TyumaBidrouINW

Крипта снова в центре истории, которая больше похожа на шпионский триллер, чем на обычную криминальную сводку.

В КНДР арестовали группу ИТ-специалистов, которых обвиняют во взломе систем Центрального банка и отмывании похищенных средств через криптовалюту. По данным CoinDesk, средства allegedly выводили через китайских брокеров, а для сокрытия следов использовали небольшие переводы. ForkLog со ссылкой на Daily NK также пишет, что за схемой могли стоять бывшие военные из киберподразделений.

Почему это важно: похоже, рынок снова получает сильный аргумент в пользу ужесточения контроля за AML/CFT в крипте. Это может значить больше внимания к переводам, посредникам и офшорным каналам обналичивания — особенно на фоне того, что крипта все чаще фигурирует не только в санкционной, но и во внутригосударственной коррупционной повестке. Для индустрии это еще один репутационный удар, даже если проблема снова упирается не в сам инструмент, а в его использование.

Как думаете, такие кейсы ускорят нормализацию регулирования крипты или, наоборот, дадут повод для нового давления на рынок? (CoinDesk) #криптовалюта #регулирование

Today $ETH is in focus not because of noise, but because of the reaction zone above the current price.

Price is about 1859.66, down -1.111% over the day.
Daily range: 1848.09–1886.09.

What you can see on TradingOS:
— Above the current price there is a POI 1861.321–1866.76 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— Above the current price there is a bullish FVG 1882.14–1888.14 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— Above the current price there is a bearish FVG 1884.52–1884.69 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— Above the current price there is a bullish OB-zone 1864.82–1878.5 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;

Weights of scenarios based on current data:
Long scenario — 7%;
Short scenario — 79%.

This is not a trade probability, but an assessment of the context.

What matters:
If the price returns above the 1884.52–1884.69 area and holds there, the long context will start to strengthen. If the reaction is weak again, the bearish scenario will remain the main one.

This is a scenario map, not trading instructions.

$ETH #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $ETH .

Not investment advice.

Вот новость, мимо которой сложно пройти:

Ethereum ETFs close week in red, end 5-day inflow streak (Cointelegraph)

Ethereum ETFs snapped a five-day inflow streak and Bitcoin ETFs logged a second day of outflows, though both funds extended their weekly inflow streaks to three.

Почему это важно: такие события редко проходят бесследно — рынок обычно реагирует на них через настроение участников и потоки ликвидности.

Как думаешь, рынок это уже отыграл или реакция впереди?

The night of $BTC has passed under pressure from above.

By morning, the market is approaching without changing the emphasis.
Today, the center isn’t noisy—it's the upper reaction zones.

Price is around 64020.16, down -1.949% over the day.
Daily range: 63739.75–65808.59.

According to TradingOS, several problematic areas have formed above the current price right away.
POI 64646.006–65133.99.
This is a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it.

Above that is also a bearish FVG 65157.99–65302.18.
Again, it’s a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it.

Even higher is bearish FVG 65314.66–65320.69.
Same idea.
Price is under it.

There’s also a bullish OB zone 64650–64900.
But for now it, too, is functioning as a pressure zone rather than support, because the price is currently below it.

Scenario weighting based on current data:
Long scenario — 6%;
Short scenario — 82%.

This is not the probability of a trade, but an assessment of the context.

Today’s plan is simple.
Watch whether the price can return above the 65314.66–65320.69 area and hold there.
If yes, the long context will begin to strengthen.
If the reaction is again weak, the bearish scenario will remain the main one.

This is a scenario map, not a trading instruction.

$BTC #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book—click on $BTC .

Not investment advice.

Сможет ли $SOL к завтрашнему дню забрать верхнюю область обратно или давление сверху так и останется главным ответом графика? По итогам дня скорее подтвердился второй вариант: цена около 73.96, за сутки -2.479%, а диапазон 73.61-76.45 не изменил ключевую картину. Всё важное по TradingOS по-прежнему висит над текущей ценой: POI 75.456-76.45, bearish FVG 75.65-75.71, bullish FVG 75.85-75.92 и bullish OB-зона 75.43-75.85 сейчас читаются именно как зоны давления, а не поддержки, потому что рынок остаётся ниже. На этом фоне вес сценариев не сдвинулся в пользу покупателей: лонговый сценарий — 7%; шортовый сценарий — 79%. Это не вероятность сделки, а оценка контекста. На завтра ориентир тот же: если цена вернётся выше области 75.85-75.92 и удержится там, лонговый контекст начнёт усиливаться. Если реакция снова будет слабой, медвежий сценарий останется главным. Это карта сценариев, не торговая инструкция. $SOL #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

График и стакан — по клику на $SOL .

Не инвестиционная рекомендация.

Когда код превращается в поле политической битвы — это уже не просто история про GitHub.

Internet Freedom Foundation раскритиковала требование властей Индии удалить из GitHub репозитории BitChat, проекта Джека Дорси. По данным Cointelegraph, организация считает этот приказ неконституционным, заявляет, что он выходит за пределы законных полномочий правительства и создает угрозу свободе слова. История касается именно удаления репозиториев BitChat с платформы GitHub. (Cointelegraph)

Почему это важно: похоже, давление на открытый код и инфраструктуру разработки становится новым фронтом регулирования. Это может значить, что риски для крипто- и tech-проектов теперь связаны не только с токенами, биржами и лицензиями, но и с базовыми инструментами публикации кода. Для рынка это тревожный сигнал: если государства начнут активнее добиваться блокировок репозиториев, вопрос децентрализации снова станет не теорией, а практической необходимостью.

Как думаете, такие кейсы только усилят интерес к truly decentralized-инфраструктуре или рынок снова выберет удобство вместо свободы? #crypto #web3

While $ETH still has a bearish advantage.

Price is around 1880.8; over the day: -2.357%. Daily range: 1859.67-1928.56.

According to the current TradingOS map, all the key pressure zones remain above the market:
— POI 1892.2545-1909.8 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— bearish FVG 1929.7-1932.37 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— bullish FVG 1930.4-1930.91 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— bearish OB zone 1921.07-1926.83 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;

Weights of scenarios based on the current data:
long scenario — 5%;
short scenario — 84%.

This is not a trade probability, but an assessment of the context.

For now, the daily update is simple: as long as the price stays below these areas, the main focus remains on the reaction within them. If the price returns above the 1930.4-1930.91 area and holds there, the long context will start to strengthen. If the reaction is again weak, the bearish scenario will remain the main one.

This is a scenarios map, not trading instructions.

$ETH #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $ETH .

Not investment advice.

Crypto is getting involved in big politics again — and the amounts are no longer symbolic at all.

On June 19, Gemini transferred two payments totaling more than $10 million in bitcoin to the MAGA Inc. committee, which supports US President Donald Trump. This is stated in the organization’s report. At the same time, three weeks earlier, Gemini and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission asked the court to partially overturn an agreement in a case against the exchange over alleged false or misleading statements. (ForkLog)

Why this matters: it seems the crypto industry is increasingly moving into the US political agenda not only through lobbying, but also through direct large donations. This could mean that the fight over the future rules of the game for exchanges and crypto companies will become even tougher — especially amid regulatory disputes. For the market, this is more like a sign that politics and crypto are now linked much more closely than before.

What do you think: are such donations a normal part of business’s political struggle, or is it already too dangerous a convergence of crypto and power? #crypto

In all night $BTC still did not remove the pressure from above: price is around 65288.73, per day -0.65%, range 64650-65821.17, and by morning the market approaches with a focus on checking upper reactions.

— Above the current price is a POI 65358.5065-65740.01 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it;
— Above the current price is a bearish FVG 65589.41-65589.69 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it;
— Above the current price is a bearish FVG 65843.25-66054.58 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it;
— Above the current price is a bullish OB zone 65351.02-65790 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it;

Today, the most important thing is to watch whether price can return above the 65843.25-66054.58 area and hold there, because then the long-term context will start to strengthen; meanwhile, based on the current data, the long scenario is 6%; the short scenario is 83%, and this is not the probability of a trade, but an assessment of the context.

$BTC #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $BTC .

Not an investment recommendation.

By evening, the $SOL story for the day didn’t really unfold: it was confirmed that everything important still sits above the price, not below it.

Right now the price is about 75.81, down -2.545% over the day.
Daily range: 75.47-78.54.

In simple terms, on TradingOS the overhead reaction zone is still tight:
— Above the current price there is a POI 77.4655-78.54 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— Above the current price there is a bearish FVG 77.81-78.15 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— Above the current price there is a bearish FVG 77.9-77.97 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— Above the current price there is a bullish OB zone 77.5-78.03 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;

Weights of scenarios based on current data:
Long scenario — 6%;
Short scenario — 81%.

This is not the probability of a trade, but an assessment of the context.

What I’m watching for tomorrow:
If the price returns above the 77.81-78.15 area and holds there, the long context will start to strengthen. If the reaction is again weak, the bearish scenario will remain the main one.

This is a map of scenarios, not trading instructions.

$SOL #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — by clicking on $SOL .

Not an investment recommendation.

Sometimes for the market, it’s more important not to have a new token, but to have older regulator correspondence.

The SEC has resolved a dispute with Coinbase that lasted two years and was related to missing text messages from the former head of the agency, Gary Gensler. According to a new status report on the case in court, the agency will pay a fixed amount to close this conflict over what Gensler knew about Ethereum. (CoinDesk)

Why this matters: it appears that the topic of transparency in SEC decisions is going nowhere, even if the matter is no longer about a new lawsuit, but about internal regulator communications. This may mean that for the crypto market, not only the formal rules remain critical, but also exactly how they were made and discussed within the agency. And it could also increase attention on the SEC’s past decisions regarding ETH and other major assets.

What do you think—do these kinds of stories affect trust in the regulator more than the lawsuits against crypto companies themselves?

I’m looking at $ETH closer to midday: the market is still moving around the reaction zone, and that’s more important than the noise around it.

Price around 1926.02, down -0.078% over the day.
Day range: 1912.6-1956.45.

Noticing the following on TradingOS:
— the price is within the POI zone 1912.6-1927.9475 — the current reaction zone;
— below the current price there is a bullish FVG 1919-1919.41 — a reaction zone below the price;
— the price is within the bearish FVG zone 1921.1-1928.11 — the current reaction zone;
— the price is within the bullish OB zone 1913.26-1927.45 — the current reaction zone;

Scenario weights based on current data:
long scenario — 76%;
short scenario — 17%.

This is not a trade probability, but an assessment of the context.

For myself, I note the main thing: if the price holds the reaction near the 1921.1-1928.11 area, the long context will keep the advantage. If the area is lost, the scenario will weaken.

This is a scenario map, not a trading instruction.

$ETH #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — by clicking on $ETH .

Not an investment recommendation.

Another blow to trust in bridges: AFX Trade halted its USDC bridge after withdrawing 24.15 million USDC.

What happened: AFX Trade reported an incident involving the USDC custody bridge it manages on the Arbitrum network. After detecting the issue, the team immediately paused the bridge and began an investigation with the help of external security specialists. At the time of publication, the company did not disclose any other verified details (ForkLog).

Why it matters: it looks like the market is being reminded again that infrastructure risks in crypto have not gone away—even when the issue isn’t the token itself, but the underlying services like bridges. This could mean increased attention to the security of cross-chain solutions, growing nervousness around custodial mechanics, and a more stringent reassessment of trust in platforms that hold users’ liquidity between networks.

Do you think incidents like these hit specific projects harder, or do they generally slow trust across the entire DeFi infrastructure? #DeFi #Arbitrum

The night session for $BTC didn’t bring a resolution: the market met the morning around 65712.19, down 0.466% over the day, and the range 65553.67-66384 kept both sides in the game.

For the long scenario, what matters now is that the price is inside the POI zone 65553.67-65844.2855 — the current reaction zone. As long as this area holds the price, the long context retains an advantage.

For the short scenario, everything above the current price matters. Above the current price there is a bearish FVG 66358-66462.32 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it. Above the current price there is a bullish FVG 66358-66359.3 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it. Above the current price there is a bearish OB zone 66198-66424 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it.

This is exactly where the line between today’s scenarios runs: reaction within the current POI supports the long version, while the upper zones remain a filter that won’t let it get stronger without confirmation.

Scenario weights based on current data:
long scenario — 55%;
short scenario — 35%.

This is not the probability of a trade, but a contextual assessment.

What’s important:
If the price holds the reaction near the 66358-66462.32 area, the long context will keep its advantage. If the area is lost, the scenario will weaken.

This is a scenario map, not a trading instruction.

$BTC #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $BTC .

Not investment advice.

Will $SOL k by evening be able to reclaim the upper zones, or will pressure above the price remain the market’s main answer for today? For now, the picture is more about the latter: price is around 77.78, down -0.116% over the day, and the daily range was 77-78.85. According to TradingOS, below the current price there remains a POI at 77-77.6475 — a reaction zone below the price, but the key focus now is on what is hanging above. Above the current price there is a bullish FVG 78.06-78.11 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it. Nearby above the current price there is a bearish FVG 78.16-78.21 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it. Also above the current price there is a bearish OB zone 77.97-78.25 — a pressure zone, not support, because price is currently below it. This is the day’s outcome: the long scenario — 41%, the short scenario — 50%. This is not trade probability, but an assessment of the context. The reference for tomorrow does not change: if price returns above the 78.16-78.21 area and holds there, the long context will start to strengthen. If the reaction is again weak, the bearish scenario will remain the main one. This is a map of scenarios, not a trading instruction. $SOL #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $SOL .

Not an investment recommendation.

It seems the market is being brought back to a moment when a single word in a piece of legislation could change the rules of the game.

Lawmakers have circulated the text of a new version of the Clarity Act that they plan to push through to the finish in the Senate. But the dispute around the key section on government ethical standards is not yet settled: in the current version, this rule has been made temporary. This is not the final point, but a draft still being refined (CoinDesk).

Why it matters: it looks like the U.S. is getting closer to a clearer framework for the crypto industry, but exactly these “temporary” formulations often show where regulators and policymakers still have the most painful disagreements. This could mean the market will see progress on the rules of the game, but with it—and a fresh wave of discussions about how durable these standards will be after adoption.

What do you think: even a partial compromise on the Clarity Act is already positive for the crypto market, or without strictly spelled-out ethics of trust will there still be no real confidence? #crypto #regulation

Midday move for $ETH without extra noise.

Price around 1927.86.
Per day -0.17%.
Day range: 1910.68-1945.23.

Right now, the price is inside the bullish FVG 1924.31-1929.02.
This is the current reaction zone.

Below the POI 1910.68-1922.58.
Also a working area.

Even lower, bullish FVG 1905.26-1907.
Next is the bullish OB zone 1894.4-1902.58.

By the weight of scenarios, the picture is currently in favor of longs.
Long scenario — 86%.
Short scenario — 5%.

This is not the probability of a trade, but an assessment of the context.

The key point right now is holding 1924.31-1929.02.
As long as the reaction there is alive, the advantage remains with the long-side context.
If the area is lost, the scenario will weaken.

This is a scenarios map, not a trading instruction.

$ETH #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — by clicking on $ETH .

Not investment advice.

Here’s the news that’s hard to ignore:

Bitcoin ETFs extend inflow streak to six days with $203M added (Cointelegraph)

US spot Bitcoin ETFs extended their inflow streak to six sessions, bringing in about $930 million while remaining down $4.84 billion on a net basis year to date.

Why it matters: such events rarely pass without leaving a trace — the market usually reacts to them through participants’ sentiment and liquidity flows.

Do you think the market has already priced it in, or is there more reaction ahead?

By night, the $BTC market has not exited the struggle for the upper zones, and by morning this shifts the focus to whether the price can push through the areas above it today.

Right now the price is around 65999.99, +0.372% over the day.
Intraday range: 65634-66956.15.

What changed in the dynamics:
— the price is within the zone containing POI 65944.51-66298.584 — the current reaction zone;
— above the current price there is a bearish FVG 66358-66462.32 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— above the current price there is a bullish FVG 66640-66648.27 — a pressure zone, not support, because the price is currently below it;
— below the current price there is a bearish OB-zone 64273.33-65068 — a reaction zone below the price;

For today, this provides the following context:
long scenario — 65%;
short scenario — 24%.

This is not a trade probability, but an assessment of the context.

Key observation for the day:
if the price holds the reaction near the 66640-66648.27 area, the long context will keep the advantage. If the area is lost, the scenario will weaken.

This is a scenarios map, not a trading instruction.

$BTC #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $BTC .

Not investment advice.

By evening, with $SOL , the main conclusion had not changed: the market is still holding around the current reaction zone, while below there remains a dense cushion of working areas.

— price around 77.84, +0.232% over the day;
— daily range: 77.29-78.88;
— POI 77.42-77.931 — current reaction zone;
— bearish FVG 76.47-76.67 — reaction zone below price;
— bearish FVG 76.05-76.3 — reaction zone below price;
— bearish OB zone 76.31-77.24 — reaction zone below price;
— long scenario — 79%;
— short scenario — 7%.

What matters next is only one thing: if price holds the reaction near the 77.42-77.931 area, the long context will retain the advantage; and if the area is lost, the scenario will weaken.

This is a scenario map, not a trading instruction.

$SOL #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Trading

Chart and order book — click on $SOL .

Not investment advice.