Crypto AnalyZen

$SOL | Brief Overview

This year, Solana printed a new all-time high at 295.83,
then declined below the 2023 close / 2024 open (101.72) and the 2025 low at 95.26.

Over the past three months, the decline has stalled near the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the Dec 21 low – Jan 25 high move (weekly chart).
This level aligns with the midpoint of the March–April 2025 order block zone.

Possible scenario:

If confirmed, price moves above 146,
then advances toward the 50% Fibonacci level at 185.86 of the latest downswing.

From there, price is expected to stall within the zone between the 2022 and 2025 opens,
or move slightly higher toward the 38% Fibonacci level (201),
forming a classical head and shoulders structure,
followed by a reversal and a subsequent decline below the 2024 open.


#sol #solana #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare #top20coins

$ADA | Position Update

Open ADA position update.
• Stop moved to BE
• +50% ROI reached
• Risk is now fully protected

Next level to watch:
0.42 – 0.44 (area sits under the midpoint of the 4H gap)
→ 25% partial take profit planned

This update focuses on position management, not new entries.

#ADA #Cardano #TradeManagement #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare

$ZEC | Higher Time Frame View

With the new year approaching, I’m focused on ZEC on the higher time frame.

This year’s expansion looks complete — work done here.

Scenario 1 (preferred)

Price declines at least to the November open (403.61) and below, toward the old all-time high.

In the new year, price trades within the December range, followed by another decline.

Scenario 2

Price attempts to reach 50% of the November monthly candle’s tail,
fills a lower-timeframe gap, and stalls in this area.

The new year opens from this level, raising expectations and setting the stage for another decline.

This is a rebalancing framework, not a signal.
#zec #ZECUSDT #BinanceSquare

$ADA | Execution update

Trade opened based on prior analysis
Thesis intact.

#ADA #altcoins

Execution & risk management here 👉 http://t.me/CryptoAnalyZen

$ADA | Daily

ADA made a new low yesterday, entering the August–October 2024 accumulation zone.

The clear divergence vs Bitcoin suggests a potential sharp upside move once pressure eases.

Reminder:

2025 opening level: 0.8450

Risk:
A breakdown below the accumulation zone → 0.34–0.32

Upside targets:
• 0.49 → 0.62 Fibonacci (3-month decline)
• 0.53 → 50% Fibonacci + gap
• 0.64 → 24% Fibonacci + gap

Divergence is highlighted on the chart.

#ADA #Cardano #altcoins #BinanceSquare

$BTC A sharp drop in open interest accompanied by high volume, alongside reduced spot exposure, suggests position unwinding rather than new short accumulation. #BTC #bitcoin

$BTC — Post-expiry & new futures context

$BTC options have expired, and the market has entered a new price discovery phase.

The put side was dominant into expiry, leading to a widely shared expectation that price should move higher now that options-related pressure is gone. However, positioning suggests the situation may be more nuanced.

The new BTCUSDT Jun 26 futures contract opened at 89,503, which currently acts as a reference level for short-term balance.

Early long positioning appears to be in place, while spot demand remains limited. In this environment, any downside move would not necessarily indicate a trend breakdown, but could more likely reflect liquidity-driven dynamics.

Such a move would likely focus on:

• resetting funding

• cleaning positioning

• rebuilding a healthier base for potential continuation

> The key is not direction alone, but whether price accepts or rejects levels around the new contract’s opening range.
#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #OptionsExpiry #MarketStructure

$BTC - Short-term structure & derivatives context

Bitcoin price continues to move higher, but something important stands out:

today we’ve seen a sharp drop in spot positions.

At the same time, futures open interest is increasing, suggesting this move is likely being driven by new short positioning rather than fresh spot buying.

Tomorrow is a key date — it’s the last trading day for the Dec 26 (6-month) futures contract, followed by rollover into the next one.

On top of that, around $23B in Bitcoin options expire on Dec 26, representing roughly 50% of total options open interest — a clear volatility catalyst.

📍 On the options side, max pain for puts is around 92K — worth keeping in mind.

With all these factors in play, direction remains unclear for now.
In my view, waiting until after the expiry for a clearer picture makes the most sense.

#BTC #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday

$BTC Update:

BTC entered the 85.6–86.6 gap again, rebounding slightly before reaching the midpoint.

Open interest has increased sharply since the 22nd while price fell, indicating potential new longs.

The upside scenario still remains valid at this stage.
#BTC #bitcoin

$BTC update:

Price has now visited the 85.6–86.6 gap zone as anticipated.
A reversal formation is developing on the 15-minute timeframe.
The upside scenario still remains valid at this stage. #BTC

$BTC On Monday, price attempted a move above the previous week’s high but failed to enter the gap zone (90–92).

The pullback was accompanied by declining open interest, signaling the closure of short positions opened during the Asian and European sessions.

Currently, open interest is increasing while price trades at the upper boundary of the gap (85.6–86.7), formed during Trump’s speech last Thursday. This behavior supports a long-bias scenario.

Risk: Deeper move into the HTF order block (80–73, midpoint 77)

Upside levels: Gap (90–92) → 94 → Gap (95–101)
#BTC #pullback #bitcoin

Potential Scenarios:

• Bullish scenario:

If price holds above the key zone and market conditions remain supportive, continuation toward higher levels may be considered.

• Risk scenario:

Failure to hold the key zone may shift focus toward lower higher-timeframe levels.

Weekly Close Update – Dec 21, 2025 ($ADA Example) This week, several altcoins printed new daily lows while $BTC held structure as of Thu, Dec 19. $ADA , in particular, shows relative weakness.

Risk Zone: accumulation area from Aug–Nov 2024 (0.34-0.32)

Upside Potential: all Fibonacci levels of last decline + gap above (0.74–0.80)

Historically, weakness in selected altcoins can indicate late-stage selling rather than trend continuation. Observing BTC structure, open interest, and weekly close behavior is key.

#BTC #ADA #DivergenceStrategy

$BCH 4H

The price moved into the gap zone between the 62–78% Fibonacci levels (585–572) and even slightly below its midpoint, as marked on the chart.

With the final hours before the weekly close, the probability increases that the price may be delivered above the previous weekly opening level (598+).

The decrease in open interest during the downside move can be interpreted as short position closures, rather than aggressive new selling.

#BCH #altcoins #priceaction

$BCH | 4H - $BCH approaching key demand zone ahead of weekly close

Price is trading below the previous weekly open at 598.

The previously expected downside continuation is still in progress.
Price is approaching the 62–78% retracement zone (585–572),
which may act as a potential demand area ahead of the weekly close.

If bullish structure holds, this zone could attract new long interest.
Initial upside target remains the previous weekly open at 598,
with higher levels valid above.

#BCH #altcoins #priceaction

🟡 $BCH - Risk Update

A potential downside risk remains, with price possibly moving lower into the 62–78% Fibonacci retracement of yesterday’s range (585–572).

Price reaction within this zone will be important for short-term direction.
#BCH

$BCH Update

BCH reached the 78% retracement of the last swing up and the 50% level of yesterday’s range (large bullish candle).

Despite the recent pullback, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the overall picture can still be considered bullish as long as key levels hold.

Price reaction in this zone will define the next move.
#BCH #PriceActionAnalysis #MarketStructure #altcoins

$BCH Update

BCH has reached the midpoint of the gap formed in September 2025.

With open interest increasing, further price appreciation may indicate short positions being opened, rather than organic spot demand.

#bchusdt #CryptoAnalysis #altcoins

$BTC | Market Update
Since Sunday, price has been steadily moving downward; several upside attempts have failed to exceed 50% of the last downside leg.

Yesterday, the CME closed near the lows, within the order block zone.

During the Asian session, price closed yesterday’s downside gap. On the 4-hour time frame, the structure has shifted slightly, suggesting a potential move higher to hunt short stops and close the upper gap in the 97–101 region.

A lower-price scenario should also be considered: the projection of the 80.6–94.5 range targets 67, aligning with a minor monthly gap and near the 78% Fibonacci retracement (65.4 of the 48–126 range).

🎯 Liquidity above 97–101
⚠️ Breakdown target: 67

#BTC #priceaction #bitcoin

$LINK yesterday Before the CME opened, I closed a long position, wanting to reduce stress ahead FOMC;), and the setup I used to open the long wasn't perfect, in other words, it wasn't a bullish formation. . .

The price dropped below the green line, the upper boundary of the order block zone of the previous upward move.
I opened a new long, the stop is already at 50%ROI, so what happens next is God willing.