Wolf_king88
It focuses on trading strategies with a high profit-loss ratio, making big profits from small losses and achieving stable asset growth.X:Wolf_king888
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Trading System-Risk Management
Risk management is a word that everyone who does trading, often hangs on the lips, but most people tend to just talk about risk management; Unable to actually establish the awareness of risk management, relying too much on intuitive trading, so that it is impossible to achieve long-term use of fixed trading strategies to achieve profit purposes.
Today I will share with you a systematic risk control concept. I hope it will be of some help to your futures trading in the future. Remember to forward and like it~
What should you pay attention to when trading futures?
First of all, the biggest advantage of futures trading is that small funds can be used as margin guarantee transactions, which can control risks more flexibly than spot prices; similarly, the biggest disadvantages of futures trading are the same as the advantages. While using leverage to amplify profits, you need to The risks taken will also be magnified in proportion;
Investors with poor trading experience often use leverage incorrectly (mainly referring to excessive magnification), coupled with psychological instability, they are prone to the following serious situations:
1. Wrong risk managementImproper use of leverage, or operations with a low winning rate or low profit-loss ratio;Many novices tend to ignore the advantages of using leverage, blindly use too high leverage, or too high number of contracts, focusing on the immediate potential profits and ignoring the potential risks brought by leveraged trading, which invisibly magnifies the risks, resulting in Positions are overexposed to risk and liquidated;
2. Immature mentalityLosing money or missing out on the market leads to greed, regret, fear and other negative psychological effects that affect judgment, making it impossible to operate according to the strategy;
3. Gamblerās psychologyAfter losing money in the market, you want to make back the loss through a larger margin. If you make a profit, you want to continue making profits with a larger position;
There may also be another situation where the trend reversal is close to the stop loss, but because the position on the market is at a floating loss, you choose to continue to hold the position, going against the trend, resulting in amplified losses, or even liquidation; or when the price has reached a floating profit, The strategy has a profit-taking target, but due to greed, one chooses to continue holding the position, causing the original profit to be taken back or even turn into a loss;
In the trading market, retail investors often make too many mistakes and get lost in technical analysis. They pursue the perfect strategy with a 100% winning rate and ignore the implementation of the general principle of stop-profit and stop-loss.
What is risk?
Risk is the uncertainty of future investment returns in the trading market. Loss of income, or loss of principal, can be included in investment risk. The characteristics of risk include objective probability, meaning that the risk can be taken to prevent the occurrence, or reduce the loss caused by the occurrence of a risky event, but it is impossible to completely eliminate the risk, because to do so means that we will also eliminate the future gain. This also shows that risk management in the trading market is very necessary and very important.
What is risk management?
Risk management and control means taking effective measures to reduce the probability of occurrence of risk events, or effectively reduce the loss caused by risk events after the occurrence of risk events, and control the loss to an acceptable degree. Traders with less trading experience tend to focus too much on technical analysis and trading strategies, and place too much trust in strategic indicators. These traders often inadvertently ignore the probability of the occurrence of risk events, the entire principal as a margin to make a one-time bet trading, such traders, the final result is only death.
Importance of profit-loss ratio
A profit-loss ratio that is too low will result in more losses and less profit.Assuming that our risk management strategy is to set the profit-loss ratio of each transaction to 1:1, we must at least maintain the winning rate of the transaction above 50% to ensure stable profits for the position;If the profit and loss ratio is set to 1:1, for any transaction we should ensure that the profit and loss ratio is greater than or equal to 1:1 before entering the market. Otherwise, even if the winning rate is high, the effective profit and loss ratio cannot be achieved. It may also cause a large profit retracement or even loss after a loss occurs.
A higher profit-loss ratio in the trading strategy can effectively make up for the problem of lower than 50% winning rate in trading;
for example:
In an account with 10,000 USDT, each transaction uses 1% of the position as the cost (100 USDT), and the profit and loss ratio is controlled at 1:3. In 10 transactions, there will be an average of 4 take-profits and the remaining 6 losses. purely looking at the winning rate, the trading winning rate is only 40%. Such a result is definitely unsatisfactory.
However, based on the profit-loss ratio combined with the winning rate, the average overall profit for 10 transactions falls within:(100USDT (1% cost)*3 (profit-loss ratio)*4 profits) ā (100USDT (1% cost)*1*6 losses)=1200USDT-600USDT=600USDT
We can see that with a trading strategy that controls the profit and loss ratio at 1:3 each time and uses 1% of the total position as a cost, although the winning rate is only 40%, we can also get a 6% return in every 10 transactions. The most important thing is that even if a loss occurs, only 1% of the positions bear the risk of loss.
This is also why we pursue a high profit-loss ratio. Only a high profit-loss ratio + a high winning rate can achieve effective compound interest.
Summarize
In the trading market, risk management accounts for at least 80% of the importance, and the remaining 20% āāis the trading system and strategy. Avoid blindly pursuing technical analysis and indicators, strictly implement basic skills and risk control, and avoid gambling operations such as heavy positions and full positions. The long-term stability of position funds is the correct trading direction.
The futures market is highly volatile. It is recommended that investors strictly implement risk management. Only by surviving in the trading market can we have the opportunity to achieve more trading goals.
ā”ļøIf it is useful to you, please remember to forward itš¤Likeā¤ļø~
#crypto2023 #Binance #trading #wolf_king888
Today I will share with you a systematic risk control concept. I hope it will be of some help to your futures trading in the future. Remember to forward and like it~
What should you pay attention to when trading futures?
First of all, the biggest advantage of futures trading is that small funds can be used as margin guarantee transactions, which can control risks more flexibly than spot prices; similarly, the biggest disadvantages of futures trading are the same as the advantages. While using leverage to amplify profits, you need to The risks taken will also be magnified in proportion;
Investors with poor trading experience often use leverage incorrectly (mainly referring to excessive magnification), coupled with psychological instability, they are prone to the following serious situations:
1. Wrong risk managementImproper use of leverage, or operations with a low winning rate or low profit-loss ratio;Many novices tend to ignore the advantages of using leverage, blindly use too high leverage, or too high number of contracts, focusing on the immediate potential profits and ignoring the potential risks brought by leveraged trading, which invisibly magnifies the risks, resulting in Positions are overexposed to risk and liquidated;
2. Immature mentalityLosing money or missing out on the market leads to greed, regret, fear and other negative psychological effects that affect judgment, making it impossible to operate according to the strategy;
3. Gamblerās psychologyAfter losing money in the market, you want to make back the loss through a larger margin. If you make a profit, you want to continue making profits with a larger position;
There may also be another situation where the trend reversal is close to the stop loss, but because the position on the market is at a floating loss, you choose to continue to hold the position, going against the trend, resulting in amplified losses, or even liquidation; or when the price has reached a floating profit, The strategy has a profit-taking target, but due to greed, one chooses to continue holding the position, causing the original profit to be taken back or even turn into a loss;
In the trading market, retail investors often make too many mistakes and get lost in technical analysis. They pursue the perfect strategy with a 100% winning rate and ignore the implementation of the general principle of stop-profit and stop-loss.
What is risk?
Risk is the uncertainty of future investment returns in the trading market. Loss of income, or loss of principal, can be included in investment risk. The characteristics of risk include objective probability, meaning that the risk can be taken to prevent the occurrence, or reduce the loss caused by the occurrence of a risky event, but it is impossible to completely eliminate the risk, because to do so means that we will also eliminate the future gain. This also shows that risk management in the trading market is very necessary and very important.
What is risk management?
Risk management and control means taking effective measures to reduce the probability of occurrence of risk events, or effectively reduce the loss caused by risk events after the occurrence of risk events, and control the loss to an acceptable degree. Traders with less trading experience tend to focus too much on technical analysis and trading strategies, and place too much trust in strategic indicators. These traders often inadvertently ignore the probability of the occurrence of risk events, the entire principal as a margin to make a one-time bet trading, such traders, the final result is only death.
Importance of profit-loss ratio
A profit-loss ratio that is too low will result in more losses and less profit.Assuming that our risk management strategy is to set the profit-loss ratio of each transaction to 1:1, we must at least maintain the winning rate of the transaction above 50% to ensure stable profits for the position;If the profit and loss ratio is set to 1:1, for any transaction we should ensure that the profit and loss ratio is greater than or equal to 1:1 before entering the market. Otherwise, even if the winning rate is high, the effective profit and loss ratio cannot be achieved. It may also cause a large profit retracement or even loss after a loss occurs.
A higher profit-loss ratio in the trading strategy can effectively make up for the problem of lower than 50% winning rate in trading;
for example:
In an account with 10,000 USDT, each transaction uses 1% of the position as the cost (100 USDT), and the profit and loss ratio is controlled at 1:3. In 10 transactions, there will be an average of 4 take-profits and the remaining 6 losses. purely looking at the winning rate, the trading winning rate is only 40%. Such a result is definitely unsatisfactory.
However, based on the profit-loss ratio combined with the winning rate, the average overall profit for 10 transactions falls within:(100USDT (1% cost)*3 (profit-loss ratio)*4 profits) ā (100USDT (1% cost)*1*6 losses)=1200USDT-600USDT=600USDT
We can see that with a trading strategy that controls the profit and loss ratio at 1:3 each time and uses 1% of the total position as a cost, although the winning rate is only 40%, we can also get a 6% return in every 10 transactions. The most important thing is that even if a loss occurs, only 1% of the positions bear the risk of loss.
This is also why we pursue a high profit-loss ratio. Only a high profit-loss ratio + a high winning rate can achieve effective compound interest.
Summarize
In the trading market, risk management accounts for at least 80% of the importance, and the remaining 20% āāis the trading system and strategy. Avoid blindly pursuing technical analysis and indicators, strictly implement basic skills and risk control, and avoid gambling operations such as heavy positions and full positions. The long-term stability of position funds is the correct trading direction.
The futures market is highly volatile. It is recommended that investors strictly implement risk management. Only by surviving in the trading market can we have the opportunity to achieve more trading goals.
ā”ļøIf it is useful to you, please remember to forward itš¤Likeā¤ļø~
#crypto2023 #Binance #trading #wolf_king888
š #W Bullish Head and Shoulders š
š§ From a structural perspective, we've formed a bullish head and shoulders pattern at the bottom, currently testing the neckline support area and the uptrend support line. If we can hold here, there's a high probability of a further breakout from here.
Let's see š
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$W
š§ From a structural perspective, we've formed a bullish head and shoulders pattern at the bottom, currently testing the neckline support area and the uptrend support line. If we can hold here, there's a high probability of a further breakout from here.
Let's see š
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$W
#DOGE Update
We followed the market's plunge and ultimately failed to hold the neckline support zone, so we should be wary of the risk of a further pullback.
We are currently consolidating within the yellow support zone. If we can maintain this sideways trend for a sufficient period, we have a chance to continue the bullish trend from here. Otherwise, we need to keep an eye on the extreme support at 0.2046.
#Wolf_king88 $DOGE
We followed the market's plunge and ultimately failed to hold the neckline support zone, so we should be wary of the risk of a further pullback.
We are currently consolidating within the yellow support zone. If we can maintain this sideways trend for a sufficient period, we have a chance to continue the bullish trend from here. Otherwise, we need to keep an eye on the extreme support at 0.2046.
#Wolf_king88 $DOGE
šCan #DOGE continue to rise?
š§ From a structural perspective, a double bottom bullish pattern is forming on the daily chart, though its ideal target hasn't yet been reached, so we can remain optimistic. We're currently near the neckline support zone. If we can stabilize there over the next period of time, we could potentially initiate a new uptrend.š
ā”ļøIf we fail to stabilize at the neckline support zone, the next support level to watch is around 0.243, with extreme support around 0.2046.
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#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, a double bottom bullish pattern is forming on the daily chart, though its ideal target hasn't yet been reached, so we can remain optimistic. We're currently near the neckline support zone. If we can stabilize there over the next period of time, we could potentially initiate a new uptrend.š
ā”ļøIf we fail to stabilize at the neckline support zone, the next support level to watch is around 0.243, with extreme support around 0.2046.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88
#ETH
The market hasn't developed as expected, lacking the strong breakout we anticipated. Therefore, once the second entry point (around 4100) is triggered, please set your cost price to exit this trade.
If we break through the 4h level resistance first and stabilize, then we will have the opportunity to continue to rise.
$ETH
The market hasn't developed as expected, lacking the strong breakout we anticipated. Therefore, once the second entry point (around 4100) is triggered, please set your cost price to exit this trade.
If we break through the 4h level resistance first and stabilize, then we will have the opportunity to continue to rise.
$ETH
š #ETH Bullish Head and Shoulders, Beware of a Rebound ā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, we've found support at the weekly neckline support area, forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, suggesting the possibility of a further rally.
ā”ļøNote that we're currently near the 4-hour neckline resistance area. While further gains are possible, be wary of the risk of a pullback. Therefore, consider a small number of long trades. If a pullback occurs, buy again near the next support level of 4100.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬$ETH
#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, we've found support at the weekly neckline support area, forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, suggesting the possibility of a further rally.
ā”ļøNote that we're currently near the 4-hour neckline resistance area. While further gains are possible, be wary of the risk of a pullback. Therefore, consider a small number of long trades. If a pullback occurs, buy again near the next support level of 4100.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬$ETH
#Wolf_king88
š #ETH Bullish Head and Shoulders, Beware of a Rebound ā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, we've found support at the weekly neckline support area, forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, suggesting the possibility of a further rally.
ā”ļøNote that we're currently near the 4-hour neckline resistance area. While further gains are possible, be wary of the risk of a pullback. Therefore, consider a small number of long trades. If a pullback occurs, buy again near the next support level of 4100.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬$ETH
#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, we've found support at the weekly neckline support area, forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, suggesting the possibility of a further rally.
ā”ļøNote that we're currently near the 4-hour neckline resistance area. While further gains are possible, be wary of the risk of a pullback. Therefore, consider a small number of long trades. If a pullback occurs, buy again near the next support level of 4100.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬$ETH
#Wolf_king88
š#ETH Double Top Structure, Beware of Pullbackš
š§ From a structural perspective, we've formed a bearish double top structure within the red target zone, so be wary of a deeper pullback.
ā”ļøAfter today's plunge, we retested the weekly neckline support. We're currently in a rebound phase and have encountered resistance at the 4H neckline. Don't chase the rally here! Strong resistance lies around 4300-4400. If price reaches this level, look for shorting opportunities.
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#Wolf_king88 $ETH
š§ From a structural perspective, we've formed a bearish double top structure within the red target zone, so be wary of a deeper pullback.
ā”ļøAfter today's plunge, we retested the weekly neckline support. We're currently in a rebound phase and have encountered resistance at the 4H neckline. Don't chase the rally here! Strong resistance lies around 4300-4400. If price reaches this level, look for shorting opportunities.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $ETH
š #BTC is plummeting! Will it continue to fall?
š§ From a structural perspective, the yellow support zone around 115,000 ultimately failed to hold, turning it into resistance. Only by holding above this level can we maintain an optimistic bullish outlook; otherwise, we need to be wary of the risk of a further pullback!
ā”ļøThe neckline support failed to hold, so this level will provide weak resistance. Strong resistance lies around 114,000-115,000.
ā”ļøWe've currently held above the daily S/R ratio. The next key support level is at the weekly S/R ratio.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, the yellow support zone around 115,000 ultimately failed to hold, turning it into resistance. Only by holding above this level can we maintain an optimistic bullish outlook; otherwise, we need to be wary of the risk of a further pullback!
ā”ļøThe neckline support failed to hold, so this level will provide weak resistance. Strong resistance lies around 114,000-115,000.
ā”ļøWe've currently held above the daily S/R ratio. The next key support level is at the weekly S/R ratio.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
šCan #DOGE continue to rise?
š§ From a structural perspective, a double bottom bullish pattern is forming on the daily chart, though its ideal target hasn't yet been reached, so we can remain optimistic. We're currently near the neckline support zone. If we can stabilize there over the next period of time, we could potentially initiate a new uptrend.š
ā”ļøIf we fail to stabilize at the neckline support zone, the next support level to watch is around 0.243, with extreme support around 0.2046.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, a double bottom bullish pattern is forming on the daily chart, though its ideal target hasn't yet been reached, so we can remain optimistic. We're currently near the neckline support zone. If we can stabilize there over the next period of time, we could potentially initiate a new uptrend.š
ā”ļøIf we fail to stabilize at the neckline support zone, the next support level to watch is around 0.243, with extreme support around 0.2046.
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88
š #WIF Ascending Triangle š
š§ From a structural perspective, the daily correction has completed. A good rebound has already occurred, and the market is currently consolidating sideways. If it can break out of this consolidation range, we could potentially see the start of a second surge.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, the price has been squeezed to form an ascending triangle. A successful breakout above the upper edge of the triangle would signal the start of a new uptrend.
Let's see š
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#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, the daily correction has completed. A good rebound has already occurred, and the market is currently consolidating sideways. If it can break out of this consolidation range, we could potentially see the start of a second surge.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, the price has been squeezed to form an ascending triangle. A successful breakout above the upper edge of the triangle would signal the start of a new uptrend.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
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š#AVNT is expected to hit new highs, cautiously bearish ā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, the market is currently in a bullish trend, so we should prioritize long positions and be cautiously bearish. If you're considering shorting, it's best to wait until the ATH is broken.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, an ascending triangle has formed, and the target of the pattern is also a breakout of the ATH. Therefore, if a pullback to the yellow support zone and the neckline occurs, consider entering some long positions, provided the ATH is not broken.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, the market is currently in a bullish trend, so we should prioritize long positions and be cautiously bearish. If you're considering shorting, it's best to wait until the ATH is broken.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, an ascending triangle has formed, and the target of the pattern is also a breakout of the ATH. Therefore, if a pullback to the yellow support zone and the neckline occurs, consider entering some long positions, provided the ATH is not broken.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88
šCan #BTC continue to rise?
š§ From a structural perspective, we are still in a bullish structure and trend. The price is still above the yellow support zone, so the possibility of continued bullish momentum remains high. Avoid chasing shorts near the yellow support zone!
ā”ļøIf you want to participate in short trades, we can watch for short trading opportunities after the red target zone is reached. Alternatively, after the price breaks below the inflection point and the yellow support zone, and the yellow support zone turns into the blue resistance zone, look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance zone.
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#Wolf_king88
š§ From a structural perspective, we are still in a bullish structure and trend. The price is still above the yellow support zone, so the possibility of continued bullish momentum remains high. Avoid chasing shorts near the yellow support zone!
ā”ļøIf you want to participate in short trades, we can watch for short trading opportunities after the red target zone is reached. Alternatively, after the price breaks below the inflection point and the yellow support zone, and the yellow support zone turns into the blue resistance zone, look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance zone.
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#Wolf_king88
#BTC USDT.P Crossing 117383
šÆTP1āļø
šLock in 50% profitsš°
ā”ļøSL moves to breakevenāļø
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
šÆTP1āļø
šLock in 50% profitsš°
ā”ļøSL moves to breakevenāļø
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
#BTC Update
The blue resistance zone has been broken, turning into support.
The market performance has not met expectations, so we added to our short position at a high level, raised our purchase price, and closed the short trade when the price reached near our purchase price.
The FOMC meeting is approaching, which means significant volatility is imminent, so please be sure to manage your risk!
Currently, the price is testing the yellow support zone again, and I believe we could continue higher from here.
If the yellow support zone and the yellow turning point are broken again, we should be wary of a deeper correction.
$BTC
#Wolf_king88
The blue resistance zone has been broken, turning into support.
The market performance has not met expectations, so we added to our short position at a high level, raised our purchase price, and closed the short trade when the price reached near our purchase price.
The FOMC meeting is approaching, which means significant volatility is imminent, so please be sure to manage your risk!
Currently, the price is testing the yellow support zone again, and I believe we could continue higher from here.
If the yellow support zone and the yellow turning point are broken again, we should be wary of a deeper correction.
$BTC
#Wolf_king88
#BTC Update
The blue resistance zone has been broken, turning into support.
The market performance has not met expectations, so we added to our short position at a high level, raised our purchase price, and closed the short trade when the price reached near our purchase price.
The FOMC meeting is approaching, which means significant volatility is imminent, so please be sure to manage your risk!
Currently, the price is testing the yellow support zone again, and I believe we could continue higher from here.
If the yellow support zone and the yellow turning point are broken again, we should be wary of a deeper correction.
$BTC
#Wolf_king88
The blue resistance zone has been broken, turning into support.
The market performance has not met expectations, so we added to our short position at a high level, raised our purchase price, and closed the short trade when the price reached near our purchase price.
The FOMC meeting is approaching, which means significant volatility is imminent, so please be sure to manage your risk!
Currently, the price is testing the yellow support zone again, and I believe we could continue higher from here.
If the yellow support zone and the yellow turning point are broken again, we should be wary of a deeper correction.
$BTC
#Wolf_king88
š#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback ā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
ā ļøNote that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
ā ļøNote that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback ā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
ā ļøNote that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
ā”ļøFrom a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
ā ļøNote that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š#ETH Sideways Consolidationš
š§ From a structural perspective, we're currently within the target of a bullish structure on the daily chart, so be wary of a correction on the daily chart! The price is currently in a sideways consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart, with resistance near 4500 and support near 4200.
ā”ļøThere are signs of a third test of the 4500 resistance level, but be cautious of false breakout scenarios, as the risk of chasing the rally is too high. Furthermore, ETH spot ETFs have recently seen net outflows, so I'm more inclined to believe a rebound scenario after testing lower support levels, such as a rapid drop below 4000 followed by a strong rebound.
ā”ļøIt's worth noting that the altcoin wave has already arrived, so we should keep an eye on the altcoin market opportunities.
Let's take a lookš
š¤If you like my analysis, please likeš and shareš¬Ā
#Wolf_king88 $ETH
š§ From a structural perspective, we're currently within the target of a bullish structure on the daily chart, so be wary of a correction on the daily chart! The price is currently in a sideways consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart, with resistance near 4500 and support near 4200.
ā”ļøThere are signs of a third test of the 4500 resistance level, but be cautious of false breakout scenarios, as the risk of chasing the rally is too high. Furthermore, ETH spot ETFs have recently seen net outflows, so I'm more inclined to believe a rebound scenario after testing lower support levels, such as a rapid drop below 4000 followed by a strong rebound.
ā”ļøIt's worth noting that the altcoin wave has already arrived, so we should keep an eye on the altcoin market opportunities.
Let's take a lookš
š¤If you like my analysis, please likeš and shareš¬Ā
#Wolf_king88 $ETH
š #BTC is in a complex consolidation phase āļø
š§ From a structural perspective, we've rebounded after hitting the yellow support zone and are currently testing resistance near 113,000. We remain optimistic only if this resistance is broken and price stabilizes above the blue neckline. If this happens, we could attempt to challenge resistance near 120,000.
ā”ļøIf we break below the yellow uptrend support line, we'll need to focus on support near 108,200.
ā ļøComplex consolidation phases are suitable for swing traders, so trend traders should either take a break or avoid being too greedy.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, we've rebounded after hitting the yellow support zone and are currently testing resistance near 113,000. We remain optimistic only if this resistance is broken and price stabilizes above the blue neckline. If this happens, we could attempt to challenge resistance near 120,000.
ā”ļøIf we break below the yellow uptrend support line, we'll need to focus on support near 108,200.
ā ļøComplex consolidation phases are suitable for swing traders, so trend traders should either take a break or avoid being too greedy.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š#BTC Beware of a Weekly Pullbackā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, the market is bullish, and the broader trend remains bullish. The ideal target range of 134.8k-175.5k remains achievable, so we need to look for lower levels to participate.
ā”ļøCurrently, the weekly closing price is below the weekly support and resistance lines and has fallen below the July low. Therefore, I believe it's too early to be bullish at this point, and we should be wary of a deeper correction.
ā”ļøIn addition, we've always seen a surge after a drop of around 30% from a high.
Starting in March 2024, BTC fell 24.77% before surging.
Starting in January 2025, BTC fell 32% before touching the rising channel and surging.
Starting in August 2025... ???
ā ļøI believe a new buying opportunity will be located in the yellow support zone below, around 87k-96k.
Let's see š
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#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, the market is bullish, and the broader trend remains bullish. The ideal target range of 134.8k-175.5k remains achievable, so we need to look for lower levels to participate.
ā”ļøCurrently, the weekly closing price is below the weekly support and resistance lines and has fallen below the July low. Therefore, I believe it's too early to be bullish at this point, and we should be wary of a deeper correction.
ā”ļøIn addition, we've always seen a surge after a drop of around 30% from a high.
Starting in March 2024, BTC fell 24.77% before surging.
Starting in January 2025, BTC fell 32% before touching the rising channel and surging.
Starting in August 2025... ???
ā ļøI believe a new buying opportunity will be located in the yellow support zone below, around 87k-96k.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š#BTC Expanding Wedgeš
š§ From a structural perspective, we've hit weekly support and rebounded. Price is currently consolidating near the neckline resistance zone. If we can hold above the neckline resistance zone, resistance will turn into support, and we'll likely continue higher. The CME gap near 116,600 could also be filled.
ā”ļøIf we fail to hold above the neckline resistance zone, we'll need to be wary of the risk of a further pullback. The most noteworthy support zone is around 98,200.
ā”ļøIf we continue the bullish momentum, short-term resistance lies around 114,157, with extreme resistance around 118,000-120,000.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, we've hit weekly support and rebounded. Price is currently consolidating near the neckline resistance zone. If we can hold above the neckline resistance zone, resistance will turn into support, and we'll likely continue higher. The CME gap near 116,600 could also be filled.
ā”ļøIf we fail to hold above the neckline resistance zone, we'll need to be wary of the risk of a further pullback. The most noteworthy support zone is around 98,200.
ā”ļøIf we continue the bullish momentum, short-term resistance lies around 114,157, with extreme resistance around 118,000-120,000.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š#BTC is about to test support ā ļø
š§ From a structural perspective, the 8-hour support zone has been broken, turning into resistance. Optimism remains only if this zone is successfully broken and stabilized. Currently, the price is within the 12-hour support zone, and there has been no rapid test of the important support zone of 110,000-112,000. I believe the probability of a test of this support zone is still high, so please ensure proper risk management.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š§ From a structural perspective, the 8-hour support zone has been broken, turning into resistance. Optimism remains only if this zone is successfully broken and stabilized. Currently, the price is within the 12-hour support zone, and there has been no rapid test of the important support zone of 110,000-112,000. I believe the probability of a test of this support zone is still high, so please ensure proper risk management.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $BTC
š When will the #ETH correction endā
š§ From a structural perspective, the bearish target hasn't been reached yet, so the risk of further decline remains. Further gains are possible only if the downtrend line is broken and the price stabilizes above the blue zone.
ā”ļø Short-term support could be around 3900-4100.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $ETH
š§ From a structural perspective, the bearish target hasn't been reached yet, so the risk of further decline remains. Further gains are possible only if the downtrend line is broken and the price stabilizes above the blue zone.
ā”ļø Short-term support could be around 3900-4100.
Let's see š
š¤If you like my analysis, please like š and share š¬
#Wolf_king88 $ETH
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