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Swallow Academy

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Pure work of art since 2015, Picasso of Trading | https://x.com/SwallowPremium
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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly). What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases. Simple, but it’s done the job for years. Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders). Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well. But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$LTC looks pretty bullish, especially after the recent push we had when we formed that "Bart Simpson" type movement. Now we look for the 100 EMA to be fully secured by buyers! #LTCPriceAnalysis
$LTC looks pretty bullish, especially after the recent push we had when we formed that "Bart Simpson" type movement. Now we look for the 100 EMA to be fully secured by buyers! #LTCPriceAnalysis
$KAS pulled back into the last support zone we marked, and this is the spot where buyers need to take back dominance. The reaction isn’t strong yet, but the zone is holding, so the long idea still makes sense as long as price stays above it. For continuation, we need to see buyers reclaim that small resistance above the “ideal entry” zone. That becomes the trigger that confirms the build-up and opens the move toward the major target area. Until that reclaim, we’re just watching how price behaves in this support and whether buyers manage to step back in. #KASPriceAnalysis
$KAS pulled back into the last support zone we marked, and this is the spot where buyers need to take back dominance. The reaction isn’t strong yet, but the zone is holding, so the long idea still makes sense as long as price stays above it.

For continuation, we need to see buyers reclaim that small resistance above the “ideal entry” zone. That becomes the trigger that confirms the build-up and opens the move toward the major target area. Until that reclaim, we’re just watching how price behaves in this support and whether buyers manage to step back in. #KASPriceAnalysis
$DOT is holding the smaller support zone well, and that’s exactly where the first bullish signs started to form. The tap into that zone got picked up quickly, showing buyers are willing to react there, which is why the long makes sense from this area. What we need next is a clean reclaim of the short-term resistance above. That’s the confirmation that opens the move toward the unfilled zone higher. Until that breakout, the idea stays the same — buyers are trying to build momentum from this support, and the structure is slowly shifting in their favour. #DOTPriceAnalysis
$DOT is holding the smaller support zone well, and that’s exactly where the first bullish signs started to form. The tap into that zone got picked up quickly, showing buyers are willing to react there, which is why the long makes sense from this area.

What we need next is a clean reclaim of the short-term resistance above. That’s the confirmation that opens the move toward the unfilled zone higher.

Until that breakout, the idea stays the same — buyers are trying to build momentum from this support, and the structure is slowly shifting in their favour. #DOTPriceAnalysis
$BNB is still holding the neckline/support zone well, showing that buyers are trying to keep momentum here. Each dip into this area gets picked back up, so this zone stays the key level for any continuation setup. For the long side, the main problem is still the 200 EMA (the stronger white line). Price rejected it twice, so buyers must reclaim it first. If we see a clean break and hold above the 200 EMA, the setup becomes straightforward — that would confirm strength and open the move into the upper zone. #BNBPriceAnalysis
$BNB is still holding the neckline/support zone well, showing that buyers are trying to keep momentum here. Each dip into this area gets picked back up, so this zone stays the key level for any continuation setup.

For the long side, the main problem is still the 200 EMA (the stronger white line). Price rejected it twice, so buyers must reclaim it first. If we see a clean break and hold above the 200 EMA, the setup becomes straightforward — that would confirm strength and open the move into the upper zone. #BNBPriceAnalysis
200 EMA is the zone we are looking for to be broken on $ETH , which would result in a trend switch and a continuation of upside movement. We had a successful MSB and retest, which is major confirmation for the reversal that we had on lower zones; now we need that break of 200 EMA. Looks bullish #ETHPriceAnalysis
200 EMA is the zone we are looking for to be broken on $ETH , which would result in a trend switch and a continuation of upside movement.

We had a successful MSB and retest, which is major confirmation for the reversal that we had on lower zones; now we need that break of 200 EMA. Looks bullish #ETHPriceAnalysis
The 100 EMA has been tested multiple times on $BTC , yet buyers did not manage to fully secure this area. What we see is a continuation of attempts to break this zone completely and secure it, and as buyers are showing volume, we are looking for it to happen. Setup looks decent; the zone of liquidity is our stop zone, where the major target is the 200 EMA as of now! #BTCPriceAnalysis
The 100 EMA has been tested multiple times on $BTC , yet buyers did not manage to fully secure this area. What we see is a continuation of attempts to break this zone completely and secure it, and as buyers are showing volume, we are looking for it to happen.

Setup looks decent; the zone of liquidity is our stop zone, where the major target is the 200 EMA as of now! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$ETH looks good for a pump—at least a push to 3,300–3,400 (where the EMAs are sitting). This is our first target after a recent successful MSB we had on the lower zones. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$ETH looks good for a pump—at least a push to 3,300–3,400 (where the EMAs are sitting).

This is our first target after a recent successful MSB we had on the lower zones. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC is accumulating currently where price is heading most likely for a break of structure (Which would confirm our bullish gameplan). As soon as we see the breakout we will be looking for a long position right there! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC is accumulating currently where price is heading most likely for a break of structure (Which would confirm our bullish gameplan). As soon as we see the breakout we will be looking for a long position right there! #BTCPriceAnalysis
A strong reversal has happened on $ETH , where the price formed a decent MSB near the EMAs and is now heading back to the upper zones. We are in with a long here, expecting a very volatile upcoming week or two! #ETHPriceAnalysis
A strong reversal has happened on $ETH , where the price formed a decent MSB near the EMAs and is now heading back to the upper zones.

We are in with a long here, expecting a very volatile upcoming week or two! #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC looks very bullish, especially with the recent bounce we had on 100EMA. The zone has been once again respected and now we are looking for further movement to upper zones.  We are keeping this gameplan until the March, that's about the max lenght we expect the markets to push, after that we should see the start of bear market. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC looks very bullish, especially with the recent bounce we had on 100EMA. The zone has been once again respected and now we are looking for further movement to upper zones. 

We are keeping this gameplan until the March, that's about the max lenght we expect the markets to push, after that we should see the start of bear market. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$ETC keeps rejecting around the neckline, and until buyers break and secure this level there’s no clean long setup yet. The good part is that we already saw a failed breakdown at the lows, which shows buyers defending the zone. Once we get a clean breakout above the neckline, the plan becomes straightforward — look for an entry on the retest and aim for the big CME gap above. In the current market these bullish gaps usually act like magnets, so the moment structure flips, the upside move can come fast. #ETCPriceAnalysis
$ETC keeps rejecting around the neckline, and until buyers break and secure this level there’s no clean long setup yet. The good part is that we already saw a failed breakdown at the lows, which shows buyers defending the zone.

Once we get a clean breakout above the neckline, the plan becomes straightforward — look for an entry on the retest and aim for the big CME gap above. In the current market these bullish gaps usually act like magnets, so the moment structure flips, the upside move can come fast. #ETCPriceAnalysis
$ADA finally showed a proper shift after that liquidity sweep/failed breakdown at the lows. Buyers stepped in fast and pushed the price back above the neckline, which is the first solid sign of strength after weeks of straight downside. Right now we’re watching how price reacts around this neckline retest. If buyers manage to secure it and keep holding above it, we’ll have a clean setup to target the higher zone shown on the chart. No need to rush—the breakout happened, but the entry comes only after buyers confirm control. #ADAPriceAnalysis
$ADA finally showed a proper shift after that liquidity sweep/failed breakdown at the lows. Buyers stepped in fast and pushed the price back above the neckline, which is the first solid sign of strength after weeks of straight downside.

Right now we’re watching how price reacts around this neckline retest. If buyers manage to secure it and keep holding above it, we’ll have a clean setup to target the higher zone shown on the chart.

No need to rush—the breakout happened, but the entry comes only after buyers confirm control. #ADAPriceAnalysis
$ETH is retesting the broken zone (the broken neckline area, which is marked as one of our targets). After such a strong breakout, the retest seems like a natural thing so we are not panicking here at all; we wait and as long as the price remains above the zone of the neckline, we are bullish! #ETHPriceAnalysis
$ETH is retesting the broken zone (the broken neckline area, which is marked as one of our targets).

After such a strong breakout, the retest seems like a natural thing so we are not panicking here at all; we wait and as long as the price remains above the zone of the neckline, we are bullish! #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC did have a decent rally but during the Asian session, sellers took back the dominance and now the price is back at 100 EMA (for a quick retest). We are not panicking; the game plan remains the same. One thing that concerns us is the weekend that's ahead of us, as we might be seeing some volatile movements. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC did have a decent rally but during the Asian session, sellers took back the dominance and now the price is back at 100 EMA (for a quick retest).

We are not panicking; the game plan remains the same.

One thing that concerns us is the weekend that's ahead of us, as we might be seeing some volatile movements. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$SUI has repeated the same pattern multiple times: breakout from EMAs → BOS → clean push. Every strong leg up basically started the same way, and we’re seeing that structure again. After the doomsday dump messed up the previous cycle, buyers stepped in aggressively and reclaimed the key zones. Now with a successful break of structure and momentum shifting, SUI is showing signs of starting a new pump phase similar to previous runs. As long as buyers keep securing the EMAs and hold above the reclaimed zone, upside continuation stays the main idea. #SUIPriceAnalysis
$SUI has repeated the same pattern multiple times: breakout from EMAs → BOS → clean push. Every strong leg up basically started the same way, and we’re seeing that structure again. After the doomsday dump messed up the previous cycle, buyers stepped in aggressively and reclaimed the key zones.

Now with a successful break of structure and momentum shifting, SUI is showing signs of starting a new pump phase similar to previous runs. As long as buyers keep securing the EMAs and hold above the reclaimed zone, upside continuation stays the main idea. #SUIPriceAnalysis
$TRX has been respecting its trend for a long time, but now we finally got a clean breakdown of that structure. Buyers tried to re-secure the zone, but so far the reaction isn’t convincing. Right now the chart favors the sell side — unless buyers manage to reclaim the EMAs and push back above the broken zone, the ideal setup remains a short from current levels. If the retest fails again, continuation lower becomes the most likely scenario. We’ll stick with the plan and wait for the setup to fully play out. #TRXPriceAnalysis
$TRX has been respecting its trend for a long time, but now we finally got a clean breakdown of that structure. Buyers tried to re-secure the zone, but so far the reaction isn’t convincing.

Right now the chart favors the sell side — unless buyers manage to reclaim the EMAs and push back above the broken zone, the ideal setup remains a short from current levels.

If the retest fails again, continuation lower becomes the most likely scenario. We’ll stick with the plan and wait for the setup to fully play out. #TRXPriceAnalysis
$TON is reacting from the same area where the previous big push started, which shows this zone still matters. After that heavy dump, buyers stepped in again and we’re getting the first signs of a potential shift. Now we wait for a proper MSB to confirm the reversal. If we get it, TON has enough space for a solid recovery and a clean move back toward higher levels. As long as this zone holds, this could be the start of the next push. #TONPriceAnalysis
$TON is reacting from the same area where the previous big push started, which shows this zone still matters. After that heavy dump, buyers stepped in again and we’re getting the first signs of a potential shift.

Now we wait for a proper MSB to confirm the reversal. If we get it, TON has enough space for a solid recovery and a clean move back toward higher levels. As long as this zone holds, this could be the start of the next push. #TONPriceAnalysis
$ETH has a strong break of structure where price reached one of our targets and also secured an important zone (which was a first step towards the further movement to upper zones). Looks very good, not going to lie. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$ETH has a strong break of structure where price reached one of our targets and also secured an important zone (which was a first step towards the further movement to upper zones).

Looks very good, not going to lie. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC is still holding the ground; after a recent push we had on the markets, the price is still holding the ground and not showing any signs of weakness. Now that second day looks good. What we need is another BOS to form near the local high area, which then would give us further movement to upper zones. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC is still holding the ground; after a recent push we had on the markets, the price is still holding the ground and not showing any signs of weakness.

Now that second day looks good. What we need is another BOS to form near the local high area, which then would give us further movement to upper zones. #BTCPriceAnalysis
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