$BTC 🗓️Date– June 26, 2025
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🔍 Key Observations
💰 Price: $108,040.62 (+1.49%)
📈 24h Range: $106,001.00 → $108,272.45
✅ Momentum: Trading near 24h high = strong bullish momentum
🔧 EMA Alignment:
EMA(7): $107,839.95
EMA(25): $107,602.36
EMA(99): $107,083.46
📊 Price > EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) = confirmed uptrend
📊 RSI: 81.46 → Overbought
📈 Stochastic RSI: 100.00 > MA 95.26 → Extreme overbought
⚠️ Caution: Pullback likely due to overheated momentum
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📉 Volume & S/R Levels
🔄 24h Volume: 16,198 BTC (~$1.74B)
🧱 Immediate Resistance:
$108,272 (24h high)
$110,000 (psychological)
🛡️ Key Support:
$107,840 (EMA 7)
$107,600 (EMA 25)
$107,000 (pivot support zone)
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🔮 Price Prediction
⏳ Short-Term (1–3 Days)
⚠️ Pullback likely to $107,600–$107,800 (EMA support)
🔓 If price breaks $108,272 → next target: $110,000
📆 Medium-Term (1 Week)
Bullish momentum continues if price holds above EMA(25)
🎯 Targets: $112,000 → $115,000
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📊 Trade Plan
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
🟢 Entry Options:
Conservative: $107,600–$107,800 (support zone)
Aggressive: Breakout above $108,272
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $108,272
TP2: $110,000
TP3: $112,000
❌ Stop-Loss: $107,000
🔁 Risk:Reward: Minimum 1:2
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❗ Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction
🔻 Entry: Short rejection at $108,272 with bearish candle
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $107,600
TP2: $107,000
❌ Stop-Loss: $108,400
📌 Note: Use only if price shows clear rejection & weak volume
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🛡️ Risk Management
🧠 Use max 5x leverage
💸 Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade
📰 Watch news (Fed, CPI, ETF flows)
🕵️♂️ Confirm breakouts with candle closes and volume spikes
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✅ Summary
BTC/USDT remains strongly bullish, but is overbought on key indicators:
📍 Optimal Long Entry: $107,600–$107,800
🧨 Breakout Trigger: Close above $108,272
🔻 Short-Term Dip Zone: $107,000
🎯 Upside Targets: $110,000 → $112,000
📌 Wait for confirmation before entering. Overheated momentum = pullback likely. Use tight stop-loss and secure partial profits at key levels.
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⚠️ Note: BTC can retrace 1–2% quickly during overheated phases. Stick to your plan.
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$BTC ---
📜 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.