Volodymyr 1
Analysis of the crypto market - FEELS STRATEGY. Daily posting of my indicators with the best winrate. MSCpE of System Programing || #Bitcoin analyst
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#Bitcoin Pi Cycle Indicator 👀 – No Bottom Signal 📝 The Pi Cycle Bottom flags major bear market lows when the green SMA(150) crosses below the red SMA(471)x0.745, signaling accumulation zones. 📍 The chart shows the green SMA above the red line. $BTC , near $77K, is also well above these levels, confirming no bottom signal. 💡 This suggests a continued distribution or early accumulation phase. With retail fear, institutional accumulation points to a pre-bottom period.
$UB dropped 50% over the last week 📉 📝 Recently, the coin reached the orange zone🟠 in combination with extreme greed🟥, which historically serves as an excellent opportunity to take profit💰 💡 From the green zone combined with fear, this setup provided a massive 12x rally🚀
#Bitcoin Rainbow Chart – Still near the green zone 🟢 📝 The Rainbow Chart plots Bitcoin's long-term price action across logarithmic regression bands. This framework helps identify core accumulation and distribution zones. 📍 Bitcoin's price, at ~$77K, rests in the green "Still Cheap" band. This zone historically marks strong value for long-term accumulation. 💡 Despite recent market consolidation, the chart suggests $BTC is still in a re-accumulation phase. Patient investors often find rewards in these "Still Cheap" zones.
#Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model: Extended Above Value 👀
📝 Bitcoin's current price (orange line) trades above the Stock-to-Flow model (green line), indicating an extended valuation based on scarcity.
📍 The chart show $BTC around ~$77K, while the S2F model projects ~$57K. This results in a Price/S2F ratio of 1.34x, confirming the notable premium.
💡 Our platform views levels below the model as ideal accumulation zones. The current premium suggests an extended valuation rather than a prime entry point from a model perspective.
📝 Bitcoin's current price (orange line) trades above the Stock-to-Flow model (green line), indicating an extended valuation based on scarcity.
📍 The chart show $BTC around ~$77K, while the S2F model projects ~$57K. This results in a Price/S2F ratio of 1.34x, confirming the notable premium.
💡 Our platform views levels below the model as ideal accumulation zones. The current premium suggests an extended valuation rather than a prime entry point from a model perspective.
#Bitcoin Halving Cycles 👀
📝 This indicator maps Bitcoin's four halving cycles, normalized from Day 0. Current Cycle 4 (2024) is at Day 759, allowing direct historical comparison.
📍 Cycle 4 (2024) at Day 759 tracks significantly below all prior cycles, particularly Cycle 1 and Cycle 2. This marks a notable divergence from historical ROI patterns.
💡 The lower trajectory of Cycle 4 reinforces diminishing returns across cycles. This structure suggests a prolonged consolidation or a shift in typical market dynamics. $BTC
📝 This indicator maps Bitcoin's four halving cycles, normalized from Day 0. Current Cycle 4 (2024) is at Day 759, allowing direct historical comparison.
📍 Cycle 4 (2024) at Day 759 tracks significantly below all prior cycles, particularly Cycle 1 and Cycle 2. This marks a notable divergence from historical ROI patterns.
💡 The lower trajectory of Cycle 4 reinforces diminishing returns across cycles. This structure suggests a prolonged consolidation or a shift in typical market dynamics. $BTC
$TON dropped 30% over the last 10 days 📉
📝 The coin spent a long period trading between the green band and the grey line, tapping the lower band twice✅
💡 However, the asset managed to break through the grey line and reach the red band, after which it entered a cooling-off phase❄️
📝 The coin spent a long period trading between the green band and the grey line, tapping the lower band twice✅
💡 However, the asset managed to break through the grey line and reach the red band, after which it entered a cooling-off phase❄️
$TAC surged 500% from the green zone🔥
📝 When the coin entered the green zone🟢 in combination with fear🟦, it presented an excellent opportunity.
💡 This led to a 6x rally, reaching the orange zone🟠 in combination with extreme greed🟥, which served as a great opportunity to take profit. Since then, the coin has already dropped by just over 20%📉
📝 When the coin entered the green zone🟢 in combination with fear🟦, it presented an excellent opportunity.
💡 This led to a 6x rally, reaching the orange zone🟠 in combination with extreme greed🟥, which served as a great opportunity to take profit. Since then, the coin has already dropped by just over 20%📉
#Bitcoin Realized Price — Tracking Long-Term Support 🔥
📝 The Realized Price, currently at $54,140, reflects the average acquisition cost for all Bitcoin. This metric consistently identifies structural support for the market.
📍 The chart shows the purple Realized Price line steadily ascending since 2022. $BTC current market price, at $77,497, trades well above this significant on-chain floor.
💡 Historically, price approaching or retesting Realized Price has offered compelling accumulation zones. This level remains a key indicator for long-term holder behavior
📝 The Realized Price, currently at $54,140, reflects the average acquisition cost for all Bitcoin. This metric consistently identifies structural support for the market.
📍 The chart shows the purple Realized Price line steadily ascending since 2022. $BTC current market price, at $77,497, trades well above this significant on-chain floor.
💡 Historically, price approaching or retesting Realized Price has offered compelling accumulation zones. This level remains a key indicator for long-term holder behavior
#Bitcoin NUPL Indicator Update 🔻 📝 NUPL sits at 0.32, indicating overall market profitability between Optimism (0.25) and Greed (0.50). This represents a decline from recent peaks. 📍 The indicator is trending downwards, reflecting a shift in sentiment with $BTC price around $79K. We remain in net profit, but closer to the Optimism zone. 💡 Watch for further moves towards the 0.25 Optimism line or the 0.0 Break-even level as these signal increasing pressure on holder profitability.
#Bitcoin HY Credit Cycles signal macro risk-off 🔻 📝 The HY Credit BTC Cycles indicator shows macro conditions driving wider credit spreads, signaling increasing risk aversion. 📍 The chart's Halving 4 cycle (purple line) indicates the HY Rank descending towards 40% (spreads widening), with $BTC at ~$79K reacting to this macro pressure. 💡 This trend aligns with institutional selling and suggests capital outflows from higher-risk assets, necessitating caution amid broader market uncertainty.
$B surged 800% over the last month🚀 📝 A recent touch of the green Keltner Channel band acted as strong support for the asset💪 💡 This led to a massive breakout of the baseline, driving the price up to the red Keltner Channel band in combination with the greed📈
$TAG surged 500%, reaching the orange zone🚀 📝 The asset has perfectly moved between the green and orange zones twice, which brought a massive +4100% in total gains📈 💡 After the coin recently hit the orange zone, it has already dropped by more than 20%📉
#Bitcoin 2-Year MA Multiplier: Valuation Check 🔥 📝 This chart shows Bitcoin's price navigating its 2-Year MA and its multiples, mapping long-term valuation within the current cycle. 📍 Currently, $BTC is positioned near the 2Y SMA (green line) but remains below the 2x multiple (yellow line). Price around $79K sits below the ~$87K 2Y MA. 💡 This indicates a shift from undervaluation, but not yet extreme overvaluation. The market is consolidating within these bands, hinting at a potential distribution phase.
$B reached the orange zone 🎯 📝 #BUILDon is yet another asset that has surged 600% in less than a month since hitting the green zone🟢 amid the fear🟦 💡 This massive rally brought the asset to the orange zone🟠, and today it started experiencing extreme greed🟥. Historically, this presents an excellent opportunity to take profit💰
#Bitcoin Short-term Bubble Risk: Monitoring Excess 🔥 📝 This indicator tracks speculative excess, identifying "Overheat," "Mean," and "Cooling" phases. It shows a dynamic history of moving between these states. 📍 Currently, $BTC Short-term Bubble Risk stands at 1.34, sitting above the Mean (0.00) but below the Overheat (2.00) level. The chart highlights recent spikes into the "Overheat" zone. 💡 While not at extreme levels now, the indicator's historical pattern of sharp corrections after hot phases advises caution. Our platform tracks this closely.
$ALCH broke and successfully retested the baseline 🚀 📝 Historically, the Keltner Channel has played out well in combination with market emotions, moving from the green to the red band alongside the fear and greed phases. 💡 Right now, after touching the green zone, the coin rallied to the grey line, broke through, and successfully tested it as support. This price action opens the road to the red band 📈
$HYPE broke the basis on the Bollinger Bands📉 📝 The asset has been growing since Jan 2026, but rallies are losing steam. The last three peaks show fading upward momentum as the price action flattens🧐 📍 Positively, we are not seeing greed on the Fear & Greed indicator. Furthermore, the asset successfully tested the POC twice. However, bulls should avoid further retests, as each touch weakens this support. 💡 If the correction continues, the nearest support is this exact POC combined with the lower Bollinger Band.
#Bitcoin Risk Band – Sustained Low-Risk 📈 📝 The Risk Band indicator currently shows 0.19, placing $BTC in a low-risk accumulation range, though not necessarily the prime "Buy Zone." 📍 Values consistently below 0.20, as seen now, signal periods of effective profit-taking absorption and base building, common in mid-cycle consolidation. 💡 This extended low-risk phase, supported by robust on-chain metrics, points to constructive re-accumulation. The platform tracks these market dynamics closely.
$UB surged 700%, reaching the orange zone🚀 📝 Just a month ago, the coin entered the green zone🟢 amid market fear🟦, which served as an excellent buying area for the asset. 💡 Since then, the asset has already grown 8x and hit the orange zone🟠 in combination with greed🟥. I hope you all remember what the right decision is in situations like this💰
#Bitcoin Log Regression Bounds: lower Band Focus 🟢 📝 The Log Regression Bounds consistently map Bitcoin's long-term growth, with price historically respecting these channels. 📍 Currently, $BTC is near $80K, maintaining a position well above the green lower band visible on the chart, which acts as a foundational support. 💡 While the price is above it, the lower band remains a critical zone for evaluating Bitcoin's macro trend, guiding our platform's long-term outlook.
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