đ Could a July Fed Rate Cut Spark a $BTC Rally?
As U.S. inflation eases, speculators are eyeing a possible July rate cutâa move that could send Bitcoin surging into triple-digit territory.
đ Slowing Inflation & Fed Policy
Headline inflation has cooled to 2.3%, the lowest in four years, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve .
Despite the drop, Powell stressed the need for more data before cutting rates, citing tariff uncertainty and upcoming June employment figures .
đŻ Bitcoinâs Reaction Scenarios
Scenario Fed Action Likely BTC Reaction
**July Rate Cut (~<5% odds)** Modest boost â Rally to $110K+ Bullish â follow-through rally
No July Cut Sideways/regional trade in $104Kâ$108K range Neutral â patient consolidation
Confirmed for Fall Cuts Shift in sentiment â Build-up toward September Bullish â momentum builds early
Recent CME FedWatch data shows July cut odds are below 5%, while expectations have shifted more toward a September move .
đ Trader Takeaways
Monitor upcoming CPI and June jobs dataâtheyâre critical for rate-cut sentiment swings.
Watch the $104Kâ$108K zoneâitâs acting as a key support range.
A clear daily close above $110K on easing data could confirm renewed strength.
đ§ Bottom Line
A July rate cut could spark a rally, but the odds are slim. The market is leaning toward a September cut. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains in a critical range. Keep tracking macro dataâthis could be the setup for the next major move.
