Why is Bitcoin falling even as exchange reserves decline?

BTC has slipped toward $83,100, showing that lower exchange balances alone don’t guarantee immediate price strength.

The key factor appears to be the broader macro environment. Rising U.S. Treasury yields can make risk assets less attractive by increasing the relative appeal of traditional fixed-income instruments. That pressure can weigh on Bitcoin even when fewer coins are sitting on exchanges.

This creates an important distinction: supply held off exchanges is a structural signal, while macro liquidity and risk appetite can dominate short-term price action.

With BTC near the lower edge of its recent range, the market is effectively balancing long-term supply constraints against near-term macro pressure.

The takeaway: falling exchange reserves may support the longer-term supply picture, but they don't eliminate short-term downside risk when financial conditions tighten.
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