BTC

🤯Лонг на $1 млрд по BTC
Сегодня BTC поднялся до ATH в район $109,500. На этом фоне публичный трейдер Джеймс Уинн увеличил свою позицию до 9,800 BTC ($1 млрд), несмотря на нереализованный профит в $12,5 млн🔥
😵Позиция является крупнейшей на бирже и  превышает совокупные объемы следующих 6 трейдеров.

#BTC #ETH #bnb

你会因为一次5%的回调，就放弃接下来的500%机会吗？5月19日，比特币上冲109,600美元未果，随即快速下跌，一举引爆市场8亿美元的多头爆仓，情绪骤然从“狂热”跌入“冰点”。但这，真的已经是顶了吗？还是，一场蓄谋已久的“清洗”，在为下一轮主升浪做铺垫？

一、冲高回落≠行情终结，诱多还是洗盘？

先来看下这次大回调的两个核心诱因：

技术面信号偏弱：比特币在挑战109,600美元时，量价背离明显，同时MACD在高位死叉，属于典型的“诱多+洗盘”结构。短期技术指标过热，本就容易引发高位震荡。
基本面预期兑现+获利了结压力释放：本轮反弹自低点累计涨幅已超45%，且前期提振行情的“关税战”利好逐步兑现，市场自然出现获利盘了结的行为。

但问题的关键在于：这真的是行情结束的信号吗？还是一次“健康调整”中的小波澜？

二、供应危机正在酝酿，主升浪更近一步？

我们从供需结构的变化看更远的逻辑。

🔹 供应侧持续收紧：自2024年11月至今，比特币在各大交易所的余额已经从244万枚骤降至215万枚，六个月时间减少了29万枚。如果这个趋势延续，预计到2026年初，中心化交易所的比特币供应将跌破150万枚。

这意味着什么？市场上的“流通比特币”正在枯竭，而FOMO效应一旦启动，势必带来剧烈价格波动。

🔹 机构“吞金兽”正在成型：2025年4月至今，已有21家机构宣布将比特币纳入资产负债表，接近第一季度总数。其中最具代表性的，是由Tether、Bitfinex与软银共同投资的Twenty One——这家公司通过借壳上市的方式，迅速积累了42,000枚比特币，并计划再融资11.7亿美元进一步增持，野心之大令人侧目。

更重要的是，这种趋势正在从欧美向亚洲扩散，比如印尼的DigiAsia宣布要募集1亿美元专投比特币，说明这轮机构布局仍在“初期阶段”。

Mlion.ai的AI研报系统已经识别出类似Twenty One这类的“鲸鱼型买家”正在频繁活跃，并在链上数据中同步显示出集中吸筹的异常行为，对于普通投资者而言，正是跟随这种趋势“吃肉”的黄金窗口。

三、美债危机只是导火索，美元让位、比特币接棒？

从宏观层面看，多空的力量正在悄然倾斜：

美债危机催化风险资产新一轮上涨：穆迪下调美国主权评级，引发长债收益率飙升，6月美国还将面临6.5万亿美元的“借新还旧”压力。背后其实是对美元信用的深层冲击。
美联储“身体很诚实”：虽然嘴上强调缩表，实际上却在5月8日悄悄买入88亿美元的长期美债，累计一个月已达436亿美元。这类“再投资”行为，看似技术性调整，实则释放出明确的“稳流动性”信号。

在这段时间内，以太坊、山寨币、罗素2000等对流动性敏感的资产迅速反弹，聪明的钱已经开始提前埋伏下一波主升浪。

Mlion.ai的流动性分析板块近期也同步提示出资金边际回暖的趋势，结合币价结构分析，当前的震荡更像是上涨前的“蓄能期”，而非行情拐点。

四、美元信用的让步，比特币或成新“锚定资产”？

彭博数据显示，一年期美元风险逆转指标跌至-27基点，创下2011年以来新低。市场押注美元大幅贬值已成为主流认知。在这种背景下，美国政商界开始推动比特币成为战略级资产，从联邦政府到地方州议会都在“试水”。

这种趋势类似日本近几年的“日元换资产”操作。2020年至2024年，日元贬值超54%，但日经指数暴涨140%，日本制造业与消费双双回暖。美元若步上日元后尘，比特币将成为避险与增值的“双重属性”资产。

五、操作建议：下车等于错过，震荡是最好的上车机会

就目前来看，比特币的技术形态虽在高位震荡，但供应端紧缩、机构加速建仓、美元边际走弱、流动性温和修复等多重因素叠加，下一轮主升浪仍极具爆发潜力。

建议投资者：

比特币主升浪未到之前，切勿轻易下车
利用每一次下跌进行低位加仓，关注Mlion.ai的链上地址监测与币价预测功能，识别鲸鱼行为与主力资金动向
山寨币方面，可在流动性边际改善的窗口期，阶段性增配头部币种，获取Beta收益

特别是通过Mlion.ai的AI策略图解与币种对比工具，可有效帮助投资者挖掘趋势确认中的“黄金买点”，避免盲目追高或恐慌止损。

#BTC

免责声明：以上内容仅供信息分享，不构成任何投资建议！

Robert Kiyosaki warns the U.S. credit downgrade could ignite economic collapse, making bitcoin, gold, and silver essential shields against a failing financial system.

Robert Kiyosaki Recommends ‘Saving Real Gold and Silver and Today Bitcoin’
Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has weighed in on the recent downgrade of U.S. debt by Moody’s. His book has remained a global bestseller for over two decades, translated into dozens of languages and read by millions around the world seeking financial education. Kiyosaki shared on social media platform X on May 19:
A Moody’s downgrade will probably mean higher interest rates which means a U.S. in recession, which means the economy will slow, unemployment will climb, bond market, housing market, and weak banks may fail… which may mean 1929 depression.
The acclaimed author compared the downgrade to a red flag signaling an economic unraveling. Drawing parallels to the 1929 crash, Kiyosaki warned that rising interest rates could spark a recession, triggering widespread financial damage across sectors like housing, banking, and employment.
Referencing insights from economist and friend Jim Rickards, he noted: “According to Jim Rickards, the next crisis will be triggered by the collapse of $1.6 trillion in student loan debt.” Kiyosaki emphasized that the crash he predicted over a decade ago is already underway: “The crash I warned about in Rich Dad’s Prophecy in 2012 has begun.”
The renowned author has urged individuals to abandon reliance on fiat money, job security, and traditional retirement plans. Instead, he doubled down on his long-standing advice to invest in real assets, advising:
I also recommended saving real gold and silver and today bitcoin.
Rejecting paper assets and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Kiyosaki offered clear guidance: “You bail you and your family out by saving real gold, silver, and bitcoin… No ETFs.” He concluded with a stark but empowering reminder: “Please take care… bail yourself out by saving real gold, silver, and bitcoin.” Kiyosaki has consistently warned about the fragility of fiat currencies and the risks tied to the U.S. dollar. In his view, financial resilience begins with entrepreneurship and storing wealth in hard assets, especially in times of economic crisis.

#binance #wendy #BTC $BTC

The market is now less than 2% from all-time highs, and yet something feels oddly frictionless. Since the 75k low, we haven’t seen any meaningful correction beyond 4–5%; leverage remains intact, and somehow, no significant flush has taken place. The climb has been persistent, uninterrupted, and surprisingly merciful to overexposed positions.
This isn’t to say the structure looks weak—on the contrary, it remains technically strong—but it’s hard to ignore how rarely Bitcoin offers this much one-sided momentum without first shaking some hands loose. When the path looks this smooth, history tends to suggest otherwise.
Breaking ATHs without any pause might still work, but it increases the odds of a shallow breakout; something that pierces through 110k only to snap back below 100k in an SFP-style move. A more constructive setup, in my view, would be a local trap around 108k, a fast liquidation dip toward 99k, and a strong buy response from there—clearing excess leverage without compromising the broader trend, and setting the stage for an extension toward 130k+.
In this context, some may consider hedging high-leverage or high-beta positions around 107.5k; not as a bearish call, but as a way to navigate a likely reset. Naturally, everyone manages risk in their own way—but an overpopulated rally rarely rewards the crowd for long.
This isn't about calling a top; it’s about recognizing when the rally might need to breathe. The healthiest thing for this market now might not be a vertical breakout, but a temporary jolt that clears the runway for what comes next.
Because when Bitcoin feels too easy, it usually means someone’s about to get reminded why it isn’t.
#BTC

#BTC
Short/Sell

BTC has been going up for weeks now, yes there are signs of sellers being absorbed buy the buyers. We may see Bitcoin going for a correction after it has tapped the 0.618 level. Opening long at a resistance like this is of course a fools play. Make sure you keep tight SL when you play it.

USDT.D seems to be at an area not to be messed with, if broken. Significant rally in the market is expected but most likely we are going to see a correction in the entire market.

BTC.D has been climbing up for a while now. Respecting its midline historically quite a lot of time. I think it will create another high.

TOTAL3 will potentially bounce back after it is reached the trend support here.

Entry : 108.5k
Leverage: 5-10x
Targets:
98k

This is my personal prediction, but as we all know, the crypto market is highly volatile. If you're considering this trade, be sure to conduct your own thorough research before making any decisions.
$BTC

For more insights and future signals, check out my Bio and tune into my Binance live stream for real-time analysis and updates!

📌 Суть стратегии:
1. Только 3 монеты в портфеле:
- 50% — BTC (основа)
- 30% — ETH (смарт-контракты)
- 20% — 1 альткоин (выбираю раз в квартал)
2. Жесткие правила входа:
- Покупаю только после -40% от ATH
- Объем торговли > $100M/сутки
- Разработчики публично активны
3. Выход:
- -15% = стоп-лосс
- +50-100% = фиксирую 70%
- Остальное — в трейлинг
💥 Почему это работает?
✅ Минимум эмоций (правила написаны заранее)
✅ Защита от скамов (фильтры по ликвидности)
✅ Баланс риска (BTC страхует риски альтов)
💬 Вопросы вам:
1. Какие критерии для выбора альтов используете вы?
2. Какой % портфеля рисковаете на альты?
3. Были ли случаи, когда стратегия давала сбой?
Если бы вам дали $10k — как бы распределили по этой схеме?
Какой % портфеля вы держите в альтах?"
- 🚀 >50% (рискую!)
- 🔒 <20% (только проверенное)
- 💀 0% (только BTC)
👉 Пишите в комменты свои правила — обсудим!
$BTC

#Крипто #Трейдинг #Инвестиции #BTC #BinanceAlphaAlert