BLOCK BEST

Oil, September CPI, and the Treasury Question

I keep coming back to the connection between oil prices and inflation. Middle East tensions can change the energy market quickly, and when oil rises, the pressure doesn’t stay limited to crude. Fuel, transportation, and business costs can all feel the impact. That’s why I’m watching the September CPI discussion more closely than usual.

My concern is that headline inflation could surprise to the upside if higher energy prices begin feeding through to consumer costs. But I’m not ready to assume that oil will keep climbing. Geopolitical risk can push prices higher, while weaker demand or easing tensions can reverse the move just as quickly. I’d want to see actual crude-price trends and the energy component of CPI before becoming more confident.

Treasuries are where this gets interesting for me. If inflation comes in hotter than expected, markets could start pricing in a more hawkish Federal Reserve again. That would put pressure on Treasury prices and potentially push yields higher, particularly at the shorter end of the curve. Still, inflation isn’t the only variable. Growth expectations, safe-haven demand, and the Fed’s response could change the picture.

I’m keeping an eye on BZUSDT, TBT, and TMF as different ways to observe these shifts, rather than treating any of them as an automatic trade. Right now, I’m interested in whether energy-driven inflation becomes persistent enough to change rate expectations, or whether markets are getting ahead of the evidence.

#CPIWatch $Q #OilPrices $BAT #Treasuries $CL

🚨 $XAG — BEARISH PRESSURE ALERT! 🔻

🔴 Short $XAG

EP: $59.50–$59.75
SL: $60.30
TP1: $59.00
TP2: $58.50
TP3: $57.90

⚡ Long liquidations near $59.62 highlight pressure on bullish positions. If sellers maintain control and price breaks below nearby support, further downside could develop. Watch for a confirmed breakdown before entry, as a strong recovery could invalidate the setup.

🎯 Trade $XAG here 👇
$XAG

🚨 $BAT — SELLERS EYE LOWER LEVELS! 🔻

🔴 Short $BAT

EP: $0.1755–$0.1763
SL: $0.1785
TP1: $0.1735
TP2: $0.1715
TP3: $0.1690

⚠️ Long liquidations around $0.17608 suggest pressure on long positions. A rejection near resistance followed by a support breakdown could extend bearish momentum. Wait for price confirmation instead of chasing volatility.

🎯 Trade $BAT here 👇
$BAT

🚨 $SPCX — CRITICAL PRICE ZONE! ⚠️

🔴 Short $SPCX

EP: $156.80–$157.30
SL: $159.00
TP1: $155.50
TP2: $154.00
TP3: $152.50

⚡ Long liquidations near $157.05 put this area in focus. If sellers defend resistance and price loses support, lower liquidity zones could become targets. A strong reclaim above resistance would weaken the bearish setup, so wait for confirmation.

🎯 Trade $SPCX here 👇
$SPCX

🚨 $NATGAS — SHORT SQUEEZE IN FOCUS! 🔥

🟢 Long $NATGAS

EP: $3.52–$3.55
SL: $3.48
TP1: $3.58
TP2: $3.63
TP3: $3.69

🚀 Short liquidations worth $23.72K near $3.54409 suggest pressure on bearish positions. If buyers hold support and break through nearby resistance, further short covering could push price higher. Watch for sustained momentum and a confirmed breakout before entry.

🎯 Trade $NATGAS here 👇
$NATGAS

$SOXL

Price action on $SOXL $ has shifted decisively lower after a series of lower highs from the $160 zone. The recent long liquidation cluster around $119.07 flushed remaining leverage and confirmed seller control. Structure remains in a clear downtrend across the 4-hour and daily timeframes, with price trading below key moving averages and momentum indicators sitting in the weak zone. Liquidity now sits below the current range while overhead supply from prior breakdown levels continues to cap any rebound attempts.

EP $120.80
TP $117.50
TP $114.20
TP $110.00
SL $124.50

Trend strength is firmly bearish with consecutive lower lows and expanding downside volume. Momentum and structure bias favor continuation lower as open interest remains elevated on the long side while funding stays positive, keeping residual long positions under pressure. Price is likely to work toward the listed targets because the liquidation event has removed near-term support and the next demand zones sit at those exact levels with limited buying interest visible in between.

$SOXL

#S

Market structure on $S$ remains firmly constructive after the recent expansion. Price has held above the prior swing zone near $0.0550 and continues to print higher lows while open interest builds on the long side. Momentum stays elevated with RSI holding in the strong zone across higher timeframes and price trading cleanly above the full stack of moving averages. Liquidity rests above the recent highs while the nearest demand base sits well below current levels, keeping the path of least resistance upward.

EP $0.05880
TP $0.06150
TP $0.06440
TP $0.06800
SL $0.05380

$BAT — Bullish Continuation Setup

BAT/USDT is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart after a sharp breakout from the $0.1540–$0.1550 consolidation zone. Price has surged toward $0.1742, confirming aggressive buying pressure and a clear shift in short-term market structure. Buyers are currently in control, but after such a rapid move, a pullback or short consolidation is possible before the next leg higher.

EP (Entry Price): $0.1700–$0.1730
TP1: $0.1758
TP2: $0.1790
TP3: $0.1830
SL: $0.1675

Technical Analysis:

The trend favors bullish continuation while price holds above the $0.1688 breakout area. Strong upward candles indicate positive momentum, while the recent surge suggests buyers have taken control of the short-term structure.

The $0.1742 area is the immediate resistance and liquidity zone. A confirmed break above this level could attract additional buying and push price toward the next targets. Avoid chasing an extended candle; a controlled pullback or successful resistance retest offers a more disciplined entry. A breakdown below the stop-loss level invalidates this setup.

$BAT

$MERL

MERL continues to respect a clean bullish market structure on the 5-minute chart. Price has advanced through a series of higher lows and higher highs, absorbing two distinct pullbacks before launching a fresh impulsive leg that has broken above the prior swing high near $0.0316$. The latest expansion shows strong vertical momentum with a decisive close near the session peak.

EP: $0.0320
TP1: $0.0330
TP2: $0.0342
TP3: $0.0355
SL: $0.0308

Trend strength remains firmly bullish as each corrective phase has been bought aggressively, preserving the ascending sequence. Momentum is constructive, with the most recent candle delivering clear displacement above the prior range and leaving little immediate overhead supply. Structure bias favors continuation higher because liquidity resting above the $0.0316$–$0.0320$ zone is now being targeted; sustained acceptance at these levels opens the path toward the next measured extensions while the stop sits safely below the origin of the latest impulse.

$MERL

$DUSK

DUSK has completed a clear liquidity sweep at the session low near $0.082$ and is now delivering a sharp impulsive recovery. The aggressive green expansion has reclaimed the prior consolidation zone and is pressing back into the $0.088$–$0.0885$ supply area with strong vertical momentum. Structure has shifted from lower highs into a potential higher-low base after the flush.

EP: $0.0880
TP1: $0.0895
TP2: $0.0910
TP3: $0.0930
SL: $0.0845

Trend strength has flipped constructively after the deep rejection of the $0.082$ liquidity pocket; sellers failed to hold the breakdown and buyers stepped in decisively. Momentum is firmly bullish on the impulse candle, with price leaving a clean displacement away from the lows and reclaiming multiple intraday levels in a single drive. Structure bias favors continuation higher because the market has absorbed the recent downside liquidity and is now testing the next overhead cluster; sustained acceptance above $0.0880$ opens a direct path toward the measured recovery targets while the stop remains protected below the origin of the expansion.

$DUSK
$GTC

$SKL

SKL is holding a clear bullish market structure on the 5-minute chart. Price has transitioned from a prolonged base into a series of higher lows and higher highs, with the most recent expansion breaking through prior consolidation and testing the $0.00600$ liquidity zone. The current candle is pressing against the local high with sustained volume support, confirming buyers remain in control.

EP: $0.00596$
TP1: $0.00615$
TP2: $0.00635$
TP3: $0.00655$
SL: $0.00578$

Trend strength remains firmly bullish as each pullback continues to find demand at progressively higher levels, preserving the ascending structure. Momentum is constructive, with price rejecting lower liquidity pockets and reclaiming the mid-range with decisive closes. Structure bias favors continuation higher because the market has already absorbed overhead supply near $0.00588$–$0.00592$ and is now probing the next liquidity cluster above $0.00600$; a clean acceptance here opens the path toward the measured extension targets while keeping risk tightly defined below the most recent swing support.

$SKL

$RSR

#rsr USDT has completed a vertical expansion from the $0.001467$ base into a clear higher-high structure, printing the session high at $0.002589$ on heavy volume before settling into a controlled pullback. The current price at $0.002448$ sits inside the upper half of the expansion range and continues to respect the breakout zone that previously acted as resistance.

Market structure remains firmly bullish. The impulse leg left behind a series of higher lows and a clean liquidity vacuum below $0.002218$. Momentum has cooled from the parabolic phase but has not reversed; the price is consolidating rather than distributing.

EP $0.002440$ – $0.002460$
TP1 $0.002589$
TP2 $0.002780$
TP3 $0.002976$
SL $0.002180$

Trend strength is decisive: the breakout candle and subsequent higher-timeframe acceptance above prior resistance confirm institutional participation. Momentum and structure bias stay bullish as long as price holds above the $0.002218$ demand shelf; failure to reclaim that level would be the first genuine warning of exhaustion. Price is likely to retest the $0.002589$ high and extend toward the next liquidity pools at $0.002780$–$0.002976$ because the recent pullback has not broken the sequence of higher lows and the order-flow vacuum above the high remains unfilled.

$RSR

$CKB

Market structure on CKBUSDT remains bullish on the higher timeframe after a decisive breakout from the extended base near $0.0011640–$0.0014045. Price delivered a high-volume impulse into the $0.0021797 high, followed by a sharp but orderly rejection that is currently stabilizing near $0.0018125. The advance remains supported by expanding volume and a clear sequence of higher lows, indicating the recent sell-off is a corrective pullback within an intact uptrend rather than a structural reversal.

EP: $0.001800 – $0.001830
TP1: $0.001970
TP2: $0.002100
TP3: $0.002180
SL: $0.001530

Trend strength is still elevated; the impulse leg created a clear higher-timeframe shift and price continues to hold well above the prior consolidation range.
Momentum and structure bias stay long as long as the $0.001530–$0.001550 zone that marks the breakout continuation shelf remains intact.
Price is likely to move toward the targets because the path of least resistance remains higher while the corrective pullback absorbs excess leverage and the previous range high now functions as dynamic support.

$CKB

#w

Market structure on WUSDT has shifted decisively bullish after a clean breakout and vertical expansion from the multi-day base near $0.01500–$0.01710. Price delivered a high-volume impulse leg into the $0.03020 high, printed a controlled rejection, and is currently holding the first pullback near $0.02873. The entire advance is supported by expanding volume, rising open interest, and successive higher lows, confirming accumulation and trend continuation rather than a short-lived spike.

EP: $0.02850 – $0.02890
TP1: $0.03020
TP2: $0.03250
TP3: $0.03500
SL: $0.02550

Trend strength remains elevated; the recent impulse created a clear higher-timeframe shift with no meaningful distribution visible yet.
Momentum and structure bias stay firmly long as long as price holds above the $0.02550–$0.02600 zone that marks the breakout continuation shelf.
Price is likely to move toward the targets because the path of least resistance remains higher while volume and open interest continue to expand on the upside and the prior range high now acts as dynamic support.

#w

$LUMIA

LUMIA is showing powerful bullish momentum after breaking out from a long consolidation zone. Price surged from around $0.082 to $0.15948 before pulling back, and buyers have now pushed price back toward the recent highs. The $0.135–$0.140 zone is an important area to watch for support. A confirmed break above $0.15948 could open the door to another bullish move, but rejection near resistance remains a risk.

Trade Setup

Entry: $0.14000–$0.14600
Target 1: $0.15200
Target 2: $0.15900
Target 3: $0.16800
Stop Loss: $0.13400

How it's possible

The strong upward candle shows aggressive buying pressure, while the recent recovery suggests buyers are trying to regain control. A hold above the $0.140 support zone, backed by strong volume, could support another test of resistance near $0.15948. A confirmed breakout with sustained momentum may extend the move toward $0.16800. Avoid chasing a sudden spike, manage position size carefully, and exit if price closes below the stop-loss level to protect capital.

Let's go and Trade now $LUMIA
$CHIP

$BAT

BAT/USDT Perp is trading at $0.13998 after a sharp impulsive rally that printed the 24h high at $0.15929
Price is currently pulling back from that high and consolidating just above the $0.13980 area.

EP:$0.13850 – $0.14000
TP1:$0.14800
TP2:$0.15450
TP3:$0.15900
SL:$0.13280

Trend strength remains firmly bullish on the higher timeframe after the vertical expansion from the $0.110 region. Momentum shifted from accumulation into a clear impulse leg, and the current pullback is corrective rather than distributive. Structure bias stays long as long as price holds above the $0.13350 demand zone; failure to reclaim the mid-range would only delay the next leg higher. Liquidity above the recent high at $0.15929 remains unfilled, making a continuation toward the marked targets the higher-probability path once the short-term consolidation resolves upward.

$BAT

$ERA

Price is consolidating after the sharp expansion from the $0.05995 base into the $0.09116 high. The pullback has found temporary support near $0.08137 with buyers beginning to re-engage and lower timeframe structure stabilizing.

EP: $0.08000 - $0.08300
TP1: $0.08850
TP2: $0.09400
TP3: $0.10000
SL: $0.07550

Current trend strength remains bullish following the high-volume breakout move. Momentum is resetting in an orderly fashion as price holds above the key support from the recent advance. The structure favors continuation higher as long as the current demand zone continues to attract buyers and downside pressure stays limited.

$ERA
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$MAGIC

Price is consolidating after the sharp expansion from the $0.06052 base into the $0.16369 high. The pullback has stabilized near the $0.10782 level with buyers showing early defense and lower timeframe structure beginning to form higher lows.

EP: $0.10600 - $0.11000
TP1: $0.12000
TP2: $0.13200
TP3: $0.14500
SL: $0.09950

Current trend strength remains bullish on the higher timeframe following the high-volume impulse move. Momentum is resetting in a constructive manner as price holds above key support from the recent advance. The structure favors continuation higher as long as the current demand zone continues to attract buyers and selling pressure stays contained.

$MAGIC
#NEARAccountsSupportPostQuantumMLDSA #EvernorthCompletesSPACMergerWithArmadaII #CFTCMovesToFoldEventContractsIntoSwapsRules #STRKRisesAbout20%In24Hours #XRPLedgerPatchesXRPCreationBug

$LUMIA

Price is holding after the sharp expansion from the $0.07552 base into the $0.13952 high. The pullback from the peak has found support near the prior short liquidation zone and buyers continue to defend the area with constructive lower timeframe structure.

EP: $0.11450 - $0.11800
TP1: $0.12600
TP2: $0.13400
TP3: $0.14200
SL: $0.10800

Current trend strength remains bullish following the high-volume breakout and subsequent consolidation. Momentum is stabilizing after the initial impulse as price maintains higher lows relative to the prior range. The structure favors continuation higher as long as the demand zone around the recent base holds and selling pressure stays limited.

$LUMIA
#TelegramExpectedToLaunchGramWallet #NEARAccountsSupportPostQuantumMLDSA #EvernorthCompletesSPACMergerWithArmadaII #CFTCMovesToFoldEventContractsIntoSwapsRules #TetherFreezesUSDTLinkedToLedgerTheft

$MET

Price is stabilizing after the long liquidation at $0.42972. The broader structure remains intact with buyers defending the zone and higher timeframe momentum still favoring the upside.

EP: $0.42800 - $0.43500
TP1: $0.45500
TP2: $0.47500
TP3: $0.50000
SL: $0.41200

Current trend strength is bullish on the higher timeframes with consistent higher lows in place. Momentum has recovered from the liquidation flush and order flow is shifting back toward accumulation. Price is positioned to target the higher levels as long as the demand zone continues to hold and selling pressure remains limited.

$MET