Hamraz Kabir
Crypto analyst sharing market insights, price analysis & trading ideas. Follow for daily updates! Not financial advice. DYOR 🚀📊
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Publications
#arthurhayes’latestspeech
💡 5 Shocking Things Arthur Hayes Said at Bitcoin Vegas 2026 That Could Change How You Invest!
Arthur Hayes gave the most talked-about speech in crypto this week — and some of his statements are CONTROVERSIAL. Here's everything he said:
Statement 1 — "The CLARITY Act Should Be VETOED"
While the entire crypto industry is celebrating the CLARITY Act as the most important crypto legislation ever, Hayes went against the grain: "The CLARITY Act should be vetoed. We don't need no regulation." He believes Bitcoin should remain completely free from government oversight!
Statement 2 — "War Means Money Printing — Bitcoin Goes UP"
Hayes argues the US-Iran war is the single biggest bullish catalyst for Bitcoin in 2026. Every missile fired, every drone deployed = more government spending = more money printing = higher Bitcoin price!
Statement 3 — "AI Is Actually BEARISH for Credit Markets"
Hayes says AI-driven job losses created a "credit deflationary event" — laid-off workers can't repay loans, which hurts banks. But he says wartime spending MORE than offsets this damage!
Statement 4 — "$150 Price Target for Hyperliquid Within 4 Months"
Hayes set a $150 target for $HYPE — currently trading around $40. That would be a 275% gain! He believes Hyperliquid's prediction markets will dominate the space!
Statement 5 — "Kevin Warsh Won't Be as Hawkish as People Fear"
Markets fear new Fed Chair Warsh will tighten policy. Hayes disagrees — he says Warsh will be FORCED to expand the balance sheet because the Treasury needs buyers for its massive debt!
$BTC $HYPE
Whether you agree with Hayes or not — he has one of the best macro track records in crypto. When Hayes speaks, smart money listens. Which statement shocked you the most? 👇
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#BitcoinVegas2026 #MacroAnalysis #CryptoStrategy
💡 5 Shocking Things Arthur Hayes Said at Bitcoin Vegas 2026 That Could Change How You Invest!
Arthur Hayes gave the most talked-about speech in crypto this week — and some of his statements are CONTROVERSIAL. Here's everything he said:
Statement 1 — "The CLARITY Act Should Be VETOED"
While the entire crypto industry is celebrating the CLARITY Act as the most important crypto legislation ever, Hayes went against the grain: "The CLARITY Act should be vetoed. We don't need no regulation." He believes Bitcoin should remain completely free from government oversight!
Statement 2 — "War Means Money Printing — Bitcoin Goes UP"
Hayes argues the US-Iran war is the single biggest bullish catalyst for Bitcoin in 2026. Every missile fired, every drone deployed = more government spending = more money printing = higher Bitcoin price!
Statement 3 — "AI Is Actually BEARISH for Credit Markets"
Hayes says AI-driven job losses created a "credit deflationary event" — laid-off workers can't repay loans, which hurts banks. But he says wartime spending MORE than offsets this damage!
Statement 4 — "$150 Price Target for Hyperliquid Within 4 Months"
Hayes set a $150 target for $HYPE — currently trading around $40. That would be a 275% gain! He believes Hyperliquid's prediction markets will dominate the space!
Statement 5 — "Kevin Warsh Won't Be as Hawkish as People Fear"
Markets fear new Fed Chair Warsh will tighten policy. Hayes disagrees — he says Warsh will be FORCED to expand the balance sheet because the Treasury needs buyers for its massive debt!
$BTC $HYPE
Whether you agree with Hayes or not — he has one of the best macro track records in crypto. When Hayes speaks, smart money listens. Which statement shocked you the most? 👇
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#BitcoinVegas2026 #MacroAnalysis #CryptoStrategy
#arthurhayes’latestspeech
🚀 Arthur Hayes Just Predicted Bitcoin at $125,000 by End of 2026 — Here's His Full Thesis!
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes dropped the most powerful Bitcoin speech of 2026 at Bitcoin Vegas — and every crypto investor needs to hear this!
His $125K Bitcoin Prediction is Based on 3 Major Forces:
Force 1 — Wartime Money Printing
Hayes said the Iran war changes everything. War means money printing — governments need to build more bombs, manufacture more drones, and fund military operations. This creates massive fiscal spending that floods markets with liquidity — and Bitcoin benefits directly! CoinDesk
Force 2 — Banking Deregulation ($4 Trillion Credit Creation)
The Enhanced Supplemental Leverage Ratio went live April 1. S&P Global estimates the change will produce $1.3 trillion in new lending. Hayes applied a banking multiplier of roughly three times to project approximately $4 trillion in total credit creation — all flowing into financial markets! Venable LLP
Force 3 — Fed Balance Sheet Expansion
The Fed's balance sheet is expanding at approximately $40 billion per month through reserve management purchases — despite all the inflation concerns. More dollars = higher Bitcoin price! CoinDesk
Hayes' Bottom Line:
"We've had some chop. We've had a war. Now it's time to break out!"
$BTC $HYPE
Hayes is 95% long crypto with only 5% cash. He believes Bitcoin is now trading as a wartime inflation hedge — outperforming NASDAQ and SaaS stocks since the Iran war began. The macro setup has NEVER been more bullish for BTC!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#Bitcoin2026 #BTCBull #MacroCrypto
🚀 Arthur Hayes Just Predicted Bitcoin at $125,000 by End of 2026 — Here's His Full Thesis!
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes dropped the most powerful Bitcoin speech of 2026 at Bitcoin Vegas — and every crypto investor needs to hear this!
His $125K Bitcoin Prediction is Based on 3 Major Forces:
Force 1 — Wartime Money Printing
Hayes said the Iran war changes everything. War means money printing — governments need to build more bombs, manufacture more drones, and fund military operations. This creates massive fiscal spending that floods markets with liquidity — and Bitcoin benefits directly! CoinDesk
Force 2 — Banking Deregulation ($4 Trillion Credit Creation)
The Enhanced Supplemental Leverage Ratio went live April 1. S&P Global estimates the change will produce $1.3 trillion in new lending. Hayes applied a banking multiplier of roughly three times to project approximately $4 trillion in total credit creation — all flowing into financial markets! Venable LLP
Force 3 — Fed Balance Sheet Expansion
The Fed's balance sheet is expanding at approximately $40 billion per month through reserve management purchases — despite all the inflation concerns. More dollars = higher Bitcoin price! CoinDesk
Hayes' Bottom Line:
"We've had some chop. We've had a war. Now it's time to break out!"
$BTC $HYPE
Hayes is 95% long crypto with only 5% cash. He believes Bitcoin is now trading as a wartime inflation hedge — outperforming NASDAQ and SaaS stocks since the Iran war began. The macro setup has NEVER been more bullish for BTC!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#Bitcoin2026 #BTCBull #MacroCrypto
#binancelaunchesgoldvs.btctradingcompetition
⚔️ Gold vs Bitcoin — Which Asset Wins in 2026? Here's the Complete Breakdown!
Binance just launched its Gold vs BTC Trading Competition — so let's settle this debate once and for all!
GOLD 🥇 — The Bull Case:
✅ Up 25%+ YTD in 2026 — outperforming BTC
✅ Hit an all-time high of $3,500 in April
✅ US-Iran war = safe haven demand surging
✅ Oil above $100 = inflation hedge demand rising
✅ Central banks are buying record amounts of gold
✅ Available 24/7 on Binance — no traditional market hours!
BITCOIN 🟠 — The Bull Case:
✅ Strategy bought $2.54B in BTC — largest corporate buy ever
✅ BlackRock ETF pulling in $284M in a single day
✅ Arthur Hayes predicts $125,000 by year's end
✅ Fixed supply of 21 million — harder than gold
✅ Portable, divisible, censorship-resistant
✅ Outperforming NASDAQ since the Iran war started
The Verdict:
Short term → Gold is winning 2026
Long term → Bitcoin has stronger fundamentals
The smartest move? Hold BOTH in your portfolio as complementary hedges against inflation and currency debasement!
$BTC $XAUT
Which team are you on? Drop it in the comments! 👇 Gold 🥇 or Bitcoin 🟠?
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DigitalGold #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoVsGold
⚔️ Gold vs Bitcoin — Which Asset Wins in 2026? Here's the Complete Breakdown!
Binance just launched its Gold vs BTC Trading Competition — so let's settle this debate once and for all!
GOLD 🥇 — The Bull Case:
✅ Up 25%+ YTD in 2026 — outperforming BTC
✅ Hit an all-time high of $3,500 in April
✅ US-Iran war = safe haven demand surging
✅ Oil above $100 = inflation hedge demand rising
✅ Central banks are buying record amounts of gold
✅ Available 24/7 on Binance — no traditional market hours!
BITCOIN 🟠 — The Bull Case:
✅ Strategy bought $2.54B in BTC — largest corporate buy ever
✅ BlackRock ETF pulling in $284M in a single day
✅ Arthur Hayes predicts $125,000 by year's end
✅ Fixed supply of 21 million — harder than gold
✅ Portable, divisible, censorship-resistant
✅ Outperforming NASDAQ since the Iran war started
The Verdict:
Short term → Gold is winning 2026
Long term → Bitcoin has stronger fundamentals
The smartest move? Hold BOTH in your portfolio as complementary hedges against inflation and currency debasement!
$BTC $XAUT
Which team are you on? Drop it in the comments! 👇 Gold 🥇 or Bitcoin 🟠?
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DigitalGold #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoVsGold
#binancelaunchesgoldvs.btctradingcompetition
🥇 Binance Gold vs BTC Trading Competition — $100 Billion in Gold Futures & Now You Can Win USDT!
Binance just launched one of its most exciting trading competitions ever — Gold vs Bitcoin! And the timing could not be more perfect!
The Competition Details:
Pick your team: GOLD (XAUT) or BITCOIN (BTC)
Trade eligible pairs to earn voting tickets
The winning team shares the bigger prize pool
Runs until May 15, 2026
Why This Matters:
Binance's XAUUSDT perpetual futures have surpassed $100 billion in total trading volume within months of launching in early 2026 — making gold one of the hottest assets on the platform! Binance
Gold vs BTC — The Stats:
Gold 2026 YTD: Up ~25% 🟡
Bitcoin 2026 YTD: Up ~13% 🟠
Gold hit all-time high of $3,500 in April 2026
BTC still fighting to break $78K resistance
Who Should Win?
Gold is winning 2026 on pure returns. But Bitcoin has institutional backing, ETF inflows, and Arthur Hayes predicting $125K by year end. The battle is REAL!
$BTC $XAUT $BNB
This competition is not just about prizes — it is a snapshot of the biggest macro debate in finance: Is Bitcoin replacing Gold as the ultimate store of value? Your trade is your vote!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#Bitcoin #Gold #Binance2026
🥇 Binance Gold vs BTC Trading Competition — $100 Billion in Gold Futures & Now You Can Win USDT!
Binance just launched one of its most exciting trading competitions ever — Gold vs Bitcoin! And the timing could not be more perfect!
The Competition Details:
Pick your team: GOLD (XAUT) or BITCOIN (BTC)
Trade eligible pairs to earn voting tickets
The winning team shares the bigger prize pool
Runs until May 15, 2026
Why This Matters:
Binance's XAUUSDT perpetual futures have surpassed $100 billion in total trading volume within months of launching in early 2026 — making gold one of the hottest assets on the platform! Binance
Gold vs BTC — The Stats:
Gold 2026 YTD: Up ~25% 🟡
Bitcoin 2026 YTD: Up ~13% 🟠
Gold hit all-time high of $3,500 in April 2026
BTC still fighting to break $78K resistance
Who Should Win?
Gold is winning 2026 on pure returns. But Bitcoin has institutional backing, ETF inflows, and Arthur Hayes predicting $125K by year end. The battle is REAL!
$BTC $XAUT $BNB
This competition is not just about prizes — it is a snapshot of the biggest macro debate in finance: Is Bitcoin replacing Gold as the ultimate store of value? Your trade is your vote!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#Bitcoin #Gold #Binance2026
🦍 $APE jumped +30.73% today!
ApeCoin showing serious strength
Two big altcoins pumping same day 👀
Is the altcoin rally finally starting? 🚀
#APE #ApeCoin #Altcoinseason2024 #BinanceSquareTalks
ApeCoin showing serious strength
Two big altcoins pumping same day 👀
Is the altcoin rally finally starting? 🚀
#APE #ApeCoin #Altcoinseason2024 #BinanceSquareTalks
#jointescapehatchforaaveethlenders
🤝 "DeFi United" — Is This the Most Important Moment in DeFi History?
After the KelpDAO $292M exploit devastated Aave, something unprecedented is happening — a coordinated industry-wide bailout that could define the future of decentralized finance!
Who Is Contributing to DeFi United:
ContributorAmountStani Kulechov (Aave Founder)5,000 ETH personallyEtherFi Foundation5,000 ETHLido Finance2,500 stETH (~$5.7M)Golem Foundation1,000 ETHMantle (proposed)30,000 ETH loanLayerZeroCommitted to recovery
The Scale of the Problem:
Total rsETH deficit exceeds 100,000 ETH — worth over $230M. Without full coverage, EarnETH vault depositors face losses of up to 9,000 ETH. This is why the entire industry is mobilizing!
Why This Matters for ALL of Crypto:
Aave is the backbone of DeFi — with $14+ billion in outstanding loans across 22 chains. If Aave fails, the entire DeFi ecosystem collapses. Every protocol is now fighting to prevent that outcome!
The Bigger Question:
Can DeFi truly be self-healing? This moment will prove whether decentralized finance can recover from its biggest crisis WITHOUT government bailouts or central bank intervention!
$ETH $AAVE $LDO
The fact that multiple competing protocols dropped everything to save Aave users in under 24 hours is genuinely remarkable. Whatever you think about DeFi — this level of coordination is unprecedented!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DeFiUnited #ETH #CryptoSolidarity
🤝 "DeFi United" — Is This the Most Important Moment in DeFi History?
After the KelpDAO $292M exploit devastated Aave, something unprecedented is happening — a coordinated industry-wide bailout that could define the future of decentralized finance!
Who Is Contributing to DeFi United:
ContributorAmountStani Kulechov (Aave Founder)5,000 ETH personallyEtherFi Foundation5,000 ETHLido Finance2,500 stETH (~$5.7M)Golem Foundation1,000 ETHMantle (proposed)30,000 ETH loanLayerZeroCommitted to recovery
The Scale of the Problem:
Total rsETH deficit exceeds 100,000 ETH — worth over $230M. Without full coverage, EarnETH vault depositors face losses of up to 9,000 ETH. This is why the entire industry is mobilizing!
Why This Matters for ALL of Crypto:
Aave is the backbone of DeFi — with $14+ billion in outstanding loans across 22 chains. If Aave fails, the entire DeFi ecosystem collapses. Every protocol is now fighting to prevent that outcome!
The Bigger Question:
Can DeFi truly be self-healing? This moment will prove whether decentralized finance can recover from its biggest crisis WITHOUT government bailouts or central bank intervention!
$ETH $AAVE $LDO
The fact that multiple competing protocols dropped everything to save Aave users in under 24 hours is genuinely remarkable. Whatever you think about DeFi — this level of coordination is unprecedented!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DeFiUnited #ETH #CryptoSolidarity
#jointescapehatchforaaveethlenders
🚪 DeFi United — How the Crypto Industry Came Together to Save Aave After the $292M Hack!
After the KelpDAO exploit froze $billions in Aave, something remarkable happened — the entire DeFi ecosystem united to rescue trapped users!
The Problem:
After the hack, Aave's ETH utilization hit 100%. Thousands of ETH lenders were completely stuck — unable to withdraw their funds. Early exits on secondary markets were clearing at a brutal 23% BELOW par — meaning people were losing 23 cents on every dollar just to get out!
The Solution — Built in Under 24 Hours:
Fluid Protocol, working with Lido Finance, EtherFi, 1inch, 0x Protocol and KyberNetwork, built the aWETH Redemption Protocol — an emergency escape hatch for trapped Aave ETH lenders!
How It Works:
✅ Lenders swap their frozen aWETH → wstETH or weETH
✅ Discount of only ~2.21% (vs 23% on secondary markets!)
✅ Single transaction — fast and simple
✅ No governance vote needed — fully permissionless
Results So Far:
🟢 $136 Million processed in first 48 hours
🟢 58,510 aWETH successfully redeemed
🟢 Thousands of users freed from frozen positions
$ETH $AAVE
Meanwhile, the "DeFi United" relief fund is growing fast — Aave founder Stani Kulechov personally pledged 5,000 ETH, EtherFi pledged 5,000 ETH, Lido pledged 2,500 stETH, and Mantle proposed a 30,000 ETH loan!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DeFiUnited #Aave #CryptoRecover
🚪 DeFi United — How the Crypto Industry Came Together to Save Aave After the $292M Hack!
After the KelpDAO exploit froze $billions in Aave, something remarkable happened — the entire DeFi ecosystem united to rescue trapped users!
The Problem:
After the hack, Aave's ETH utilization hit 100%. Thousands of ETH lenders were completely stuck — unable to withdraw their funds. Early exits on secondary markets were clearing at a brutal 23% BELOW par — meaning people were losing 23 cents on every dollar just to get out!
The Solution — Built in Under 24 Hours:
Fluid Protocol, working with Lido Finance, EtherFi, 1inch, 0x Protocol and KyberNetwork, built the aWETH Redemption Protocol — an emergency escape hatch for trapped Aave ETH lenders!
How It Works:
✅ Lenders swap their frozen aWETH → wstETH or weETH
✅ Discount of only ~2.21% (vs 23% on secondary markets!)
✅ Single transaction — fast and simple
✅ No governance vote needed — fully permissionless
Results So Far:
🟢 $136 Million processed in first 48 hours
🟢 58,510 aWETH successfully redeemed
🟢 Thousands of users freed from frozen positions
$ETH $AAVE
Meanwhile, the "DeFi United" relief fund is growing fast — Aave founder Stani Kulechov personally pledged 5,000 ETH, EtherFi pledged 5,000 ETH, Lido pledged 2,500 stETH, and Mantle proposed a 30,000 ETH loan!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DeFiUnited #Aave #CryptoRecover
#kelpdaoexploitfreeze
💥 KelpDAO Hack Triggered a $10 Billion Bank Run on Aave — The Full Contagion Story!
The $292M KelpDAO hack didn't stay contained — it spread like wildfire across DeFi and triggered the largest bank run in Aave's history!
The Contagion Timeline:
🕐 Hour 1 — Hackers deposit stolen rsETH into Aave as collateral, borrow $190M in real ETH
🕐 Hour 3 — KelpDAO pauses contracts, Aave freezes rsETH markets
🕐 Hour 6 — Aave ETH utilization hits 100% — withdrawals FROZEN
🕐 Hour 12 — $5 billion in stablecoins withdrawn from Aave in panic
🕐 Day 2 — Aave TVL drops from $26.4B to $20B — $6.6B gone
🕐 Day 3 — 9+ DeFi protocols affected including SparkLend, Fluid, Compound, Euler
🕐 Day 5 — Total withdrawals reach $10B — largest DeFi bank run of 2026
Why Couldn't People Withdraw?
When ETH utilization hits 100%, there are no idle tokens left in the pool. Just like a traditional bank run — when everyone tries to withdraw at once, the system breaks!
The Good News:
Fluid Protocol built an emergency "escape hatch" in under 24 hours — allowing trapped ETH lenders to swap aWETH into wstETH or weETH. Already processed $136M in exits!
$ETH $AAVE
This is a wake-up call for all DeFi users. When one protocol fails, the contagion spreads INSTANTLY across interconnected lending markets. Always diversify your DeFi exposure!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#Aave #DeFiRisk #CryptoMarket
💥 KelpDAO Hack Triggered a $10 Billion Bank Run on Aave — The Full Contagion Story!
The $292M KelpDAO hack didn't stay contained — it spread like wildfire across DeFi and triggered the largest bank run in Aave's history!
The Contagion Timeline:
🕐 Hour 1 — Hackers deposit stolen rsETH into Aave as collateral, borrow $190M in real ETH
🕐 Hour 3 — KelpDAO pauses contracts, Aave freezes rsETH markets
🕐 Hour 6 — Aave ETH utilization hits 100% — withdrawals FROZEN
🕐 Hour 12 — $5 billion in stablecoins withdrawn from Aave in panic
🕐 Day 2 — Aave TVL drops from $26.4B to $20B — $6.6B gone
🕐 Day 3 — 9+ DeFi protocols affected including SparkLend, Fluid, Compound, Euler
🕐 Day 5 — Total withdrawals reach $10B — largest DeFi bank run of 2026
Why Couldn't People Withdraw?
When ETH utilization hits 100%, there are no idle tokens left in the pool. Just like a traditional bank run — when everyone tries to withdraw at once, the system breaks!
The Good News:
Fluid Protocol built an emergency "escape hatch" in under 24 hours — allowing trapped ETH lenders to swap aWETH into wstETH or weETH. Already processed $136M in exits!
$ETH $AAVE
This is a wake-up call for all DeFi users. When one protocol fails, the contagion spreads INSTANTLY across interconnected lending markets. Always diversify your DeFi exposure!
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#Aave #DeFiRisk #CryptoMarket
#kelpdaoexploitfreeze
🚨 North Korea Stole $292M from KelpDAO — Here's Exactly How They Did It!
The biggest DeFi hack of 2026 has been linked to North Korea's Lazarus Group — and the attack method was unlike anything we've seen before!
What Happened on April 18, 2026:
Hackers exploited KelpDAO's LayerZero cross-chain bridge — but this was NOT a typical smart contract bug. Every single on-chain transaction looked completely valid!
The Attack Method — Step by Step:
1️⃣ Lazarus Group compromised KelpDAO's internal RPC nodes
2️⃣ DDoS'd external nodes to eliminate any second check
3️⃣ Fed false data to a single-point-of-failure verification system
4️⃣ Tricked the Ethereum contract into releasing 116,500 rsETH
5️⃣ Deposited 90,000 stolen rsETH into Aave as collateral
6️⃣ Borrowed $190M+ in real ETH against worthless collateral
7️⃣ Laundered $176M through THORChain into Bitcoin
The Freeze Response:
On April 20, Arbitrum's Security Council executed an emergency action — freezing 30,766 ETH worth ~$71M tied to the exploiter. This was one of the fastest governance responses in DeFi history!
$ETH $AAVE
The root cause? A "1-of-1" single verifier setup — meaning only ONE validator needed to approve cross-chain messages. No second check. No backup. A single point of failure that North Korea's best hackers exploited perfectly.
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DeFiHack #NorthKorea #CryptoSecurit
🚨 North Korea Stole $292M from KelpDAO — Here's Exactly How They Did It!
The biggest DeFi hack of 2026 has been linked to North Korea's Lazarus Group — and the attack method was unlike anything we've seen before!
What Happened on April 18, 2026:
Hackers exploited KelpDAO's LayerZero cross-chain bridge — but this was NOT a typical smart contract bug. Every single on-chain transaction looked completely valid!
The Attack Method — Step by Step:
1️⃣ Lazarus Group compromised KelpDAO's internal RPC nodes
2️⃣ DDoS'd external nodes to eliminate any second check
3️⃣ Fed false data to a single-point-of-failure verification system
4️⃣ Tricked the Ethereum contract into releasing 116,500 rsETH
5️⃣ Deposited 90,000 stolen rsETH into Aave as collateral
6️⃣ Borrowed $190M+ in real ETH against worthless collateral
7️⃣ Laundered $176M through THORChain into Bitcoin
The Freeze Response:
On April 20, Arbitrum's Security Council executed an emergency action — freezing 30,766 ETH worth ~$71M tied to the exploiter. This was one of the fastest governance responses in DeFi history!
$ETH $AAVE
The root cause? A "1-of-1" single verifier setup — meaning only ONE validator needed to approve cross-chain messages. No second check. No backup. A single point of failure that North Korea's best hackers exploited perfectly.
Not Financial Advice. DYOR 📊
#DeFiHack #NorthKorea #CryptoSecurit
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