加密章三

【Short】$FOLKS Current price 1.93

1h death cross confirmed, trend turns bearish

Entry 2.06～2.09
Stop loss 2.13
Target 1.84
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$FOLKS
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【Short】$LAB Current Price 0.0663

Volume up 2.4x, money is fleeing

Entry 0.0676～0.0686
Stop Loss 0.0700
Target 0.0605
Risk/Reward 3.0:1

$LAB
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[Go Long] $BLUR Current Price 0.0204

1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish

Entry 0.0200～0.0203
Stop Loss 0.0193
Target 0.0221
Risk/Reward 3.0:1

Funding Rate -0.2993%, short-term subsidy

$BLUR
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【Go Long】$THETA Current Price 0.205

Volume up 2.1x, capital entering the market

Entry 0.201～0.204
Stop Loss 0.194
Target 0.222
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0:1

$THETA
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【Short】$SNXX Current price 15.13

1h death cross confirmation, trend turns bearish

Entry 16.25～16.49
Stop loss 16.82
Target 14.54
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$SNXX
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[Go Long] $MET current price 0.270

Running on shrinking volume, slightly biased to the long side; wait for a breakout

Entry 0.265～0.269
Stop loss 0.255
Target 0.292
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$MET
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【Go Long】$KNC Current Price 0.132

Volume up 7.4x, capital entering

Entry 0.123～0.125
Stop Loss 0.119
Target 0.136
Risk/Reward 3.0:1

$KNC
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[Short] $4 Current price 0.0196

Operating on lower volume, bearish bias; watch for a breakdown

Entry 0.0187～0.0190
Stop loss 0.0193
Target 0.0167
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$4
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#CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息
Tonight, Beijing time on September 11 at 20:30, the August CPI is set to make its final appearance. This data will directly determine whether the Federal Reserve will restart rate hikes at its September 16 meeting.

Last week’s Non-Farm Payrolls added 162,000, versus expectations of 56,000. This was an extremely, extremely, extremely big beat, marking the strongest month-on-month growth since March. As of now, market pricing has put the probability of a rate hike in September at over 50%. The so-called “money votes” for a hike on major prediction markets—investments of more than $100 million—are even stronger evidence compared with the past when just anyone could call for rate hikes or cuts with a few words.

Latest July CPI came in at +3.3% overall (prior month 3.46%), and Core CPI was +2.5%. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to push up energy costs. With oil prices soaring, imported inflation pressures have not eased, and it is still far from the 2% target.

So,
Tonight, if CPI month-on-month comes in above +0.3%, a rate hike in September is essentially a done deal. The Federal Reserve has already been publicly split internally; voters are each sticking to their own view between “crushing inflation” and a “soft landing.” And what Waller has said recently is also a clearly hawkish signal.

The Fed will still let the data speak. No matter how much Trump—currently the topic of hot discussion—puts pressure on the issue, Waller is within the Fed’s system and has already positioned himself hawkish, so he’s unlikely to go against the data to make a decision.

However,
Tonight, if CPI month-on-month is below +0.2%, especially if core inflation unexpectedly cools, it would give the FOMC an extra step to stand pat. The current 10-year inflation expectations are 2.34%, and the 1-year consumer expectations are 2.3%. Long-term expectations have not completely slipped their anchor—so rate hikes can still be pushed back.

Those who are long $PONS may have hope to get out of the bind!

【Go Long】$RAYSOL Current Price 1.60

Three-tier long setup—buy the dip

Entry 1.57～1.59
Stop Loss 1.52
Target 1.74
Risk/Reward 3.0:1

$RAYSOL
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【Short】$RVN Current price 0.0023

Operating on reduced volume; direction slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown

Entry 0.0023～0.0023
Stop loss 0.0024
Target 0.0020
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

Funding rate -0.2863%, short-side subsidy

$RVN
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【Go Long】$TAC Current Price 0.0018

15m golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish

Entry 0.0018～0.0018
Stop Loss 0.0017
Target 0.0020
Risk/Reward 3.0:1

$TAC
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【Go Long】$LSK current price 0.127

Low volume, running sideways, slightly bullish—wait for a breakout

Entry 0.124～0.126
Stop loss 0.120
Target 0.137
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$LSK
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【Short】$DEXE Current price 1.91

Low volume trading, bearish bias—watch for a breakdown

Entry 1.83～1.86
Stop loss 1.89
Target 1.64
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

Funding rate -0.1844%, shorts receive subsidies

$DEXE
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【Short】$MARSCOIN current price 0.124

Trading with reduced volume, slightly bearish—watch for a breakdown

Entry 0.126～0.128
Stop loss 0.131
Target 0.113
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$MARSCOIN
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【Go Long】$US Current price 0.0165

1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish

Entry 0.0152～0.0155
Stop loss 0.0147
Target 0.0168
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$US
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【Short】$XVG Current price 0.0026

Trading with reduced volume, bearish bias; watch for a breakdown

Entry 0.0027～0.0027
Stop loss 0.0028
Target 0.0024
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$XVG
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[Go Long] $ETHFI current price 0.700

Trading with reduced volume, slightly bullish in direction—wait for a breakout

Entry 0.686～0.696
Stop loss 0.662
Target 0.758
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$ETHFI
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【Short】$IOST Current price 0.0010

1h death cross confirmation, trend turns bearish

Entry 0.0010～0.0011
Stop loss 0.0011
Target 0.000927
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

Funding rate -0.1118%, short-side subsidy

$IOST
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【Go Long】$RUNE current price 0.525

1h golden cross confirmed, trend turns bullish

Entry 0.487～0.494
Stop loss 0.470
Target 0.538
Risk-reward ratio 3.0:1

$RUNE
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