$ETH is tracking the short-term path we laid out. We've got a clean five-wave decline in the books — could be wave 1 of a bigger impulse down, or wave a of an a-b-c correction. Right now we're in the bounce, either wave 2 or wave b.

Once this recovery runs its course, odds favor another leg lower. How deep it goes and how it unfolds will tell us whether we're staring down a nasty wave 3 or just wrapping up wave c of a standard pullback.

We read the structure as it builds. No script, no bias. Just follow what the market gives us.