Most are too scared to buy or DCA into altcoins right now and some are even panic selling.
Well, it’s understandable considering how brutal the altcoin market has been for over a year.
But technically speaking, this is one of the best times to buy or DCA.
The Altcoin Season Index is sitting around 20 deep in Bitcoin Season territory. Historically this is where smart money loads up before we see alt rallies.
Of course, no single indicator should be blindly followed. But ignoring these simple patterns? That’s where most go wrong.
Sometimes, they give you the clearest signal.
Hopefully, that meter starts creeping upward soon.
US stock indices are showing strong momentum, and #BTC is aligning closely with them—solid correlation seen. 👌
#DJI: Clear V-shaped recovery, holding above the 50 EMA and key weekly support.
#NDX: V-recovery in motion, now testing the weekly supply zone—potential for price discovery ahead.
#SPX: Also testing its weekly supply zone after a textbook V-recovery.
#BTC is currently holding above its weekly supply zone, likely setting up for a bullish retest before another leg up. 📈
🚨 Caution: The only concern looming is the unpredictability around Trump’s policy landscape—potential Black Swan events could disrupt momentum.
✅ Bottom Line: As long as macro stability holds, market structures are incredibly bullish. Momentum is strong—just needs a calm macro backdrop to fully ignite.
We will have some kind of 'covid-like' black swan event within the next 48hrs as the war escalates.
Fear will ripple across all financial markets as the news cascades across the world.
The smartest of the smartest money will be buying your fear, because they understand macro economics and regardless of war, covid, 2008 housing crash, etc...
What happens is... 🥁 LIQUIDITY INJECTION.
Aka, RATE CUTS.
Aka, MONEY PRINTER GO BRRRRRRRRR
As of right now I'am hedging my long positions. I have liquidated a lot of my spot altcoin bags and am ready to deploy ALL capital if we have this black swan event.
Do not fear what is to come. Accept it, prepare and execute on a plan. This doesn't change the outcome for crypto. It simply forces a change in hands.
We’re living through one of the most geopolitically and economically fragile periods in recent history — yet markets are acting like it’s business as usual.
Just look at what we’re up against:
- A rapidly escalating war between Israel and Iran, threatening Middle East stability. - U.S. tariffs hitting 100-year highs, stoking fears of trade wars and inflation. - A Federal Reserve refusing to pivot — delaying rate cuts despite market expectations. - The 10-Year Treasury Yield surging back toward 4.50%, tightening financial conditions. - Oil prices jumping +40% in just 2 months, reigniting inflation concerns globally. - A worsening U.S. debt crisis, with record deficit spending and no political solution in sight.
And despite all that…
📈 The S&P 500 is just 2% away from a new All-Time High.
Let that sink in.
This isn’t just irrational — it’s a testament to how markets no longer reflect reality in the short term. They’re driven by liquidity, passive inflows, and AI-fueled optimism, not fundamentals.
💡 Moral of the Story? You can’t fight this market. You can’t trade it with logic alone. You need discipline, adaptability, and emotional control more than ever.
Don’t let noise cloud your strategy. Stay sharp. Stay hedged. Stay patient.