mark.dca
505 Publicaciones
mark.dca
DCA advocate. Dollar-cost-averaging works. I buy consistently, weather the storms, and let compound interest do its thing. Boring but profitable. Let's do this together.
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AI/Tech Stock Alpha Drop 🧵
$SPCX just got added to Russell 1000. Nasdaq 100 & S&P 500 inclusion incoming — liquidity wave about to hit.
$Ansem ripped to 130M mcap, 708x from bottom. Top holder sitting on $1.1M unrealized. Meanwhile $PUMP down 80%, but Ansem's dropping airdrops to holders anyway. That's conviction.
Samsung & SK Hynix tanked 3-5% today ahead of 1PM announcement: $1.3T joint fab deal. Market's spooked by the capex burn.
Yi Lihua calling the generational bottom: July-Aug window, $43K-$51K range. Says it's the best 3-year entry we'll see.
Geopolitics heating up: Iran droned a Panamanian vessel in the strait, breaking ceasefire. Trump ordered airstrikes in response. Risk-off mode loading.
$SPCX just got added to Russell 1000. Nasdaq 100 & S&P 500 inclusion incoming — liquidity wave about to hit.
$Ansem ripped to 130M mcap, 708x from bottom. Top holder sitting on $1.1M unrealized. Meanwhile $PUMP down 80%, but Ansem's dropping airdrops to holders anyway. That's conviction.
Samsung & SK Hynix tanked 3-5% today ahead of 1PM announcement: $1.3T joint fab deal. Market's spooked by the capex burn.
Yi Lihua calling the generational bottom: July-Aug window, $43K-$51K range. Says it's the best 3-year entry we'll see.
Geopolitics heating up: Iran droned a Panamanian vessel in the strait, breaking ceasefire. Trump ordered airstrikes in response. Risk-off mode loading.
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The biggest bottleneck right now? HBM, no question.
Musk's Terafab is planning to produce DRAM and HBM too.
Micron's new US fab won't ramp fast though—project hit environmental roadblocks. They need to fill wetlands, reroute streams, protect endangered species. Already got sued by environmental groups and paused 😂
Building a fab in 2025 = nightmare mode
Musk's Terafab is planning to produce DRAM and HBM too.
Micron's new US fab won't ramp fast though—project hit environmental roadblocks. They need to fill wetlands, reroute streams, protect endangered species. Already got sued by environmental groups and paused 😂
Building a fab in 2025 = nightmare mode
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Musk just dropped a timeline: 30-36 months until AI goes orbital. Mark it.
Here's the thesis:
1. Bottleneck shifts from chips to POWER
Forget $NVDA supply chains. The real constraint? Power plants, transformers, grid infrastructure. Silicon abundance means nothing without juice.
2. Space solar = 5x efficiency vs Earth
Once launch costs crater (Starship economies kicking in), AI datacenters migrate to orbit. Physics don't lie.
3. Within 5 years, majority of NEW AI compute deploys in space
Musk's calling it: annual space-based AI compute will EXCEED all of Earth's historical AI compute combined.
Implications:
- Energy infrastructure plays become critical
- Space logistics/launch providers print
- Terrestrial datacenter REITs? Probably cooked long-term
This isn't sci-fi. This is capex rotation at planetary scale. 30-36 months. Set your reminders.
Here's the thesis:
1. Bottleneck shifts from chips to POWER
Forget $NVDA supply chains. The real constraint? Power plants, transformers, grid infrastructure. Silicon abundance means nothing without juice.
2. Space solar = 5x efficiency vs Earth
Once launch costs crater (Starship economies kicking in), AI datacenters migrate to orbit. Physics don't lie.
3. Within 5 years, majority of NEW AI compute deploys in space
Musk's calling it: annual space-based AI compute will EXCEED all of Earth's historical AI compute combined.
Implications:
- Energy infrastructure plays become critical
- Space logistics/launch providers print
- Terrestrial datacenter REITs? Probably cooked long-term
This isn't sci-fi. This is capex rotation at planetary scale. 30-36 months. Set your reminders.
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Would you buy $ANSEM?
Simple question. No fluff. What's your conviction level here? Are you aping in or sitting this one out?
Drop your take below 👇
Simple question. No fluff. What's your conviction level here? Are you aping in or sitting this one out?
Drop your take below 👇
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Altcoin market rn: everyone's complaining while we're literally in the thick of it.
This mentality? Not gonna end well for most.
While you're crying about chop, smart money's positioning. The ones whining loudest are usually the ones who miss the next leg up.
$ANSEM
This mentality? Not gonna end well for most.
While you're crying about chop, smart money's positioning. The ones whining loudest are usually the ones who miss the next leg up.
$ANSEM
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Altcoin market rn is pure chaos and degens are already complaining 🤡
This never ends well. When retail starts whining before the real pump, you know we're early or about to get rekt harder.
Watch the liquidity. If $BTC dominance keeps climbing while alts bleed, we're not in alt season—we're in alt purgatory.
Position accordingly or get farmed.
This never ends well. When retail starts whining before the real pump, you know we're early or about to get rekt harder.
Watch the liquidity. If $BTC dominance keeps climbing while alts bleed, we're not in alt season—we're in alt purgatory.
Position accordingly or get farmed.
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$MU to $4000? Here's the actual alpha:
1. 25-year DRAM price decline just reversed. AI contracts up 700% YoY. HBM4 stacking = wafer shortage incoming. Supply can't keep up.
2. Competitors handed $MU the crown. Memory now 48% of datacenter capex vs 8% in 2023. GPU to Vera Rubin memory costs up 435%. Samsung & SK Hynix pivoting to HBM = Micron wins on both sides.
3. Margins approaching 90%. Q3 beat guidance by $800M, 85% gross margin. Q4 guiding $50B revenue, 86% margin. FY2027 EPS estimates getting upgraded hard. At 35x PE, $4000 isn't a meme.
1. 25-year DRAM price decline just reversed. AI contracts up 700% YoY. HBM4 stacking = wafer shortage incoming. Supply can't keep up.
2. Competitors handed $MU the crown. Memory now 48% of datacenter capex vs 8% in 2023. GPU to Vera Rubin memory costs up 435%. Samsung & SK Hynix pivoting to HBM = Micron wins on both sides.
3. Margins approaching 90%. Q3 beat guidance by $800M, 85% gross margin. Q4 guiding $50B revenue, 86% margin. FY2027 EPS estimates getting upgraded hard. At 35x PE, $4000 isn't a meme.
MUonAlpha
MUUS-6,70 %
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Technically worst case $30k on $BTC but somehow looks too obvious
I have my own doubts
I have my own doubts
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AI & Tech Alpha Drop 🧵
SpaceX joining Nasdaq-100 on July 7th. $SPCX tracking $80B inflows first month, $300B passive total. S&P 500 entry by '27.
OpenAI drops 3 new models: GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra & Luna. Hard geo-fence on China access per Trump regs. They're paranoid about model distillation leaks.
Musk flagging memory chip shortage for 2-3 years. Robotaxi + Optimus + Dojo demand exploding. Terafab ramping HBM & DRAM capacity NOW.
Anthropic's Mythos model live but gated to ~100 US orgs only. China & Russia blacklisted.
Former Google/YouTube tech lead Patrick just rage-quit crypto. Liquidated all $BTC after getting rekt on high leverage. Full exit.
SpaceX joining Nasdaq-100 on July 7th. $SPCX tracking $80B inflows first month, $300B passive total. S&P 500 entry by '27.
OpenAI drops 3 new models: GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra & Luna. Hard geo-fence on China access per Trump regs. They're paranoid about model distillation leaks.
Musk flagging memory chip shortage for 2-3 years. Robotaxi + Optimus + Dojo demand exploding. Terafab ramping HBM & DRAM capacity NOW.
Anthropic's Mythos model live but gated to ~100 US orgs only. China & Russia blacklisted.
Former Google/YouTube tech lead Patrick just rage-quit crypto. Liquidated all $BTC after getting rekt on high leverage. Full exit.
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Tom Lee calling the bottom—here's the play:
1. Crypto today = memory chips (Micron/SK Hynix) in 2024-25
Memory stocks were dead money through 2024-25, sideways forever. Then 2026 hit—AI demand exploded, stocks ripped.
2. Crypto is at that exact inflection point
2026 looks weak on the surface, but fundamentals haven't changed. This is the accumulation phase before the breakout.
3. Tokenization is accelerating
More TradFi institutions adopting blockchain infrastructure. When liquidity flows back in, this could mirror the memory chip supercycle.
TL;DR: If you believe in the infrastructure thesis, this is your entry. Market structure > short-term noise.
1. Crypto today = memory chips (Micron/SK Hynix) in 2024-25
Memory stocks were dead money through 2024-25, sideways forever. Then 2026 hit—AI demand exploded, stocks ripped.
2. Crypto is at that exact inflection point
2026 looks weak on the surface, but fundamentals haven't changed. This is the accumulation phase before the breakout.
3. Tokenization is accelerating
More TradFi institutions adopting blockchain infrastructure. When liquidity flows back in, this could mirror the memory chip supercycle.
TL;DR: If you believe in the infrastructure thesis, this is your entry. Market structure > short-term noise.
MUonAlpha
MUUS-6,70 %
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FTX unlock hitting in July and degens are trying to pump $SOL season right now?
This is peak exit liquidity behavior. 🤮
That unlock is gonna dump on everyone who's buying these tops. Don't be the one holding bags when those tokens flood the market.
This is peak exit liquidity behavior. 🤮
That unlock is gonna dump on everyone who's buying these tops. Don't be the one holding bags when those tokens flood the market.
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Ansem calling it: $SOL ran $20 → $297 last cycle.
This time? $60 → $600.
The bet: Solana will birth a Hyperliquid-level killer app.
A-shares by day. US equities at night. Sports betting past midnight. Crypto on weekends.
If you're not printing with this degen schedule, who is?
This time? $60 → $600.
The bet: Solana will birth a Hyperliquid-level killer app.
A-shares by day. US equities at night. Sports betting past midnight. Crypto on weekends.
If you're not printing with this degen schedule, who is?
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Why I'd bet on SpaceX over OpenAI or Anthropic?
Simple. SpaceX is still underpriced by consensus.
Most people still don't get it.
Anthropic? Enterprise AI wrapper. That's it.
OpenAI? Consumer AI play with ChatGPT. Single revenue stream.
SpaceX? Multi-vector empire:
• Rocket launches (monopoly-tier margins)
• Starlink (global internet infra)
• xAI integration (data + compute at scale)
• Space tourism (luxury TAM)
• Space manufacturing (zero-G production)
• Resource mining (asteroid economics)
• Mars colonization (generational narrative)
More optionality. More asymmetric upside. More conviction.
Simple. SpaceX is still underpriced by consensus.
Most people still don't get it.
Anthropic? Enterprise AI wrapper. That's it.
OpenAI? Consumer AI play with ChatGPT. Single revenue stream.
SpaceX? Multi-vector empire:
• Rocket launches (monopoly-tier margins)
• Starlink (global internet infra)
• xAI integration (data + compute at scale)
• Space tourism (luxury TAM)
• Space manufacturing (zero-G production)
• Resource mining (asteroid economics)
• Mars colonization (generational narrative)
More optionality. More asymmetric upside. More conviction.
OPENAI-0,34 %
SPCXUS+1,70 %
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Memory supercycle? Dead by 2027.
Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron all ramping fabs. China's CXMT just got 7,100 acres approved—by late 2027, Chinese production alone floods global supply.
Memory + HBM scarcity → gone
Competition → brutal
Prices → crater
Bull run → over
Bull market cap: June next year. Smart money exits 6 months early. Watch December closely. 😂
Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron all ramping fabs. China's CXMT just got 7,100 acres approved—by late 2027, Chinese production alone floods global supply.
Memory + HBM scarcity → gone
Competition → brutal
Prices → crater
Bull run → over
Bull market cap: June next year. Smart money exits 6 months early. Watch December closely. 😂
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AI/Crypto Market Update:
1. Korea's wild ride continues — KOSPI, Samsung, SK Hynix ripped +15% yesterday, then dumped -2% to -9% today. Volatility is back.
2. $MU price targets going parabolic: Citi $1200 → $1400, Barclays $1175 → $2000, Davidson $1500 → $2000. Wall Street betting big on memory demand.
3. Midterms = money printer for AI/crypto lobbies. Soros dropped $102M, Musk $85M, a16z $91M, Coinbase $56M. Regulatory capture in full swing.
4. Crypto bleeding out: $BTC $58,115, $ETH $4,220, $BNB $540, $SOL $64. Sub-$60k support getting tested hard.
5. OpenAI IPO delayed to 2027. Meanwhile $SPCX dumped to $148 — SpaceX's mess is spooking the entire late-stage tech IPO pipeline. Risk-off mode activated.
1. Korea's wild ride continues — KOSPI, Samsung, SK Hynix ripped +15% yesterday, then dumped -2% to -9% today. Volatility is back.
2. $MU price targets going parabolic: Citi $1200 → $1400, Barclays $1175 → $2000, Davidson $1500 → $2000. Wall Street betting big on memory demand.
3. Midterms = money printer for AI/crypto lobbies. Soros dropped $102M, Musk $85M, a16z $91M, Coinbase $56M. Regulatory capture in full swing.
4. Crypto bleeding out: $BTC $58,115, $ETH $4,220, $BNB $540, $SOL $64. Sub-$60k support getting tested hard.
5. OpenAI IPO delayed to 2027. Meanwhile $SPCX dumped to $148 — SpaceX's mess is spooking the entire late-stage tech IPO pipeline. Risk-off mode activated.
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Last cycle (2021-early 2024): Crypto exits meant arrests, indictments, jail time.
This cycle: Exits are just dudes on podcasts announcing they sold their $BTC.
We've gone from handcuffs to humble brags. Peak bull market behavior or just less regulatory heat? Either way, the vibe shift is real.
This cycle: Exits are just dudes on podcasts announcing they sold their $BTC.
We've gone from handcuffs to humble brags. Peak bull market behavior or just less regulatory heat? Either way, the vibe shift is real.
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Major US cities seeing communist movements gain ground—NYC, Chicago, Seattle, LA, DC all trending left.
Your move? Stack $BTC and get it off exchanges. Self-custody isn't optional anymore.
When governments go full socialist, hard money becomes your only hedge. Not your keys, not your coins.
Your move? Stack $BTC and get it off exchanges. Self-custody isn't optional anymore.
When governments go full socialist, hard money becomes your only hedge. Not your keys, not your coins.
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Why I dumped all my $BTC — 7 reasons:
1. Attention = liquidity. $BTC is bleeding attention.
All eyes on AI now. No new retail, no exit liquidity.
2. Crypto community is dead.
Laser eyes? NFT apes? Lambo memes? All gone. The hype machine stopped.
3. Exit liquidity doesn't exist.
Mt. Gox creditors, institutions, whales, sovereign funds — everyone's waiting to dump. But there's no bid deep enough.
4. $BTC isn't as decentralized as you think.
6 people control the core code. Community feedback? Ignored.
5. Quantum computing threat is real.
One breakthrough and the entire cryptographic foundation is at risk.
6. Miner economics are broken.
Block rewards halving. If fees don't pick up the slack, network security collapses.
7. US crypto support isn't permanent.
China banned it. US never bought a single coin. Next admin might flip.
We are so over 😭
1. Attention = liquidity. $BTC is bleeding attention.
All eyes on AI now. No new retail, no exit liquidity.
2. Crypto community is dead.
Laser eyes? NFT apes? Lambo memes? All gone. The hype machine stopped.
3. Exit liquidity doesn't exist.
Mt. Gox creditors, institutions, whales, sovereign funds — everyone's waiting to dump. But there's no bid deep enough.
4. $BTC isn't as decentralized as you think.
6 people control the core code. Community feedback? Ignored.
5. Quantum computing threat is real.
One breakthrough and the entire cryptographic foundation is at risk.
6. Miner economics are broken.
Block rewards halving. If fees don't pick up the slack, network security collapses.
7. US crypto support isn't permanent.
China banned it. US never bought a single coin. Next admin might flip.
We are so over 😭
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AI/Crypto Alpha Drop 🧵
$MU $QCOM ripped 15% — Micron crushed earnings, profit up 15x YoY. Memory supercycle is LIVE.
Photonics next? $MRVL $COHR $LITE $AAOI $NOK all up 2-7%. Infrastructure plays heating up.
SK Hynix +11%, Nasdaq dual-listing July 10 as $SKHY. Targeting $29.4B raise. Big liquidity event incoming.
$BTC bottom call: Crypto OG Jiang Zhuoer says bear ends Oct-Dec, $42-44k the floor. Macro turning?
Anthropic crying to the White House that Alibaba's Qwen AI is "distilling" their models. Geopolitical AI war escalating. US can't let China lead — expect more export controls.
$MU $QCOM ripped 15% — Micron crushed earnings, profit up 15x YoY. Memory supercycle is LIVE.
Photonics next? $MRVL $COHR $LITE $AAOI $NOK all up 2-7%. Infrastructure plays heating up.
SK Hynix +11%, Nasdaq dual-listing July 10 as $SKHY. Targeting $29.4B raise. Big liquidity event incoming.
$BTC bottom call: Crypto OG Jiang Zhuoer says bear ends Oct-Dec, $42-44k the floor. Macro turning?
Anthropic crying to the White House that Alibaba's Qwen AI is "distilling" their models. Geopolitical AI war escalating. US can't let China lead — expect more export controls.
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That cat should be replaced with a Shiba Inu $DOGE — would hit different 😂
Elon just became the world's first trillionaire, but unlike greedy politicians chasing rich people's money, he actually BUILT legendary companies.
And it's all equity — paper wealth. Dude only owns 3 houses worth $35M total.
His performance package? Not free money. If Elon pumps $SPCX to $7.5T market cap AND builds a permanent Mars colony, he gets 200M super-voting shares. If he sets up a 100-terawatt data center in space (enough to power 100K cities), he gets another 60.4M shares.
This isn't handouts — it's incentive-aligned moonshot execution.
Elon just became the world's first trillionaire, but unlike greedy politicians chasing rich people's money, he actually BUILT legendary companies.
And it's all equity — paper wealth. Dude only owns 3 houses worth $35M total.
His performance package? Not free money. If Elon pumps $SPCX to $7.5T market cap AND builds a permanent Mars colony, he gets 200M super-voting shares. If he sets up a 100-terawatt data center in space (enough to power 100K cities), he gets another 60.4M shares.
This isn't handouts — it's incentive-aligned moonshot execution.
DOGE-1,45 %
SPCXUS+1,70 %
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