached, and I'm locking in my profit. I expect the trend to continue today and tomorrow, with momentum waning by Friday. Another chance to sell at a good price and buy back lower.
Wishing everyone a profitable trade💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ We're getting at least a 20% profit if you use our trading ideas. The bulls held the Bitcoin price above the conditional support line at $75,400, which I predicted in my previous post. The price gap on the chart has been absorbed.
The trade against shorts continues.
The bullish target is at $78,650.
BTC ETF inflows continue, and data is coming in on record-breaking purchases of US stocks by algorithmic funds, which is also positive for crypto assets.
I'll hold my long trade today until the Bitcoin price reaches the above-mentioned levels.
$BTC today‼️ We're getting at least a 20% profit if you use our trading ideas. The bulls held the Bitcoin price above the conditional support line at $75,400, which I predicted in my previous post. The price gap on the chart has been absorbed.
The trade against shorts continues.
The bullish target is at $78,650.
BTC ETF inflows continue, and data is coming in on record-breaking purchases of US stocks by algorithmic funds, which is also positive for crypto assets.
I'll hold my long trade today until the Bitcoin price reaches the above-mentioned levels.
Wishing everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ We made at least 35% profit on the short trade. The price reached the target indicated on the Bitcoin price chart (the lower line of the conditional trading channel) at $73,650.
A countertrade was not long in coming. I expressed my concerns in a previous publication. If you use my trading scenarios in your trading, I hope you closed your short positions.
Despite the obvious negative news, the Bitcoin price is rising, this is a countertrade: Asia is buying, America is selling. Exchange and protocol hacks intensify when the cycle is complete. I've been observing this in the cryptocurrency market for 10 years😏
If the bulls hold the price at $75,480, there is hope of returning to the upper line of the conditional ascending trading channel at $77,110. I'm trying to open a long trade, but only with a stop-loss. This is not financial advice. ☝️
$BTC today‼️ We made at least 35% profit on the short trade. The price reached the target indicated on the Bitcoin price chart (the lower line of the conditional trading channel) at $73,650.
A countertrade was not long in coming. I expressed my concerns in a previous publication. If you use my trading scenarios in your trading, I hope you closed your short positions.
Despite the obvious negative news, the Bitcoin price is rising, this is a countertrade: Asia is buying, America is selling. Exchange and protocol hacks intensify when the cycle is complete. I've been observing this in the cryptocurrency market for 10 years😏
If the bulls hold the price at $75,480, there is hope of returning to the upper line of the conditional ascending trading channel at $77,110. I'm trying to open a long trade, but only with a stop-loss. This is not financial advice. ☝️
I wish everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ My short trading scenario is generating at least 20% profit. As a reminder, I expected a high probability of a repeat of the price movement of November 29, 2018, i.e., a 27% correction. The catalyst for Bitcoin's price decline is the unstable geopolitical situation and weak monetary policy indicators. Japanese market consumer inflation data will be released on April 24. Given the oil crisis and growing risks, this group of related indicators will likely undergo negative changes.
Considering the growing number of votes on Polymarket about rising oil prices and the worsening geopolitical situation in the East, one can conclude that fear among major players and retail buyers will only increase in the coming hours.
Bitcoin's price has already corrected within the boundaries of a conventional ascending channel (-5% from the local peak), and as the news background shows, the situation is worsening right now.
A break in the lower boundary of the designated conventional channel will likely trigger a deeper price collapse.
Bearish target: $71,200.
I can't mark a countertrade on Monday to eliminate some short sellers.
#data today‼️ The state of global financial markets, based on Bank of America data and key index dynamics, is underscored. Experts are recording abnormally rapid growth in the S&P 500 and warning of a possible reversal of the "bull trap" amid record outflows from cash and Treasury bonds. Chinese tech capital is experiencing economic growth, along with rising chip exports, while the threat of a disappearing consumer sector and planned economic growth are declining. Amid uncertainty, analysts suggest prioritizing natural resources, Chinese nationals, and companies that actively benefit from a weaker dollar. Particular attention is paid to currency pairs with weaker relationships to the Australian dollar and yuan, signaling that specific appetites are mitigating risk. The final macroeconomic forecast suggests a peak in the second quarter of 2026 and a long-term shift in interests toward domestic resources and energy independence.
$BTC today‼️ My short trading scenario is generating at least 20% profit. As a reminder, I expected a high probability of a repeat of the price movement of November 29, 2018, i.e., a 27% correction. The catalyst for Bitcoin's price decline is the unstable geopolitical situation and weak monetary policy indicators. Japanese market consumer inflation data will be released on April 24. Given the oil crisis and growing risks, this group of related indicators will likely undergo negative changes.
Considering the growing number of votes on Polymarket about rising oil prices and the worsening geopolitical situation in the East, one can conclude that fear among major players and retail buyers will only increase in the coming hours.
Bitcoin's price has already corrected within the boundaries of a conventional ascending channel (-5% from the local peak), and as the news background shows, the situation is worsening right now.
A break in the lower boundary of the designated conventional channel will likely trigger a deeper price collapse.
Bearish target: $71,200.
I can't mark a countertrade on Monday to eliminate some short sellers.
$BTC today‼️ You've made at least a 30% profit if you used my trading ideas when setting your trade targets. Congratulations.
The false breakout of the upper boundary of the hypothetical ascending channel likely signals the end of the spring rally. Yesterday, I suggested that Bitcoin's price movement coincided with the movement on November 29, 2018—a striking coincidence. The major players who bought Bitcoin at $65,000 sold heavily yesterday and locked in profits.
First-quarter 2026 reports will begin to be released tomorrow.
We've already received some data, and some of it is moderate, others negative, but I haven't seen any momentum in the growth of key economic indicators. Therefore, I believe a correction of around 27% is more likely.
We're keeping an eye on the data.
I wish everyone profits💰💪
fear_greed
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$BTC today‼️ Check out the Bitcoin hourly chart for November 29, 2018. I believe the Bitcoin price could form a similar movement. That is, in the coming days, the price will form a local peak (my target is $78,400), after which it will correct by ~27%. "History doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes." I previously published the reasons for the correction scenario. Check it out below.
I'm trying to trade the likely historical movement. With a stop-loss, of course.
$BTC today‼️ Check out the Bitcoin hourly chart for November 29, 2018. I believe the Bitcoin price could form a similar movement. That is, in the coming days, the price will form a local peak (my target is $78,400), after which it will correct by ~27%. "History doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes." I previously published the reasons for the correction scenario. Check it out below.
I'm trying to trade the likely historical movement. With a stop-loss, of course.
Today's News‼️ ⭕️ Fear/Greed Index: 54- neutral; ⭕️ Altcoin Season Index: 43; 🔴 Total BTC ETF inflow: +$26.1M; 🔴 Total ETH ETF inflow: +$18.0M; 🔴 Inflows into spot BTC ETFs have slowed significantly over the past two days; 🔴 The BTC/Gold chart is exactly on the RSI line that reached lows in 2012, 2015, 2019, and 2023; 🔴 For the first time in history, the number of transactions on the Ethereum network exceeded 200 million in a quarter; 🔴 Bitcoin has not yet reached the extreme levels of unrealized losses seen in previous periods of history - Alphractal; 🔴 Ethereum accounts for 61.1% of all tokenized assets, worth $209.6 billion; 🔴 Ondo Finance is actively developing on the BNB Chain: since the beginning of the year, the market capitalization of tokenized shares has grown almost 10-fold; 🔴 The US Treasury Department simultaneously bought back $15 billion of its own bonds, the largest buyback in history. 🔴 Despite stocks reaching historic highs, investors remain pessimistic. According to AAII, the proportion of pessimists has remained above 40% for six weeks in a row.
$BTC today‼️ Many experienced market participants consider optimistic statements from politicians and manipulation of data on Bitcoin and other crypto asset purchases to be nothing more than a "bull trap."
I can't deny that my bullish target is $78,500. However, right now, I'm again viewing the imaginary line as short-term resistance.
Bitcoin is testing it right now. And I'm in. Don't forget the stop-loss.
A positive Bitcoin Coinbase index, as well as an upward trajectory of the 200 MA (1H), indicate strong demand for Bitcoin, but only today; tomorrow the asset could be cheaper. Don't be greedy, and don't forget to take your profits off the table.